A series of online rumours have seriously influenced the normal production and living of people. This paper aims to study the combined impact of psychological factor, propagation delay, network topology and control strategy on rumour diffusion over the online social networks. Based on an online social network, which is seen as a scale-free network, we model the spread of rumours by using a delayed SIS (Susceptible and Infected) epidemic-like model with consideration of psychological factor and network topology. First, through theoretical analysis, we illustrate the boundedness of the density of rumour-susceptible individuals and rumour-infected individuals. Second, we obtain the basic reproduction number R₀ and prove the stability of the non-rumour equilibrium point and the rumour-spreading equilibrium point. Third, control strategies, such as uniform immunisation control, proportional immunisation control, targeted immunisation control and optimum control, are put forward to restrain rumour diffusion. Meanwhile, we have compared the differences of these control strategies. Finally, some representative numerical simulations are performed to verify the theoretical analysis results.

Zika virus, a reemerging mosquito-borne flavivirus, started spread across Central and Southern America and more recently to North America. The most serious impacted country is Brazil. Based on the transmission mechanism of the virus and assessment of the limited data on the reported suspected cases, we establish a dynamical model which allows us to estimate the basic reproduction number R ₀ = 2.5020. The wild spreading of the virus make it a great challenge to public health to control and prevention of the virus. We formulate two control models to study the impact of releasing transgenosis mosquitoes (introducing bacterium Wolbachia into Aedes aegypti) on the transmission of Zika virus in Brazil. Our models and analysis suggest that simultaneously releasing Wolbachia-harboring female and male mosquitoes will achieve the target of population replacement, while releasing only Wolbachia-harboring male mosquitoes will suppress or even eradicate wild mosquitoes eventually. We conclude that only releasing male Wolbachia mosquitoes is a better strategy for control the spreading of Zika virus in Brazil.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-2019), a newly emerging disease in China, posed a public health emergency of China. Wuhan is the most serious affected city. Some measures have been taken to control the transmission of COVID-19. From Jan. 23rd, 2020, gradually increasing medical resources (such as health workforce, protective clothing, essential medicines) were sent to Wuhan from other provinces, and the government has established the hospitals to quarantine and treat infected individuals. Under the condition of sufficient medical resources in Wuhan, late-stage of epidemic showed a downward trend. Assessing the effectiveness of medical resources is of great significance for the future response to similar disease. Based on the transmission mechanisms of COVID-19 and epidemic characteristics of Wuhan, by using time-dependent rates for some parameters, we establish a dynamical model to reflect the changes of medical resources on transmission of COVID-19 in Wuhan. Our model is applied to simulate the reported data on cumulative and new confirmed cases in Wuhan from Jan. 23rd to Mar. 6th, 2020. We estimate the basic reproduction number R₀ = 2.71, which determines whether the disease will eventually die out or not under the absence of effective control measures. Moreover, we calculate the effective daily reproduction ratio R_e(t), which is used to measure the 'daily reproduction number'. We obtain that R_e(t) drops less than 1 since Feb. 8th. Our results show that delayed opening the 'Fire God Hill' hospital will greatly increase the magnitude of the outbreak. This shows that the government's timely establishment of hospitals and effective quarantine via quick detection prevent a larger outbreak.