Mu​hammad Arshad

Dr. Mu​hammad Arshad

Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), 15374, Muencheberg, Germany

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

16Years (2011-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 October 2019 in Ecological Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SHShakhawat Hossain
Shakhawat Hossain
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
LQLu Qian
Lu Qian
MZMinjuan Zhao
Minjuan Zhao
YMYasir Mehmood
Yasir Mehmood
HKHarald Kächele
Harald Kächele

26 May 2015 in Climate and Development
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
TAT.S Amjath-Babu
T.S Amjath-Babu
HKHarald Kächele
Harald Kächele
KMKlaus Mueller
Klaus Mueller
Pakistan has become a poster child for extreme weather events such as floods and droughts in recent years. The frequency and severity of these events are expected to increase in the future due to predicted climatic changes. This scenario suggests the likelihood of increased crop damage in flood- or drought-prone areas, and hence the need for risk-reducing mechanisms. This paper attempts to determine whether crop insurance is an acceptable tool against flood and drought events in rural Pakistan. It also analyses the factors influencing a farmer's willingness to pay insurance premiums. In a rural farm-household survey, farmers were asked about their willingness to pay for a hypothetical crop insurance programme employing a “double-bounded dichotomous contingent valuation method”. The results revealed that around 30% of the respondents accepted the idea of crop insurance as a tool to reduce and mitigate the financial risks associated with floods and droughts. Our findings suggest that the frequency and severity of the previous weather-related extremes, socio-economic settings, farm typology and the farming communities’ ability to pay need to be taken into consideration when introducing crop insurance programmes against flood or drought in Pakistan. Furthermore, disseminating awareness among farming communities about the future climatic changes and the associated risks of the occurrence of extreme weather events is imperative. The government's willingness to share/subsidize insurance premiums may increase the demand for crop insurance among smallholders in Pakistan and protect them from the negative repercussions of these extreme weather events in order to sustain their livelihoods.

20 May 2019 in International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MHMohammad Shakhawat Hossain
Mohammad Shakhawat Hossain
QLQian Lu
Qian Lu
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
Shamsuddin ShahidShamsuddin Shahid
Shamsuddin Shahid
Shah FahadShah Fahad
Shah Fahad
JAJaved Akhter
Javed Akhter
Changes in climate may have both beneficial and harmful effects on crop yields. However, the effects will be more in countries whose economy depends on agriculture. This study aims to measure the economic impacts of climate change on crop farming in Bangladesh. A Ricardian model was used to estimate the relationship between net crop income and climate variables. Historical climate data and farm household level data from all climatic zones of Bangladesh were collected for this purpose. A regression model was then developed of net crop income per hectare against long-term climate, household and farm variables. Marginal impacts of climate change and potential future impacts of projected climate scenarios on net crop incomes were also estimated. The results revealed that net crop income in Bangladesh is sensitive to climate, particularly to seasonal temperature. A positive effect of temperature rise on net crop income was observed for the farms located in the areas having sufficient irrigation facilities. Estimated marginal impact suggests that 1 mm/month increase in rainfall and 10°C increase in temperature will lead to about US$4-15 increase in net crop income per hectare in Bangladesh. However, there will be significant seasonal and spatial variations in the impacts. The assessment of future impacts under climate change scenarios projected by Global Circulation Models indicated an increase in net crop income from US$25-84 per hectare in the country. The findings of this study indicate the need for development practitioners and policy planners to consider both the beneficial and harmful effects of climate change across different climatic zones while designing and implementing the adaptation policies in the country. Literature survey of the Web of Science, Science Direct and Google Scholar indicates that this study is the first attempt to measure the economic impacts of climate change on overall crop farming sector in Bangladesh using an econometric model.

1 October 2019 in Science of The Total Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NMNasir Mahmood
Nasir Mahmood
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
HKHarald Kächele
Harald Kächele
HMHua Ma
Hua Ma
AUAyat Ullah
Ayat Ullah
KMKlaus Müller
Klaus Müller

3 August 2016 in Paddy and Water Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
TAT. S. Amjath-Babu
T. S. Amjath-Babu
TKTimothy Krupnik
Timothy Krupnik
SASreejith Aravindakshan
Sreejith Aravindakshan
AAAzhar Abbas
Azhar Abbas
KMKlaus Mueller
Klaus Mueller

1 August 2016 in Ecological Indicators
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
TAT.S Amjath-Babu
T.S Amjath-Babu
TKTimothy Krupnik
Timothy Krupnik
SASreejith Aravindakshan
Sreejith Aravindakshan
MAMu​hammad Arshad
Mu​hammad Arshad
HKHarald Kaechele
Harald Kaechele