Modern risk analysis studies of the power system increasingly rely on big datasets, either synthesized, simulated, or real utility data. Particularly in the transmission system, outage events have a strong influence on the reliability, resilience, and security of the overall energy delivery infrastructure. In this paper we analyze historical outage data for transmission system components and discuss the implications of nearby overlapping outages with respect to resilience of the power system. We carry out a risk-based assessment using North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) Transmission Availability Data System (TADS) for the North American bulk power system (BPS). We found that the quantification of nearby unscheduled outage clusters would improve the response times for operators to readjust the system and provide better resilience still under the standard definition of N-1 security. Finally, we propose future steps to investigate the relationship between clusters of outages and their electrical proximity, in order to improve operator actions in the operation horizon.
11 July 2016 in IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
The purpose of this paper is to present a review of some fundamental concepts and practical applications in the area of common-mode and dependent (CMD) outage events in power systems. The paper is a result of ongoing activity carried out by the Probability Applications for Common and dependent Mode Events (PACME) Working Group (WG) of the Reliability, Risk and Probability Applications Subcommittee. The PACME WG was formed in 2010 to review, advance, and present the research and practical applications in the area of CMD outage events. This paper presents state-of-the-art in research, modeling, and applications of CMD outage events in power system planning and operation. Issues considered include: data monitoring and collection, and probabilistic modeling and evaluation in the planning, and operation of power generation and transmission systems. Additionally, some results obtained from outage data statistics corresponding to CMD outage events in systems such as Generating Availability Data System, Transmission Availability Data System, and Canadian Electrical Association are presented.
This paper addresses a novel approach to constructing seasonal nomograms for both planning and operations environments. The paper describes how the nomograms were automatically constructed for the Idaho Power Co. (IPC) power system network. The approach presented in this paper offers a unique capability to automatically determine the effect of various stressing factors on the studied interfaces (paths) in planning and operations environments. This approach also allows the operator to determine and visualize the secure operating region. The study was performed using the IPC loadflow data to validate the proof of concept and determine the effect of various stressing patterns on the monitored paths in the IPC power system. The approach proposed in this paper will allow operators to construct seasonal nomograms in operations environment.