The continued spread of electric vehicles raises new challenges for the supporting digital infrastructure. For example, long-distance route planning for such vehicles relies on the prediction of both the expected travel time as well as energy use. We envision a two-tier architecture to produce such predictions. First, a routing and travel-time-prediction subsystem generates a suggested route and predicts how the speed will vary along the route. Next, the expected energy use is predicted from the speed profile and other contextual characteristics, such as weather information and slope. To this end, the paper proposes deep-learning models that are built from EV tracking data. First, as the speed profile of a route is one of the main predictors for energy use, different simple ways to build speed profiles are explored. Next, eight different deep-learning models for energy-use prediction are proposed. Four of the models are probabilistic in that they predict not a single-point estimate but parameters of a probability distribution of energy use on the route. This is particularly relevant when predicting EV energy use, which is highly sensitive to many input characteristics and, thus, can hardly be predicted precisely. Extensive experiments with two real-world EV tracking datasets validate the proposed methods. The code for this research has been made available on GitHub.
19 June 2022 in Advances in Mechanical Engineering
In this paper, long short-term memory (LSTM) and Transformer neural network models were developed for classification of different conveyor belt conditions (loaded and unloaded). Comparative shallow models such as logistic regression, support vector machine and random forest were also developed and summarized. Six different-length belt pressure signals were analyzed: 0.2, 0.4, 0.8, 1.6, 3.2, and 5.0 s. Both LSTM and Transformer models achieved 100% accuracy using pressure raw signal. Furthermore, LSTM model reached the highest classification level with the shortest signals. Accuracy and F1-score of 98% and 100% were reached using only 0.8 and 1.6 s-length signals, respectively. Also, LSTM model performed training and testing procedures faster than Transformer. Random forest model demonstrated the best classification level using aggregated signal data with accuracy of 85% and F1-score for loaded and unloaded conditions of 85% and 69%, respectively. Loaded conveyor belt condition was significantly easier to classify than the unloaded one in all models. Only LSTM showed better classification recall for unloaded conveyor belt condition using short signal. Experimental research dataset CORBEL (Conveyor belt pressure signal dataset) and models are open-sourced and accessible on GitHub https://github.com/TadasZvirblis/CORBEL .
15 June 2018 in Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and Control
A model for the numerical simulation of the action of microbioreactor acting in the continuous flow mode was developed. The microbioreactor system was mathematically modelled by a two-compartment model based on transient reaction-diffusion equations containing a non-linear term related to the Michaelis–Menten kinetics of the enzymatic reaction. The effectiveness of microbioreactor and the process duration were numerically and partially analytically analysed at transition and steady-state conditions in a wide range of model parameters. The computational simulation was carried out using the finite difference technique. The performed calculations showed nonlinear effects of the internal and external diffusion limitations on the effectiveness and process duration.
We propose a simple multiple outlier identification method for parametric location-scale and shape-scale models when the number of possible outliers is not specified. The method is based on a result giving asymptotic properties of extreme z-scores. Robust estimators of model parameters are used defining z-scores. An extensive simulation study was done for comparing of the proposed method with existing methods. For the normal family, the method is compared with the well known Davies-Gather, Rosner’s, Hawking’s and Bolshev’s multiple outlier identification methods. The choice of an upper limit for the number of possible outliers in case of Rosner’s test application is discussed. For other families, the proposed method is compared with a method generalizing Gather-Davies method. In most situations, the new method has the highest outlier identification power in terms of masking and swamping values. We also created R package outliersTests for proposed test.