Stéphane Thil

Dr. Stéphane Thil

PROMES-CNRS (UPR 8521)
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 March 2020 in Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NDNouha Dkhili
Nouha Dkhili
JEJulien Eynard
Julien Eynard
STStéphane Thil
Stéphane Thil
SGStéphane Grieu
Stéphane Grieu

29 May 2021 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SGShab GBEMOU
Shab GBEMOU
Julien EynardJulien Eynard
Julien Eynard
STStéphane Thil
Stéphane Thil
EGEmmanuel Guillot
Emmanuel Guillot
SGStéphane Grieu
Stéphane Grieu
The proliferation of photovoltaic (PV) power generation in power distribution grids induces increasing safety and service quality concerns for grid operators. The inherent variability, essentially due to meteorological conditions, of PV power generation affects the power grid reliability. In order to develop efficient monitoring and control schemes for distribution grids, reliable forecasting of the solar resource at several time horizons that are related to regulation, scheduling, dispatching, and unit commitment, is necessary. PV power generation forecasting can result from forecasting global horizontal irradiance (GHI), which is the total amount of shortwave radiation received from above by a surface horizontal to the ground. A comparative study of machine learning methods is given in this paper, with a focus on the most widely used: Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), and artificial neural networks (ANN). Two years of GHI data with a time step of 10 min are used to train the models and forecast GHI at varying time horizons, ranging from 10 min to 4 h. Persistence on the clear-sky index, also known as scaled persistence model, is included in this paper as a reference model. Three criteria are used for in-depth performance estimation: normalized root mean square error (nRMSE), dynamic mean absolute error (DMAE) and coverage width-based criterion (CWC). Results confirm that machine learning-based methods outperform the scaled persistence model. The best-performing machine learning-based methods included in this comparative study are the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network and the GPR model using a rational quadratic kernel with automatic relevance determination.

1 August 2014 in Energy and Buildings
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SRSullivan Royer
Sullivan Royer
STStéphane Thil
Stéphane Thil
TTThierry Talbert
Thierry Talbert
MPMonique Polit
Monique Polit


1 August 2016 in Applied Mathematical Modelling
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
JNJulien Nou
Julien Nou
RCRémi Chauvin
Rémi Chauvin
STStéphane Thil
Stéphane Thil
SGStéphane Grieu
Stéphane Grieu

1 January 2019 in IFAC-PapersOnLine
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
HTHanany Tolba
Hanany Tolba
NDNouha Dkhili
Nouha Dkhili
JNJulien Nou
Julien Nou
JEJulien Eynard
Julien Eynard
STStéphane Thil
Stéphane Thil
SGStéphane Grieu
Stéphane Grieu