We consider the problem of determining the distribution of means of random probability measures which are obtained by normalizing increasing additive processes. A solution is found by resorting to a well-known inversion formula for characteristic functions due to Gurland. Moreover, expressions of the posterior distributions of those means, in the presence of exchangeable observations, are given. Finally, a section is devoted to the illustration of two examples of statistical relevance.

Discrete random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce are key tools for addressing a variety of estimation and prediction problems in Bayesian inference. Here we focus on the family of Gibbs–type priors, a recent elegant generalization of the Dirichlet and the Pitman–Yor process priors. These random probability measures share properties that are appealing both from a theoretical and an applied point of view: (i) they admit an intuitive predictive characterization justifying their use in terms of a precise assumption on the learning mechanism; (ii) they stand out in terms of mathematical tractability; (iii) they include several interesting special cases besides the Dirichlet and the Pitman–Yor processes. The goal of our paper is to provide a systematic and unified treatment of Gibbs–type priors and highlight their implications for Bayesian nonparametric inference. We deal with their distributional properties, the resulting estimators, frequentist asymptotic validation and the construction of time–dependent versions. Applications, mainly concerning mixture models and species sampling, serve to convey the main ideas. The intuition inherent to this class of priors and the neat results they lead to make one wonder whether it actually represents the most natural generalization of the Dirichlet process.

In recent years the Dirichlet process prior has experienced a great success in the context of Bayesian mixture modeling. The idea of overcoming discreteness of its realizations by exploiting it in ...

We consider the problem of evaluating the probability of discovering a certain number of new species in a new sample of population units, conditional on the number of species recorded in a basic sample. We use a Bayesian nonparametric approach. The different species proportions are assumed to be random and the observations from the population exchangeable. We provide a Bayesian estimator, under quadratic loss, for the probability of discovering new species which can be compared with well-known frequentist estimators. The results we obtain are illustrated through a numerical example and an application to a genomic dataset concerning the discovery of new genes by sequencing additional single-read sequences of cdna fragments.