This article proposes two ensemble neural network-based models for blood glucose prediction at three different prediction horizons—30, 60, and 120 min—and compares their performance with ten recently proposed neural networks. The twelve models’ performances are evaluated under the same OhioT1DM Dataset, preprocessing workflow, and tools at the three prediction horizons using the most common metrics in blood glucose prediction, and we rank the best-performing ones using three methods devised for the statistical comparison of the performance of multiple algorithms: scmamp, model confidence set, and superior predictive ability. Our analysis provides a comparison of the state-of-the-art neural networks for blood glucose prediction, estimating the model’s error, highlighting those with the highest probability of being the best predictors, and providing a guide for their use in clinical practice.
(1) Background: Artificial intelligence using machine learning techniques may help us to predict and prevent obesity. The aim was to design an interpretable prediction algorithm for overweight/obesity risk based on a combination of different machine learning techniques. (2) Methods: 38 variables related to sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health aspects from 1179 residents in Madrid were collected and used to train predictive models. Accuracy, precision, and recall metrics were tested and compared between nine classical machine learning techniques and the predictive model based on a combination of those classical machine learning techniques. Statistical validation was performed. The shapely additive explanation technique was used to identify the variables with the greatest impact on weight gain. (3) Results: Cascade classifier model combining gradient boosting, random forest, and logistic regression models showed the best predictive results for overweight/obesity compared to all machine learning techniques tested, reaching an accuracy of 79%, precision of 84%, and recall of 89% for predictions for weight gain. Age, sex, academic level, profession, smoking habits, wine consumption, and Mediterranean diet adherence had the highest impact on predicting obesity. (4) Conclusions: A combination of machine learning techniques showed a significant improvement in accuracy to predict risk of overweight/obesity than machine learning techniques separately.
Background: The bacteraemia prediction is relevant because sepsis is one of the most important causes of morbidity and mortality. Bacteraemia prognosis primarily depends on a rapid diagnosis. The bacteraemia prediction would shorten up to 6 days the diagnosis, and, in conjunction with individual patient variables, should be considered to start the early administration of personalised antibiotic treatment and medical services, the election of specific diagnostic techniques and the determination of additional treatments, such as surgery, that would prevent subsequent complications. Machine learning techniques could help physicians make these informed decisions by predicting bacteraemia using the data already available in electronic hospital records.Objective: This study presents the application of machine learning techniques to these records to predict the blood culture’s outcome, which would reduce the lag in starting a personalised antibiotic treatment and the medical costs associated with erroneous treatments due to conservative assumptions about blood culture outcomes.Methods: Six supervised classifiers were created using three machine learning techniques, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest and K-Nearest Neighbours, on the electronic health records of hospital patients. The best approach to handle missing data was chosen and, for each machine learning technique, two classification models were created: the first uses the features known at the time of blood extraction, whereas the second uses four extra features revealed during the blood culture.Results: The six classifiers were trained and tested using a dataset of 4357 patients with 117 features per patient. The models obtain predictions that, for the best case, are up to a state-of-the-art accuracy of 85.9%, a sensitivity of 87.4% and an AUC of 0.93.Conclusions: Our results provide cutting-edge metrics of interest in predictive medical models with values that exceed the medical practice threshold and previous results in the literature using classical modelling techniques in specific types of bacteraemia. Additionally, the consistency of results is reasserted because the three classifiers’ importance ranking shows similar features that coincide with those that physicians use in their manual heuristics. Therefore, the efficacy of these machine learning techniques confirms their viability to assist in the aims of predictive and personalised medicine once the disease presents bacteraemia-compatible symptoms and to assist in improving the healthcare economy.
This dataset provides a collection of Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) data, insulin dose administration, meal ingestion counted in carbohydrate grams, steps, calories burned, heart rate, and sleep quality and quantity assessment ac- quired from 25 people with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM). CGM data was acquired by FreeStyle Libre 2 CGMs, and Fitbit Ionic smartwatches were used to obtain steps, calories, heart rate, and sleep data for at least 14 days. This dataset could be utilized to obtain glucose prediction models, hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia prediction models, and research on the relationships among sleep, CGM values, and the rest of the mentioned variables. This dataset could be used directly from the preprocessed version or customized from raw data. The data set has been used previously with different machine learning algorithms to predict glucose values, hypo, and hyperglycemia and to analyze influences among the features and the quality and quantity of sleep in people with T1DM.
1 August 2023 in IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics
This article proposes the first hardware implemen-tation of a low-power LSTM neural network targeting a wearable medical device designed to predict blood glucose at a 30-minute horizon. This work aims to reduce energy consumption by propos-ing new activation functions that target hardware implementation. On top of this proposal, we also prove there is room for improve-ment in energy consumption by applying neural network optimiza-tions at the algorithmic, such as quantization, and architecture level, LSTM hyperparameters, that consider the target hardware. To validate our proposal, we devise an optimized version of the neural network aimed to be wearable and, therefore, to reduce its energy consumption while preserving its accuracy as much as possible. The hardware is implemented on a Xilinx Virtex-7 FPGA VC707 Evaluation Kit. It is compared with (i) a faithful design of the original neural network implemented on the same evaluation kit, (ii) three state-of-the-art LSTM-based FPGA implementations, and (iii) software implementations running in cutting-edge smartphones:OnePlus NordTM and an Apple iPhone 13 ProTM with artificial in-telligence hardware accelerators. Our proposal consumes between ×1020 and ×7 less energy than the software implementations, being the most efficient system compared to the smartphones. On the other hand, its energy efficiency, measured in GFLOP/J, is between ×2.84 and ×7.82 greater than other state-of-the-art LSTM implementations, proving to be the most suitable implementation for a wearable system for blood glucose prediction.