Drought indices are essential metrics for quantifying drought severity and identifying possible changes in the frequency and duration of drought hazards. In this study, we developed a new high spatial resolution dataset of drought indices covering all of Spain. The dataset includes seven drought indices, spans the period 1961–2014, and has a spatial resolution of 1.1 km and a weekly temporal resolution. A web portal has been created to enable download and visualization of the data. The data can be downloaded as single gridded points for each drought index, but the entire drought index dataset can also be downloaded in netCDF4 format. The dataset will be updated for complete years as the raw meteorological data become available.

State-of-the-art climate models project a substantial decline in precipitation for the Mediterranean region in the future¹. Supporting this notion, several studies based on observed precipitation data spanning recent decades have suggested a decrease in Mediterranean precipitation^2,3,4, with some attributing a large fraction of this change to anthropogenic influences^3,5. Conversely, certain researchers have underlined that Mediterranean precipitation exhibits considerable spatiotemporal variability driven by atmospheric circulation patterns^6,7 maintaining stationarity over the long term^8,9. These conflicting perspectives underscore the need for a comprehensive assessment of precipitation changes in this region, given the profound social, economic and environmental implications. Here we show that Mediterranean precipitation has largely remained stationary from 1871 to 2020, albeit with significant multi-decadal and interannual variability. This conclusion is based on the most comprehensive dataset available for the region, encompassing over 23,000 stations across 27 countries. While trends can be identified for some periods and subregions, our findings attribute these trends primarily to atmospheric dynamics, which would be mostly linked to internal variability. Furthermore, our assessment reconciles the observed precipitation trends with Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 model simulations, neither of which indicate a prevailing past precipitation trend in the region. The implications of our results extend to environmental, agricultural and water resources planning in one of the world’s prominent climate change hotspots¹⁰.

We analysed long‐term variability and trends in meteorological droughts across Western Europe using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). Precipitation data from 199 stations spanning the period 1851–2018 were employed, following homogenisation, to derive SPI‐3 and SPI‐12 series for each station, together with indices on drought duration and severity. Results reveal a general absence of statistically significant long‐term trends in the study domain, with the exception of significant trends at some stations, generally covering short periods. The largest decreasing trends in SPI‐3 (i.e., increasing drought conditions) were found for summer in the British and Irish Isles. In general, drought episodes experienced in the last two or three decades have precedents during the last 170·years, emphasizing the importance of long records for assessing change. The main characteristic of drought variability in Western Europe is its strong spatial diversity, with regions exhibiting a homogeneous temporal evolution. Notably, the temporal variability of drought in Western Europe is more dominant than long‐term trends. This suggests that long‐term drought trends cannot be confirmed in Western Europe using precipitation records alone. This study provides a long‐term regional assessment of drought variability in Western Europe, which can contribute to better understanding of regional climate change during the past two centuries.

The relationship between springtime (March–May) precipitation in the western Mediterranean area and several North Atlantic teleconnection patterns of low‐frequency variability is analysed for the period 1948–89. Singular value decomposition analysis (SVDA) of the springtime monthly mean fields for the three paired combinations of 300 hPa geopotential height–precipitation, 300 hPa zonal wind–precipitation and 300 hPa meridional wind–precipitation has shown that their covariability is dominated by two main large‐scale atmospheric circulation patterns. In every SVD combination, the first mode relates precipitation anomalies to the east Atlantic jet pattern. Above‐normal rainfall anomalies are linked with a blocking pattern affecting Iberian weather. The second covariability mode for the three SVD As takes into account the response of the precipitation to the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) pattern. An enhanced spring NAO pattern is related to positive (negative) precipitation anomalies over the southern (northern) western Mediterranean. Through these two modes, the North Atlantic large‐scale atmospheric dynamics explains about 50% of the total spring precipitation variability in the western Mediterranean area. A Monte Carlo approach has allowed setting the statistical significance of the modes obtained and to assess the effectiveness of the western Mediterranean precipitation response to the teleconnection patterns. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society