Dimitris Karlis

Dr. Dimitris Karlis

Department of Statistics, Athens University of Economics and Business, 10434 Athens, Greece
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

29Years (1998-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 October 2003 in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)
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Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
INIoannis Ntzoufras
Ioannis Ntzoufras

15 January 2007 in International Statistical Review
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Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
EXEvdokia Xekalaki
Evdokia Xekalaki

1 January 2003 in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
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Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
EXEvdokia Xekalaki
Evdokia Xekalaki

1 May 2008 in Accident Analysis & Prevention
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Tom BrijsTom Brijs
Tom Brijs
Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
GWGeert Wets
Geert Wets

1 January 2000 in Artificial Intelligence
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NDN.A. Diamantidis
N.A. Diamantidis
Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
EGE.A. Giakoumakis
E.A. Giakoumakis

29 August 2008 in IMA Journal of Management Mathematics
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Dimitris KarlisDimitris Karlis
Dimitris Karlis
INIoannis Ntzoufras
Ioannis Ntzoufras
Modelling football match outcomes is becoming increasingly popular nowadays for both team managers and betting funs. Most of the existing literature deals with modelling the number of goals scored by each team. In this paper, we work in a different direction. Instead of modelling the number of goals directly, we focus on the difference of the number of goals, i.e. the margin of victory. Modelling the differences instead of the scores themselves has some major advantages. Firstly, we eliminate correlation imposed by the fact that the two opponent teams compete each other, and secondly, we do not assume that the scored goals by each team are marginally Poisson distributed. Application of the Bayesian methodology for the Skellam's distribution using covariates is discussed. Illustrations using real data from the English Premiership for the season 2006–2007 are provided. The advantages of the proposed approach are also discussed.