The application of a simple blood test to predict prognosis in acute heart failure (AHF) patients is not well established. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is inexpensive and easy to obtain in hospitalized patients using a routine blood test. We evaluate the prognostic implications of NLR as an independent predictor of in-hospital and long-term mortality in AHF patients. Among 5625 patients enrolled in the Korean Acute Heart Failure registry, 5580 patients were classified into quartiles by their NLR level, and analyzed for in-hospital and post-discharge three-year mortality. Patients in the highest NLR quartile had the highest in-hospital and post-discharge three-year mortality. The same results were seen by dividing the aggravating factor into the infection or ischemia group and the non-infection or non-ischemia group. For patients aggravated from infection or ischemia, a cut-off NLR value was 7.0 that increase the risk of in-hospital and post-discharge three-year mortality. In subgroups of patients not aggravated from infection or ischemia, a cut-off NLR value was 5.0 that increase the risk of in-hospital and post discharge three-year mortality. Elevated NLR in AHF patients at the index hospitalization is an independent predictor for in-hospital and post-discharge three-year mortality. Taken together, NLR is a marker for risk assessment of AHF patients.

Kim MS, et al. Korean Circ J. 2017 Sep;47(5):555-643. https://doi.org/10.4070/kcj.2017.0009

It has been reported that left ventricular (LV) myocardial strain and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) on cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging have prognostic value in patients with heart failure (HF). However, previous studies included patients with various systolic functions. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of LV myocardial strain and LGE on CMR imaging in patients with idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) with reduced ejection fraction (EF < 40%). From a prospectively followed cohort who underwent CMR between November 2008 and December 2015, subjects with LV EF < 40% and a diagnosis of idiopathic DCM were eligible for this study. The CMR images were analyzed for LV and right ventricular (RV) function, presence and extent of LGE, and LV myocardial strain. The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause death and heart transplantation. The secondary outcome was hospitalization for HF. A total of 172 patients were included, in whom mean LV EF was 23.7 ± 7.9% (EF 30–40% n = 47; EF < 30% n = 125). During a median follow-up of 47 months, the primary outcome occurred in 43 patients (16 heart transplantations, 29 all-cause deaths), and there were 41 hospitalizations for HF. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis showed that mean arterial pressure, serum sodium concentration, log of plasma NT-proBNP level, and presence of LGE (HR 2.277, 95% CI: 1.221–4.246) were significantly associated with the primary outcome. However, LV strain had no significant association (HR 1.048, 95% CI: 0.945–1.163). Multivariable analysis showed that presence of LGE (HR 4.73, 95% CI: 1.11–20.12) and serum sodium (HR 0.823, 95% CI: 0.762–0.887) were independently associated with the primary outcome. LGE in CMR imaging was a good predictor of adverse outcomes for patients with idiopathic DCM and reduced EF. Identification of LGE could thus improve risk stratification in high-risk patients. LV strain had no significant prognostic value in patients with moderate to severe systolic dysfunction.

Chang SA, et al. J Korean Med Sci. 2015 May;30(5):559-568. https://doi.org/10.3346/jkms.2015.30.5.559

Kim D, et al. Korean Circ J. 2018 Aug;49:e54. https://doi.org/10.4070/kcj.2018.0392

A 12-lead ECG is a simple and less costly measure to assess cardiac amyloidosis and may reflect the infiltrative nature of cardiac amyloidosis and have prognostic value for predicting overall survival in patients with cardiac AL amyloidosis. Therefore, we investigated the associations of surface ECG parameters with left ventricular (LV) global longitudinal strain (GLS) and prognosis in patients with cardiac AL amyloidosis. We performed a multi-center, retrospective analysis of 102 biopsy-proven cardiac AL amyloidosis patients. Baseline studies included 12-lead surface ECG and echocardiography, with two-dimensional strain analysis performed within one month of diagnosis. From the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, patients with prolonged QTc (≥483 msec) had significantly poorer survival. ECG scores were assigned according to presence of prolonged QTc (≥483 msec) and abnormal QRS axis, and the study participants were divided into three groups according to ECG score. Mean absolute value of LV GLS and regional LV longitudinal strain (LS) differed significantly among the three groups and decreased in a stepwise manner as ECG score increased. Log NT-proBNP increased in a stepwise manner as ECG score increased. Prolonged QTc (≥483 msec) and abnormal QRS axis showed significant incremental values in addition to the revised Mayo stage. The presence of prolonged QTc (≥483 msec) and abnormal QRS axis showed significant incremental values for overall mortality rates. In addition, ECG scores consisting of presence of prolonged QTc (≥483 msec), and abnormal QRS axis showed good association with longitudinal LV dysfunction and NT-proBNP. ECG finding may provide prognostic additional information regarding prognosis of AL amyloidosis with cardiac involvement.