Ali Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi

Mr. Ali Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi

4 Vörösmarty Street, Pécs, 7621 Hungary, Doctoral School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary, Pécs, Baranya, Hungary

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

1Year (2026-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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BCBálint Pál Csaba
Bálint Pál Csaba
AAAli Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi
Ali Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi
AJAmmar Mahmood Jaber
Ammar Mahmood Jaber
PPPakai Pakai
Pakai Pakai
ZVZsofia Verzar
Zsofia Verzar
Background: Although extreme heat is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes, the relationship between heat-alert-threshold days, acute myocardial infarction (AMI) admissions, and post-AMI mortality remains uncertain. We aimed to evaluate the association between temperature-defined heat-alert-threshold days and (i) daily AMI admissions and (ii) cumulative all-cause mortality after hospitalized AMI in Hungary. Methods: We conducted a nationwide registry-based study using data from the Hungarian Myocardial Infarction Registry (HMR). All AMI admissions between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2019 were eligible, with mortality follow-up through 16 June 2021. Heat-alert-threshold days were defined using the temperature criterion applied in the Hungarian national heat-health action plan (daily mean temperature ≥25 °C). AMI admissions were analyzed using adjusted quasi-Poisson regression models and cumulative mortality using stratified Cox proportional hazards models. This operational temperature threshold was used as the exposure definition and does not represent linkage to administrative heat-alert declarations. Results: The cohort included 30,883 AMI events from 29,596 unique patients (mean age, 67.2 [SD 12.8] years; 60.3% male). Patients admitted on heat-alert-threshold days had baseline clinical characteristics similar to those admitted on non-alert days (all standardized mean differences <0.10). Heat-alert-threshold days were associated with fewer recorded AMI admissions during summer (adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0.93, 95% CI 0.90–0.97). In contrast, no association was observed between heat-alert-threshold exposure and subsequent all-cause mortality after AMI hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.96, 95% CI 0.87–1.05). These findings remained consistent across sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: In this nationwide Hungarian registry-based study, temperature-defined heat-alert-threshold days were associated with fewer recorded AMI admissions during summer but not with differences in post-AMI mortality among hospitalized patients. The observed inverse association should not be interpreted as evidence of a protective effect of heat exposure. Alternative explanations include behavioral adaptation, delayed care-seeking, exposure misclassification, residual confounding, and the possibility of unmeasured out-of-hospital cardiovascular events, which were not captured by the registry. Because administrative heat-alert declarations were not linked to the analytic dataset, the findings should be interpreted as associations with temperature-defined heat-alert-threshold days rather than evaluations of the effectiveness of the Hungarian heat-alert system.

2 March 2026 in Preprints.org
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BCBálint Pál Csaba
Bálint Pál Csaba
AAAli Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi
Ali Abbas Rahi Al-Murshedi
AJAmmar Mahmood Jaber
Ammar Mahmood Jaber
PPPakai Pakai
Pakai Pakai
ZVZsofia Verzar
Zsofia Verzar

Background : Increasingly frequent extreme heat and heat wave events have been associated with various cardiovascular outcomes; currently, the evidence about their impact on acute myocardial infarction (AMI) incidence and mortality remains heterogeneous. In particular, the effects of officially declared heat alert periods on AMI admissions and longer-term mortality have not been consistently characterized using nationwide patient-level data. Methods: We conducted a retrospective, nationwide, registry-based cohort study using data extracted from the Hungarian Myocardial Infarction Registry. All patients with an acute myocardial infarction event between January 1, 2018, and June 16, 2021, were included (n = 30,883). Individual events were linked to daily meteorological data and officially declared heat alert periods issued by national public health authorities. Study outcomes were (1) daily and monthly counts of first hospital admissions for AMI and (2) cumulative all-cause mortality during follow-up. Associations between heat alert exposure, infarction characteristics (STEMI vs. NSTEMI; Type 1 vs. Type 2 MI), and mortality were assessed using descriptive statistics and multivariable logistic regression. Results: The mean age of the cohort was 67.2 years, and 60.3% of patients were male. NSTEMI accounted for 58.0% and STEMI for 42.0% of events. Mean daily AMI admissions were higher during official heat alert periods compared with non-alert summer days, most prominently during the summer of 2018. During follow-up, cumulative all-cause mortality was substantially higher among patients with NSTEMI than STEMI and markedly elevated among patients with type 2 myocardial infarction. The strongest predictors of the mortality in the multivariate analysis were age, prior myocardial infarction, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and infarction type. Therefore, we found that heat alert exposure was associated with a modest but statistically significant increase in the odds ratio of cumulative mortality. Conclusions: Officially announced heat alert periods were associated with increased acute myocardial infarction admissions but contributed only modestly to cumulative mortality risk during follow-up. Long-term outcomes after AMI were driven predominantly by infarction type and established cardiovascular risk factors rather than heat exposure alone.