Contrary to the popular belief cited in the literature, the proposed data analytics technique shows that multiple linear regression (MLR) can achieve as high a predictive power as some of the black box models when the necessary interventions are implemented pertaining to the regression diagnostic. Such an MLR model can be utilised to design an optimal concrete mix, as it provides the explicit and accurate relationships between the HPC components and the expected compressive strength. Moreover, the proposed study offers a decision support tool incorporating the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) model to bridge the gap between black-box models and practitioners. The tool can be used to make faster, more data-driven, and accurate managerial decisions without having any expertise in the required fields, which would reduce a substantial amount of time, cost, and effort spent on measurement procedures of the compressive strength of HPC.
Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in decision‐making, but they can be difficult to understand because most ML models are black boxes, meaning that their inner workings are not transparent. This can make interpreting the results of ML models and understanding the underlying data‐generation process (DGP) challenging. In this article, we propose a novel methodology called Simple Interaction Finding Technique (SIFT) that can help make ML models more interpretable. SIFT is a data‐ and model‐agnostic approach that can be used to identify interaction effects between variables in a dataset. This can help improve our understanding of the DGP and make ML models more transparent and explainable to a wider audience. We test the proposed methodology against various factors (such as ML model complexity, dataset noise, spurious variables, and variable distributions) to assess its effectiveness and weaknesses. We show that the methodology is robust against many potential problems in the underlying dataset as well as ML algorithms.
This study aims to develop a decision support tool for identifying the point velocity profiles in rivers. The tool enables managers to make timely and accurate decisions, thereby eliminating a substantial amount of time, cost, and effort spent on measurement procedures. In the proposed study, three machine learning classification algorithms, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Classification & Regression Trees (C&RT) and Tree Augmented Naïve Bayes (TAN) along with Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR), are employed to classify the point velocities in rivers. The results showed that ANN has outperformed the other classification algorithms in predicting the outcome that was converted into 10 ordinal classes, by achieving the accuracy level of 0.46. Accordingly, a decision support tool incorporating ANN has been developed. Such a tool can be utilized by end-users (managers/practitioners) without any expertise in the machine learning field. This tool also helps in achieving success for financial investors and other relevant stakeholders.