Shouraseni Roy

Dr. Shouraseni Roy

Department of Geography and Regional Studies, University of Miami, Coral Gables, FL, USA
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

24Years (2003-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 March 2004 in International Journal of Climatology
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SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
RBRobert C. Balling
Robert C. Balling
We assembled daily precipitation records, initially for 3838 stations, throughout India and ultimately identified 129 stations with reasonably complete records over the period 1910 to 2000. From these daily records, we generated annual time series of seven different indices of extreme precipitation events, including total precipitation, largest 1, 5, and 30 day totals, and the number of daily events above the amount that marks the 90th, 95th, and 97.5th percentiles of all precipitation at each station. Of the 903 different time series (seven variables for 129 stations), 114 had a significant upward trend and 61 had a significant downward trend; overall, 61% of the time series showed an upward trend. The standard regression coefficients showing the strength and sign of the trend were highly correlated across the network. They generally showed increasing values in a contiguous region extending from the northwestern Himalayas in Kashmir through most of the Deccan Plateau in the south and decreasing values in the eastern part of the Gangetic Plain and parts of Uttaranchal. Our results are in general agreement with the prediction from numerical models for an increase in extreme precipitation events in India given the ongoing build‐up of greenhouse gases. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society

17 September 2014 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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Xiaomeng SongXiaomeng Song
Xiaomeng Song
JZJianyun Zhang
Jianyun Zhang
AAAmir Aghakouchak
Amir Aghakouchak
SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
Yunqing XuanYunqing Xuan
Yunqing Xuan
CLCuishan Liu
Cuishan Liu
This study investigates changes in temporal trends and spatial patterns of precipitation in Beijing over the last six decades. These changes are discussed in the context of rapid urbanization and the growing imbalance between water supply and demand in Beijing. We observed significant decreases in precipitation amounts from 1950 to 2012, with the annual precipitation decreasing by 32% at a decadal rate of 28.5 mm. In particular, precipitation decrease is more pronounced in the summer and warm seasons when water use is at its seasonal peak. We further analyzed hourly precipitation data from 43 rain gauges between 1980 and 2012 to examine the spatiotemporal characteristics of both precipitation amount and intensity across six distinct subregions in Beijing. No significant spatial variations in precipitation changes were identified, but slightly greater amounts of precipitation were noted in the urban areas (plains) than in the surrounding suburbs (mountains), due to the effect of urbanization and topography. Precipitation intensity has increased substantially, especially at the hourly duration, as evidenced by the more frequent occurrence of extreme storms. The observed decreased water availability and the increase in extreme weather events require more integrated water management, particularly given the expectation of a warmer and more variable climate, the continued rapid growth of the Beijing metropolis, and the intensifying conflict between water supply and demand.

13 November 2007 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
RMRezaul Mahmood
Rezaul Mahmood
DNDev Niyogi
Dev Niyogi
MLMing Lei
Ming Lei
SFStuart A. Foster
Stuart A. Foster
RPRoger Pielke
Roger Pielke
India has one of the most intensive and spatially extensive irrigation systems in the world developed during the1960s under the agricultural Green Revolution (GR). Irrigated landscapes can alter the regional surface energy balance and its associated temperature, humidity, and climate features. The main objective of this study is to determine the impacts of increased irrigation on long‐term temperature trends. An analysis of the monthly climatological surface data sets at the regional level over India showed that agriculture and irrigation can substantially reduce the air temperature over different regions during the growing season. The processes associated with agriculture and irrigation‐induced feedback are further diagnosed using a column radiation‐boundary layer model coupled to a detailed land surface/hydrology scheme, and 3‐D simulations using a Regional Atmospheric Modeling System. Both the modeling and observational analysis provide evidence that during the growing season, irrigation and agricultural activity are significantly modulating the surface temperatures over the Indian subcontinent. Therefore irrigation and agricultural impacts, along with land use change, and aerosol feedbacks need to be considered in regional and global modeling studies for climate change assessments.

23 June 2005 in Geophysical Research Letters
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SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
RBRobert C. Balling
Robert C. Balling

14 October 2008 in International Journal of Climatology
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SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
Station level hourly precipitation data from 1980 to 2002 spread across the Indian subcontinent were analysed for trends in extreme hourly precipitation events. The analyses were conducted for the main seasons of winter, dry‐summer, and wet‐summer monsoon seasons, respectively. The results of the study indicated rising trends in extreme heavy precipitation events, mostly in the high‐elevation regions of the northwestern Himalaya as well as along the foothills of the Himalaya extending south into the Indo‐Gangetic basin. In general, the lowest positive trends to slightly neutral to negative trends in extreme precipitation events were observed during the winter season, while stronger positive trends were found for both dry‐summer and wet‐summer monsoon seasons. Along the west coast, the southern part experienced a declining trend, whereas the northern section of the coast experienced an increasing trend of extreme precipitation events. Most of Deccan Plateau extending towards south central coastal regions of the subcontinent also experienced a positive trend in the occurrence of extreme heavy precipitation events. Furthermore, the trends affecting large, million‐plus‐population urban agglomerations were examined separately, and these trends were found to be pre‐dominantly positive during dry‐summer and wet‐summer monsoon seasons, but showed neutral to negative trends during the winter season. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society

14 February 2016 in Advances in Meteorology
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RBRobert C. Balling
Robert C. Balling
MKMohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany
Mohammad Sadegh Keikhosravi Kiany
SRShouraseni Roy
Shouraseni Roy
JKJavad Khoshhal
Javad Khoshhal
We investigate trends in extreme precipitation in Iran for 1951–2007 using the recently released APHRODITE daily rainfall time series. We find that seven different indices of extreme precipitation all show an upward trend through the study period. The seven different precipitation indices include annual precipitation total, number of days above a certain threshold, maximum precipitation received over a certain period of time, maximum one-day precipitation, and number of days with precipitation above the 90th percentile. A principal components analysis reveals one eigenvector explaining much of the variance in the seven indices and reveals that this component exhibits a strong upward trend for the whole of Iran. On a regional level, we find that the upward trend in extreme precipitation has a strong southwest-to-northeast gradient across the country for all the indices. We repeated all the analyses for 42 stations across the country to compare with the results from the gridded data; trends in extreme rainfall generated from the station data compare favorably with the results from the APHRODITE daily rainfall time series thereby reinforcing the robustness of our conclusions.