Background: Millions of people have been infected worldwide in the COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we aim to propose fourteen prediction models based on artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict the COVID-19 outbreak for policy makers. Methods: The ANN-based models were utilized to estimate the confirmed cases of COVID-19 in China, Japan, Singapore, Iran, Italy, South Africa and United States of America. These models exploit historical records of confirmed cases, while their main difference is the number of days that they assume to have impact on the estimation process. The COVID-19 data were divided into a train part and a test part. The former was used to train the ANN models, while the latter was utilized to compare the purposes. The data analysis shows not only significant fluctuations in the daily confirmed cases but also different ranges of total confirmed cases observed in the time interval considered. Results: Based on the obtained results, the ANN-based model that takes into account the previous 14 days outperforms the other ones. This comparison reveals the importance of considering the maximum incubation period in predicting the COVID-19 outbreak. Comparing the ranges of determination coefficients indicates that the estimated results for Italy are the best one. Moreover, the predicted results for Iran achieved the ranges of [0.09, 0.15] and [0.21, 0.36] for the mean absolute relative errors and normalized root mean square errors, respectively, which were the best ranges obtained for these criteria among different countries. Conclusion: Based on the achieved results, the ANN-based model that takes into account the previous fourteen days for prediction is suggested to predict daily confirmed cases, particularly in countries that have experienced the first peak of the COVID-19 outbreak. This study has not only proved the applicability of ANN-based model for prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak, but also showed that considering incubation period of SARS-COV-2 in prediction models may generate more accurate estimations.

Excessive population growth and high water demands have significantly increased water extractions from deep and semi-deep wells in the arid regions of Iran. This has negatively affected water quality in different areas. The Water Quality Index (WQI) is a suitable tool to assess such impacts. This study used WQI and the fuzzy hierarchical analysis process of the water quality index (FAHP-WQI) to investigate the water quality status of 96 deep agricultural wells in the Yazd-Ardakan Plain, Iran. Calculating the WQI is time-consuming, but estimating WQI is inevitable for water resources management. For this purpose, three Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, namely, Gene Expression Programming (GEP), M5P Model tree, and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS), were employed to predict WQI. Using Wilcox and Schoeller charts, water quality was also investigated for agricultural and drinking purposes. The results demonstrated that 75% and 33% of the study area have good quality, based on the WQI and FAHP-WQI methods, respectively. According to the results of the Wilcox chart, around 37.25% of the wells are in the C3S2 and C3S1 classes, which indicate poor water quality. Schoeller’s diagram placed the drinking water quality of the Yazd-Ardakan plain in acceptable, inadequate, and inappropriate categories. Afterwards, WQI, predicted by means of ML models, were compared on several statistical criteria. Finally, the comparative analysis revealed that MARS is slightly more accurate than the M5P model for estimating WQI.

River water quality is of utmost importance because the river is not only one of the key water resources but also a natural habitat serving its surrounding environment. In a bid to address whether it has a qualified quality, various analytics are required to be considered, but it is challenging to measure all of them frequently along a river reach. Therefore, estimating water quality index (WQI) incorporating several weighted analytics is a useful approach to assess water quality in rivers. This study explored applications of ten machine learning (ML) models to estimate WQI for the Southern Bug River, which is the second-longest river in Ukraine. The ML methods considered in this study include artificial neural networks (ANNs), Support Vector Regressor (SVR), Extreme Learning Machine, Decision Tree Regressor, random forest, AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Boosting Regressor, XGBoost Regressor (XGBR), Gaussian process (GP), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). Each data measurement consists of nine analytics (NH₄, BOD₅, suspended solids, DO, NO₃, NO₂, SO₄, PO₄, Cl), while the quantity of data is more than 2700 data points. The results indicated that all ML models demonstrate satisfactory performance in predicting WQI. However, GP outperformed the other models, followed by XGBR, SVR, and KNN. Furthermore, ANN and AB demonstrated relatively weaker performance. Moreover, a reliability assessment conducted on both training and testing datasets also confirmed the results of the comparative analysis. Overall, the results enhance the assertion that ML models can sufficiently predict WQI, thereby enhancing water quality management.