Background: Supervised machine learning algorithms have been a dominant method in the data mining field. Disease prediction using health data has recently shown a potential application area for these methods. This study aims to identify the key trends among different types of supervised machine learning algorithms, and their performance and usage for disease risk prediction.Methods: In this study, extensive research efforts were made to identify those studies that applied more than one supervised machine learning algorithm on single disease prediction. Two databases (i.e., Scopus and PubMed) were searched for different types of search items. Thus, we selected 48 articles in total for the comparison among variants supervised machine learning algorithms for disease prediction.Results: We found that the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm is applied most frequently (in 29 studies) followed by the Naïve Bayes algorithm (in 23 studies). However, the Random Forest (RF) algorithm showed superior accuracy comparatively. Of the 17 studies where it was applied, RF showed the highest accuracy in 9 of them, i.e., 53%. This was followed by SVM which topped in 41% of the studies it was considered.Conclusion: This study provides a wide overview of the relative performance of different variants of supervised machine learning algorithms for disease prediction. This important information of relative performance can be used to aid researchers in the selection of an appropriate supervised machine learning algorithm for their studies.

Disease prediction has the potential to benefit stakeholders such as the government and health insurance companies. It can identify patients at risk of disease or health conditions. Clinicians can then take appropriate measures to avoid or minimise the risk and in turn, improve quality of care and avoid potential hospital admissions. Due to the recent advancement of tools and techniques for data analytics, disease risk prediction can leverage large amounts of semantic information, such as demographics, clinical diagnosis and measurements, health behaviours, laboratory results, prescriptions and care utilisation. In this regard, electronic health data can be a potential choice for developing disease prediction models. A significant number of such disease prediction models have been proposed in the literature over time utilising large-scale electronic health databases, different methods and healthcare variables. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the use of electronic health data for risk prediction models. A comparison of the results from different techniques for three frequently modelled diseases using electronic health data was also discussed in this study. In addition, the advantages and disadvantages of different risk prediction models, as well as their performance, were presented. Electronic health data have been widely used for disease prediction. A few modelling approaches show very high accuracy in predicting different diseases using such data. These modelling approaches have been used to inform the clinical decision process to achieve better outcomes.