Policies aiming to preserve vegetated coastal ecosystems (VCE; tidal marshes, mangroves and seagrasses) to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions require national assessments of blue carbon resources. Here, we present organic carbon (C) storage in VCE across Australian climate regions and estimate potential annual CO₂ emission benefits of VCE conservation and restoration. Australia contributes 5–11% of the C stored in VCE globally (70–185 Tg C in aboveground biomass, and 1,055–1,540 Tg C in the upper 1 m of soils). Potential CO₂ emissions from current VCE losses are estimated at 2.1–3.1 Tg CO₂-e yr^-1, increasing annual CO₂ emissions from land use change in Australia by 12–21%. This assessment, the most comprehensive for any nation to-date, demonstrates the potential of conservation and restoration of VCE to underpin national policy development for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Organic matter burial in mangrove forests results in the removal and long-term storage of atmospheric CO₂, so-called “blue carbon.” However, some of this organic matter is metabolized and returned to the atmosphere as CH₄. Because CH₄ has a higher global warming potential than the CO₂ fixed in the organic matter, it can offset the CO₂ removed via carbon burial. We provide the first estimate of the global magnitude of this offset. Our results show that high CH₄ evasion rates have the potential to partially offset blue carbon burial rates in mangrove sediments on average by 20% (sensitivity analysis offset range, 18 to 22%) using the 20-year global warming potential. Hence, mangrove sediment and water CH₄ emissions should be accounted for in future blue carbon assessments.