We recently identified a diagnostic prediction model based on promoter hypermethylation of eight selected genes in plasma cell-free (cf) DNA, which showed promising results as a diagnostic biomarker for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The aim of the present study was to validate this biomarker profile in an external patient cohort and examine any additional effect of serum CA 19-9. Patients with PDAC (n = 346, stage I-IV) and chronic pancreatitis (n = 25) were included. Methylation-specific PCR of a 28-gene panel was performed on serum cfDNA samples. The previously developed diagnostic prediction model (age>65 years, BMP3, RASSF1A, BNC1, MESTv2, TFPI2, APC, SFRP1 and SFRP2) was validated alone and in combination with serum CA 19-9 in this external patient cohort. Patients with PDAC had a higher number of hypermethylated genes (mean 8.11, 95% CI 7.70-8.52) than patients with chronic pancreatitis (mean 5.60, 95% CI 4.42-6.78, p = 0.011). Validation of the diagnostic prediction model yielded an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.69-0.84). The combination of serum CA 19-9 and our test had an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.89-0.96) in the primary study and 0.85 (95% CI 0.79-0.91) in the validation study. In this validation study, PDAC was associated with a higher number of hypermethylated genes in serum cfDNA than chronic pancreatitis. Our diagnostic test was superior to the predictive value of serum CA 19-9 alone in both the primary and the validation study. The combination of our test with CA 19-9 may serve as a clinically useful diagnostic biomarker for PDAC.

No reliable predictive blood-based biomarkers are available for determining survival from pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC). This combined discovery and validation study examines promoter hypermethylation (ph) of secreted frizzled-related protein 1 (SFRP1) in plasma-derived cell-free DNA as an independent prognostic marker for survival and Gemcitabine effectiveness in patients with stage IV PDAC. We conducted methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction analysis of the promoter region of the SFRP1 gene, based on bisulfite treatment. Survival was analyzed with Kaplan–Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox regression. The discovery cohort included 40 patients, 25 receiving Gem. Gem-treated patients with phSFRP1 had a shorter median overall survival (mOS) (4.4 months) than unmethylated patients (11.6 months). Adjusted Cox-regression yielded a hazard rate (HR) of 3.48 (1.39–8.70). The validation cohort included 58 Gem-treated patients. Patients with phSFRP1 had a shorter mOS (3.2 months) than unmethylated patients (6.3 months). Adjusted Cox regression yielded an HR of 3.53 (1.85–6.74). In both cohorts, phSFRP1 was associated with poorer survival in Gem-treated patients. This may indicate that tumors with phSFRP1 are more aggressive and less sensitive to Gem treatment. This knowledge may facilitate tailored treatment of patients with stage IV PDAC. Further studies are planned to examine phSFRP1 in more intensive chemotherapy regimens.

Introduction: Current prognostic blood-based biomarkers for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are limited. Recently, promoter hypermethylation of SFRP1 (phSFRP1) has been linked to poor prognosis in patients with gemcitabine-treated stage IV PDAC. This study explores the effects of phSFRP1 in patients with lower stage PDAC.Methods: Based on a bisulfite treatment process, the promoter region of the SFRP1 gene was analyzed with methylation-specific PCR. Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and generalized linear regression analysis were used to assess restricted mean survival time survival at 12 and 24 months.Results: The study included 211 patients with stage I-II PDAC. The median overall survival of patients with phSFRP1 was 13.1 months, compared to 19.6 months in patients with unmethylated SFRP1 (umSFRP1). In adjusted analysis, phSFRP1 was associated with a loss of 1.15 months (95%CI -2.11, -0.20) and 2.71 months (95%CI -2.71, -0.45) of life at 12 and 24 months, respectively. There was no significant effect of phSFRP1 on disease-free or progression-free survival. In stage I-II PDAC, patients with phSFRP1 have worse prognoses than patients with umSFRP1.Discussion: Results could indicate that the poor prognosis may be caused by reduced benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. SFRP1 may help guide the clinician and be a possible target for epigenetically modifying drugs.

