The potential of deep coalbed methane resources is substantial. Gas content is an important parameter for resource assessment. At present, the gas content test method commonly used for shallow coal reservoirs is not suitable for determining deep coalbed methane gas content. Therefore, it is urgent to establish a prediction method for deep coalbed methane gas content. This study aims to quantitatively predict the gas content of coalbed methane in deep coal reservoirs and uncover its influencing factors. For this purpose, we selected the Daning-Jixian area, a region in China with relatively advanced development of deep coalbed methane, as a case study. It established a prediction model for adsorbed gas and free gas content in deep coal reservoirs through a series of experimental tests, encompassing gas content, coal quality, isothermal adsorption, and nuclear magnetic resonance. The model sheds light on the impact of coal-rock characteristics, coal quality attributes, and pore characteristics on adsorbed gas and free gas content. The results show that adsorbed gas dominates in deep coal reservoirs with a high metamorphic degree and that the average proportion of adsorbed gas under reservoir burial depth is 80.15%. At a depth of approximately 1800~2000 m, a turning point is observed where adsorbed gas content begins to decline. Beyond this depth range, the detrimental effect of temperature on coalbed methane content surpasses the beneficial impact of pressure. Coal quality characteristics play a major role in controlling adsorbed gas content, and an increase in water content and ash yield significantly reduces the adsorption performance of coal reservoirs. The content of free gas increases with the increase in burial depth, with its controlling factors primarily being confining pressure and porosity. The increase in the proportion of micropores in the pores of deep coal reservoirs has an adverse effect on the content of free gas. The proportion of adsorbed gas in deep coal reservoirs gradually decreases with the increase in burial depth, while the proportion of free gas gradually rises with the increase in burial depth. The development potential of free gas cannot be overlooked in the exploration and development of deep coalbed methane.

The accurate characterization of coal pore structure is significant for coalbed methane (CBM) development. The splicing of practical pore ranges of multiple test methods can reflect pore structure characteristics. The pore\fracture compressibility is the main parameter affecting the porosity and permeability of coal reservoirs. The difference in compressibility of different coal rank reservoirs and pore\fracture structures with changing stress have not been systematically found. The pore structure characteristics of different rank coal samples were characterized using the optimal pore ranges of high-pressure mercury intrusion (HPMI), low-temperature liquid nitrogen adsorption (LT-N₂A), low-pressure carbon dioxide adsorption (LP-CDA), and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) based on six groups of different rank coal samples. The compressibility of coal matrix and pore\fracture were studied using HPMI data and NMR T₂ spectrum under effective stress. The results show that the more accurate full pore characterization results can be obtained by selecting the optimal pore range measured by HPMI, LT-N₂A, and LP-CDA and comparing it with the NMR pore results. The matrix compressibility of different rank coal samples shows that low-rank coal > high-rank coal > medium-rank coal. When the effective stress is less than 6 MPa, the microfractures are compressed rapidly, and the compressibility decreases slowly when the effective stress is more than 6 MPa. Thus, the compressibility of the adsorption pore is weak. Nevertheless, the adsorption pore has the most significant compression space because of the largest proportion in different pore structures. The variation trend of matrix compressibility and pore\fracture compressibility is consistent with the increase of coal rank. The compressibility decreases with the rise of reservoir heterogeneity and mechanical strength. The development of pore volume promotes compressibility. The research results have guiding significance for the exploration and development of CBM in different coal rank reservoirs.