As a safety and reliability analysis technique, failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) has been used extensively in several industries for the identification and elimination of known and potential failures. However, some shortcomings associated with the FMEA method have limited its applicability. This study aims at presenting a comprehensive FMEA model that could efficiently handle the preference interdependence and psychological behavior of experts in the process of failure modes ranking. In this model, a linguistic variable expressed by the interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy number (IVPFN) is utilized by experts to provide preference information with regard to failure modes’ evaluation and risk factors’ weight. Then, to depict the interdependent relationships between experts’ preferences, the Bonferroni mean operator is extended to IVPFN to aggregate the experts’ preference. Subsequently, an extended TODIM approach in which the dominance degree of failure modes is calculated by grey relational analysis is utilized to determine the risk priority of failure modes. Finally, a practical example concerning the risk assessment of a nuclear reheat valve system is provided to demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the presented method. In addition, a sensitivity analysis and comparison analysis are conducted, and the results show that the preference interdependence and psychological behavior of experts have an important effect on the risk priority of failure modes.
8 October 2019 in IEEE Transactions on Reliability
Risk is an objective quantity applied to describe the degree of harm to a specific system of many activities and technologies. In order to manage risk successfully and ensure the normal operation of a system, an explicit system risk definition and a system risk analysis approach are essential. After analyzing the system risk change curve, a new definition of system risk is given, which is formulated as the risk energy change in a system. A Gaussian pulse energy function is introduced to calculate the changed risk energy, and a new unit H is given to describe the system risk, where H formulates each unit energy change in the system or subsystem caused by the risk pulse. Based on the Gaussian pulse energy function, an improved risk field is modeled and described from two perspectives: risk potential and risk field strength. The characteristics of the improved risk field are modeled and simulated, including the superposition law of the risk potential, superposition law of the risk field strength and risk force, the flux and divergence of the risk field, and the ring flux and rotation of the risk field. The risk potential superposition law and the risk field strength superposition law provide a new system risk analysis approach to explain the formation process of system coupling risk and the interaction laws of the risk factors in a system. Finally, a real-world case study is conducted by taking a railway dangerous goods transportation accident in 2001 as a background. The simulation results of risk pulse energy show that the system risk energy value of the risk-accident critical state is between 1.712e-04H and 1.922e-04H. When the fourth risk pulse appeared, the system risk change curve crossed the risk-accident critical state line, and the accident happened. The simulation results of the risk potential and risk field strength show that risk source 1 has the biggest risk potential value and risk field strength value, followed by risk sources 1, 3, and 4, which means that risk source 1 has the biggest contribution to the accident, and it has the biggest risk impact strength to other matters.
Linguistic interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets, as an extension of interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets, have strong practical value in the management of complex uncertainty system with qualitative evaluation information. This study focuses on the development of several linguistic interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy Hamacher (LIVIFH) aggregation operators based on the extended Hamacher t-norm and s-norm. First, the extended Hamacher t-norm and s-norm, which are applicable to linguistic information environment, are applied to define the linguistic interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy Hamacher operational laws. Second, based on the proposed operational laws, this study defines the linguistic interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy Hamacher weighted average (LIVIFHWA) operator and the linguistic interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy Hamacher weighted geometric (LIVIFHWG) operator, and then investigates their properties. Furthermore, the degeneracy and monotonicity of the proposed operators with respect to the adjustable parameter are explored. Finally, a multiple attribute group decision-making (MAGDM) approach is developed based on the proposed LIVIFH aggregation operators, and then this approach is applied to a supplier selection problem. Parameter analysis indicates that the adjustable parameter in the proposed LIVIFH aggregation operators could reflect the attitudes of decision makers. The LIVIFHWA operator would be more appropriate to optimistic decision makers, and the LIVIFHWG operator to pessimistic decision makers. In addition, as the adjustable parameter increasing, both attitudes tend to be neutral. The proposed method is also compared with two other approaches to show its feasibility and efficiency.
1 January 2019 in International Journal of Computational Intelligence Systems
In recent years, hesitant multiplicative preference relation (HMPR) has been a powerful means to represent the evaluation information of decision makers during the pairwise comparison concerning alternatives. As the important parts of group decision making (GDM) issues with HMPRs, the consistency improving and consensus reaching processes have been researched by many scholars; however, the existing approaches present several limitations, including defining the consistency index depend on the other HMPR instead of the original HMPR, improving the consistency and consensus levels of HMPRs independently, and that the high computational complexity of the existing iterative algorithms. To overcome these drawbacks, this paper proposes a mathematical programming model to improve the consistency and consensus levels of HMPRs, simultaneously. First, a consistency index according to multiplicative consistency is put forward to compute the consistency degree of normalized HMPR (NHMPR) after the normalization procedure. Second, a programming model by minimizing the difference between the original NHMPR and the revised NHMPR is developed to obtain the acceptably consistent NHMPR; then, a consistency-based method is constructed to solve the decision making problems with an HMPR. Third, considering the GDM issues, a consistency- and consensus-based programming model is established to obtain the acceptably consistent and consensus NHMPRs, in which the original evaluation information can remain as much as possible. Fourth, the normalized hesitant multiplicative weighted geometric operator is introduced to fuse the revised NHMPRs and an algorithm for GDM is proposed with novel consistency improving and consensus reaching processes. Finally, two numerical examples are applied to show the practicality and advantages of the proposed approaches.
5 January 2017 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Reasonable railway container freight stations layout means higher transportation efficiency and less transportation cost. To obtain more objective and accurate reselection results, a new entropy‐cloud approach is formulated to solve the problem. The approach comprises three phases: Entropy Method is used to obtain the weight of each subcriterion during Phase 1, then cloud model is designed to form the evaluation cloud for each subcriterion during Phase 2, and finally during Phase 3 we use the weight during Phase 1 to multiply the initial evaluation cloud during Phase 2. MATLAB is applied to determine the evaluation figures and help us to make the final alternative decision. To test our approach, the railway container stations in Wuhan Railway Bureau were selected for our case study. The final evaluation result indicates only Xiangyang Station should be renovated and developed as a Special Transaction Station, five other stations should be kept and developed as Ordinary Stations, and the remaining 16 stations should be closed. Furthermore, the results show that, before the site reselection process, the average distance between two railway container stations was only 74.7 km but has improved to 182.6 km after using the approach formulated in this paper.
12 March 2017 in Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
For the purpose of alleviating traffic congestion, this paper proposes a scheme to encourage travelers to carpool by traffic restriction. By a variational inequity we describe travelers’ mode (solo driving and carpooling) and route choice under user equilibrium principle in the context of fixed demand and detect the performance of a simple network with various restriction links, restriction proportions, and carpooling costs. Then the optimal traffic restriction scheme aiming at minimal total travel cost is designed through a bilevel program and applied to a Sioux Fall network example with genetic algorithm. According to various requirements, optimal restriction regions and proportions for restricted automobiles are captured. From the results it is found that traffic restriction scheme is possible to enhance carpooling and alleviate congestion. However, higher carpooling demand is not always helpful to the whole network. The topology of network, OD demand, and carpooling cost are included in the factors influencing the performance of the traffic system.