Climate change affects price fluctuations in the carbon, energy and metals markets through physical and transition risks. Climate physical risk is mainly caused by extreme weather, natural disasters and other events caused by climate change, whereas climate transition risk mainly results from the gradual switchover to a low-carbon economy. Given that the connectedness between financial markets may be affected by various factors such as extreme events and economic transformation, understanding the different roles of climate physical risk and transition risk on the higher-moment connectedness across markets has important implications for investors to construct portfolios and regulators to establish regulation system. Here, using the GJRSK model, time-frequency connectedness framework and quantile-on-quantile method, we show asymmetric effects of climate risk on connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets, with higher impacts of climate physical risk on upward risk spillovers, and greater effects of climate transition risk on the downside risk of kurtosis connectedness.
The role of economic policy uncertainty in the risk transmission between crude oil and stock market cannot be ignored. However, it is unclear whether economic policy uncertainty always amplifies the impact of oil price shocks on stock market over time. This study employs the time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression with stochastic volatility (TVP-SVAR-SV) model to examine the dynamic relationship among different types of oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty, and China’s stock market returns at the aggregate and industry levels. The empirical results are as follows: First, different types of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty have significant time-varying impacts on stock market returns, which mainly occur in the short term. During periods of increased economic policy uncertainty, the stock market is more sensitive to oil price shocks. Second, economic policy uncertainty provides a transmission channel for the propagation between oil price shocks and stock markets, but how does economic policy uncertainty connect oil-stock nexus depends on the origins of oil price shocks. Third, the response patterns of stock market to oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty are heterogeneous in different industries. Our results provide important implications for policymakers and investors.