Osteoporosis affects more than 200 million women worldwide, with postmenopausal women being particularly susceptible to this condition and its severe sequelae disproportionately, such as osteoporotic fractures. To date, the current focus has been more on symptomatic treatment, rather than preventive measures. To address this, we performed a meta-analysis aiming to identify potential predictors of osteoporotic fractures in postmenopausal women, with the ultimate goal of identifying high-risk patients and exploring potential therapeutic approaches. We searched Embase, MEDLINE and Cochrane with search terms (postmenopausal AND fracture) AND (“risk factor” OR “predictive factor”) in May 2022 for cohort and case–control studies on the predictors of osteoporotic fracture in postmenopausal women. Ten studies with 1,287,021 postmenopausal women were found eligible for analyses, in which the sample size ranged from 311 to 1,272,115. The surveyed date spanned from 1993 to 2021. Our results suggested that age, BMI, senior high school and above, parity ≥ 3, history of hypertension, history of diabetes mellitus, history of alcohol intake, age at menarche ≥ 15, age at menopause < 40, age at menopause > 50, estrogen use and vitamin D supplements were significantly associated with osteoporotic fracture in postmenopausal women. Our findings facilitate the early prediction of osteoporotic fracture in postmenopausal women and may contribute to potential therapeutic approaches. By focusing on preventive strategies and identifying high-risk individuals, we can work toward reducing the burden of osteoporosis-related fractures in this vulnerable population.

Objective: The objective of this study was to utilize machine learning techniques to analyze perioperative factors and identify blood glucose levels that can predict the occurrence of surgical site infection following posterior lumbar spinal surgery. Methods: A total of 4019 patients receiving lumbar internal fixation surgery from an institute were enrolled between June 2012 and February 2021. First, the filtered data were randomized into the test and verification groups. Second, in the test group, specific variables were screened using logistic regression analysis, Lasso regression analysis, support vector machine, and random forest. Specific variables obtained using the four methods were intersected, and a dynamic model was constructed. ROC and calibration curves were constructed to assess model performance. Finally, internal model performance was verified in the verification group using ROC and calibration curves. Results: The data from 4019 patients were collected. In total, 1327 eligible cases were selected. By combining logistic regression analysis with three machine learning algorithms, this study identified four predictors associated with SSI, namely Modic changes, sebum thickness, hemoglobin, and glucose. Using this information, a prediction model was developed and visually represented. Then, we constructed ROC and calibration curves using the test group; the area under the ROC curve was 0.988. Further, calibration curve analysis revealed favorable consistency of nomogram-predicted values compared with real measurements. The C-index of our model was 0.986 (95% CI 0.981– 0.994). Finally, we used the validation group to validate the model internally; the AUC was 0.987. Calibration curve analysis revealed favorable consistency of nomogram-predicted values compared with real measurements. The C-index was 0.982 (95% CI 0.974– 0.999). Conclusion: Logistic regression analysis and machine learning were employed to select four risk factors: Modic changes, sebum thickness, hemoglobin, and glucose. Then, a dynamic prediction model was constructed to help clinicians simplify the monitoring and prevention of SSI.

Objective: This study was aimed to identify the biomarkers for diagnosis and reveal the immune microenvironment changes in ankylosing spondylitis (AS). Methods: GSE73754 was downloaded for the co-expression network construction and immune cell analyses. Flow cytometric analysis was performed to validate the results of bioinformatics analysis. Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to investigate the potential biological characteristic between different phenotypes. Pearson correlation analysis between the hub genes and the xCell score of immune cell types was performed. Results: Signal transducer and activator of transcription 3 (STAT3) and Spi-1 proto-oncogene (SPI1) was identified as the hub genes in the datasets GSE73754. And the t-test showed that the expression level of STAT3 and SPI1 in the GSE73754 was significantly higher in AS and human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-B27(+) groups. Flow cytometric analysis showed that natural killer T cells (NKT) cells were upregulated, while Th1 cells were down-regulated in AS, which was consistent with the results obtained from bioinformatics analysis. STAT3 and SPI1 was correlated with the NKT cells and Th1 cells. Conclusion: STAT3 and SPI1 may be a key cytokine receptor in disease progression in AS.