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma remains one of the major causes of cancer-related mortality globally. Unfortunately, current prognostic biomarkers are limited, and no predictive biomarkers exist. This study examined promoter hypermethylation of secreted frizzled-related protein 1 (phSFRP1) in cfDNA as a prognostic biomarker and predictor of treatment effect in patients with metastatic FOLFIRINOX-treated PDAC and locally advanced PDAC. We performed methylation-specific PCR of the SFRP1 genes' promoter region, based on bisulfite treatment. Survival was assessed as time-to-event data using the pseudo-observation method and analyzed with Kaplan-Meier curves and generalized linear regressions. The study included 52 patients with FOLFIRINOX-treated metastatic PDAC. Patients with unmethylated (um) SFRP1 (n = 29) had a longer median overall survival (15.7 months) than those with phSFRP1 (6.8 months). In crude regression, phSFRP1 was associated with an increased risk of death of 36.9% (95% CI 12.0%-61.7%) and 19.8% (95% CI 1.9-37.6) at 12 and 24-months, respectively. In supplementary regression analysis, interaction terms between SFRP1 methylation status and treatment were significant, indicating reduced benefit of chemotherapy. Forty-four patients with locally advanced PDAC were included. phSFRP1 was associated with an increased risk of death at 24-months CONCLUSIONS: This indicates that phSFRP1 is a clinically useful prognostic biomarker in metastatic PDAC and possibly in locally advanced PDAC. Together with existing literature, results could indicate the value of cfDNA-measured phSFRP1 as a predictive biomarker of standard palliative chemotherapy in patients with metastatic PDAC. This could facilitate personalized treatment of patients with metastatic PDAC.

Introduction: Metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is highly lethal. Promoter hypermethylation of SFRP1 (phSFRP1) in cell-free DNA is an established prognostic biomarker in PDAC. We used digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) to examine whether the prognostic impact of phSFRP1 was allele fraction (AF) dependent.Methods: Prospectively collected plasma samples were analyzed blinded. Dual-strand methylation ddPCR assays were designed for SFRP1, with single-strand assay for the reference gene EPHA3. Patients were stratified into unmethylated SFRP1 (umSFRP1), low phSFRP1 AF (phSFRP1^low), and high phSFRP1 AF (phSFRP1^high). Survival was assessed with Kaplan–Meier curves. The 3-, 6-, and 12-month absolute risk difference (ARD) was calculated, and performance assessed with ROC analyses.Results: Overall, 354 patients were included. Patients with umSFRP1 (n=137) had a mOS of 9.1 months compared to 7.2 months in phSFRP1^low (n=78) and 3.4 months in phSFRP1^high (n=143, P<0.01). phSFRP1^high was associated with increased mortality at 3 (ARD 26%, 95%CI: 15, 37), 6 (ARD 37%, 95%CI: 26, 48), and 12 months (ARD 23%, 95%CI: 14, 33). phSFRP1^low was associated with increased mortality at 12 months (ARD 13%, 95%CI: 2, 25) but not at 3 (ARD -3%, 95%CI: -13, 8) or 6 months (ARD 3%, 95%CI: -10, 17). phSFRP1 significantly improved performance in predicting mortality compared to only clinical variables (AUC: 0.70-0.71 vs. 0.54-0.57).Discussion: Patients with phSFRP1^high had significantly shorter survival than phSFRP1^low or umSFRP1, indicating AF-dependent prognostic effects. phSFRP1^low had a worse prognosis than umSFRP1 at only 12 months, indicating dynamic changes. This could help personalize the treatment of PDAC.

Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) promoter hypermethylation shows promise as a blood-based biomarker for pancreatic cancer, and similar alterations may occur in acute pancreatitis (AP). This study investigated the cfDNA hypermethylation profile of AP patients over time, compared with healthy controls, and its association with AP severity markers. A prospective longitudinal study including hospitalized AP patients and healthy controls was conducted. Methylation-specific PCR of a 23-gene panel was performed on plasma collected at inclusion (T0), 6 weeks (T6W), 6 months (T6M), and 7–8 years (T8Y). Associations between gene hypermethylation and clinical markers of AP severity—CRP, leukocyte count, creatinine, hospital stay, and complications—were evaluated. AP patients had a significantly higher mean number of hypermethylated genes at T0 (7.4, 95% CI: 6.8–8.0) compared with the controls (3.3, 95% CI: 2.8–3.8; p < 0.01). The mean number decreased over time to 3.2 (95% CI: 2.4–4.1) at T8Y. Total hypermethylation was positively associated with CRP (ρ = 0.39; p = 0.0018), leukocytes (ρ = 0.35; p = 0.0052), and hospital stay (ρ = 0.27; p = 0.0375). AP patients exhibited significantly higher cfDNA hypermethylation at disease onset, which normalized over time. Total hypermethylation showed positive associations with several markers of AP severity.