Due to a lack of studies on immune-related pathogenesis and a clinical diagnostic model, the diagnosis of Spinal Tuberculosis (STB) remains uncertain. Our study aimed to investigate the possible pathogenesis of STB and to develop a clinical diagnostic model for STB based on immune cell infiltration. Label-free quantification protein analysis of five pairs of specimens was used to determine the protein expression of the intervertebral disc in STB and non-STB. GO enrichment analysis, and KEGG pathway analysis were used to investigate the pathogenesis of STB. The Hub proteins were then eliminated. Four datasets were downloaded from the GEO database to analyze immune cell infiltration, and the results were validated using blood routine test data from 8535TB and 7337 non-TB patients. Following that, clinical data from 164 STB and 162 non-STB patients were collected. The Random-Forest algorithm was used to screen out clinical predictors of STB and build a diagnostic model. The differential expression of MMP9 and STAT1 in STB and controls was confirmed using immunohistochemistry. MMP9 and STAT1 were STB Hub proteins that were linked to disc destruction in STB. MMP9 and STAT1 were found to be associated with Monocytes, Neutrophils, and Lymphocytes in immune cell infiltration studies. Data from 15,872 blood routine tests revealed that the Monocytes ratio and Neutrophils ratio was significantly higher in TB patients than in non-TB patients (p < 0.001), while the Lymphocytes ratio was significantly lower in TB patients than in non-TB patients (p < 0.001). MMP9 and STAT1 expression were downregulated following the anti-TB therapy. For STB, a clinical diagnostic model was built using six clinical predictors: MR, NR, LR, ESR, BMI, and PLT. The model was evaluated using a ROC curve, which yielded an AUC of 0.816. MMP9 and STAT1, immune-related hub proteins, were correlated with immune cell infiltration in STB patients. MR, NR, LR ESR, BMI, and PLT were clinical predictors of STB. Thus, the immune cell Infiltration-related clinical diagnostic model can predict STB effectively.

Accurate classification of patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) is the premise of precision medicine so as to perform different medical interventions for different patient types. AS pathology is closely related to the changes in the immune microenvironment. In this study, we used unsupervised machine learning (UML) to classify patients with AS based on clinical characteristics. We then constructed a novel subtype predictive model for AS based on the clinical classification, after which we investigated the difference in the immune microenvironment to unravel the AS pathogenesis. Overall, 196 patients with AS were enrolled. UML was used to cluster AS patients by similar clinical characteristics. Functional ability, disease status, and grading of radiologic features were assessed to verify the accuracy and heterogeneity of UML clustering. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and Random Forest algorithm were used to screen and identify predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. Logistic regression was also performed to construct a predictive model of this novel subtype. Datasets were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database to assess immune cell infiltration, and the results were validated using data of routine blood tests from 3671 AS patients and 5720 non-AS patients. The differential expression of Fat Mass and Obesity-Associated Protein (FTO), an m⁶A regulator, between AS patients and healthy control subjects was confirmed using immunohistochemistry. UML clustering identified two clusters. The clinical characteristics of the two clusters were significantly heterogeneous. For the novel subtype of AS identified in UML clustering, a predictive model was built using three predictive factors, namely, C-reactive protein (CRP), absolute value of neutrophils (NEU), and absolute value of monocytes (MONO). The area under the curve of the predictive model was 0.983. Heterogeneity in the neutrophil and monocyte counts in AS was verified through immune cell infiltration analysis. Data from routine blood tests revealed that NEU and MONO were significantly higher in AS patients than in non-AS patients (p < 0.001). FTO expression was negatively correlated with both NEU and MONO. Immunohistochemistry analysis confirmed the downregulated expression of FTO. UML provides an explicable and remarkable classification of a heterogeneous cohort of AS patients. A novel subtype of AS was identified in UML clustering. CRP, NEU, and MONO were the independent predictive factors for the novel subtype of AS. FTO expression was correlated with immune cell infiltration in AS patients.

Objective: The present study attempted to predict blood transfusion risk in spinal tuberculosis surgery by using a novel predictive nomogram. Methods: The study was conducted on the clinical data of 495 patients (167 patients in the transfusion group and 328 patients in the non-transfusion group) who underwent spinal tuberculosis surgery in our hospital from June 2012 to June 2021. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to screen out statistically significant parameters, which were included to establish a novel predictive nomogram model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curves, C-index, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the model. Finally, the nomogram was further assessed through internal validation. Results: The C-index of the nomogram was 0.787 (95% confidence interval: 74.6%–.82.8%). The C-value calculated by internal validation was 0.763. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive nomogram was 0.785, and the DCA was 0.01–0.79. Conclusion: A nomogram with high accuracy, clinical validity, and reliability was established to predict blood transfusion risk in spinal tuberculosis surgery. Surgeons must prepare preoperative surgical strategies and ensure adequate availability of blood before surgery.