This study provides an innovative process-based modelling approach using the SWAT model and shows its application to support the implementation of the European environmental policies in large river basins. The approach involves several pioneering modelling aspects: the inclusion of current management practices; an innovative calibration and validation methodology of streamflow and water quality; a sequential calibration starting from crop yields, followed by streamflow and nutrients; and the use of concentrations instead of loads in the calibration. The approach was applied in the Danube River Basin (800,000km2), the second largest river basin in Europe, that is under great nutrients pressure. The model was successfully calibrated and validated at multiple gauged stations for the period 1995-2009. About 70% and 61% of monthly streamflow stations reached satisfactory performances in the calibration and validation datasets respectively. N-NO3 monthly concentrations were in good agreement with the observations, albeit SWAT could not represent accurately the spatial variability of the denitrification process. TN and TP concentrations were also well captured. Yet, local discrepancies were detected across the Basin. Baseflow and surface runoff were the main pathways of water pollution. The main sinks of TN and TP diffuse emissions were plant uptake which captured 58% of TN and 92% of TP sources, then soil retention (35% of TN and 2% of TP), riparian filter strips (2% both for TN and TP) and river retention (2% of TN and 4% of TP). Nitrates in the aquifer were estimated to be around 3% of TN sources. New reliable "state-of-the-art" knowledge of water and nutrients fluxes in the Danube Basin were thus provided to be used for assessing the impact of best management practices and for providing support to the implementation of the European Environmental Directives.

The United Nations Water Conference 2023 highlighted the need for concrete actions to boost integrated water resources management for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals and called for strategies to enhance cooperation among stakeholders. Technical cooperation between countries and institutions in transboundary systems, e.g., on environmental data collection, is an effective way to promote international diplomacy and prevent disputes between riparian states. Still, establishing collaborations to inform bilateral dialogues on the identification of environmental challenges, their causes, and development priorities may be a difficult task in itself. This is particularly true in the African context because of limited resources and lack of data. In this paper, we analyse the case of nine transboundary river basins in Sub-Saharan Africa to identify which water-management challenges are perceived as most important by the different riparian countries from a policy and scientific perspective. Our insights are based on the most up-to-date scientific papers, open access reports and technical literature, river basin authority's strategy papers, projects' summary reports, and national policy documents. We also complement these sources with the pieces of information we gained through collaborations with regional and local experts, and management bodies (such as river basin authorities). We highlight the current water-related conflicts and the gap between the priorities identified by the scientific community and different riparian countries on how to tackle hydro-climatic change and improve food and energy security, human and environmental health. Based on our experience, we discuss some keys to building trust among stakeholders, strengthening cooperation, and identifying shared water-governance measures in transboundary river basins. They are: (i) connect science and policy to provide sound knowledge for the right questions, (ii) value local knowledge and exploit the complementarity of different perspectives, (iii) consider multiple spatial scales and multi-level stakeholders to leave no one behind, (iv) promote a culture which values trade-offs and handles complexity, and (v) co-create data and knowledge to facilitate stakeholder dialogue from problem definition to intervention identification.

Riparian land supports multiple ecosystem services that are essential for good water quality and aquatic biodiversity, providing habitat and hydrological connectivity, and retaining pollutants and sediments. Riparian land reduces sediment fluxes in the freshwater systems by trapping sediments generated on the hillslopes before they reach the stream network, and by stabilizing stream banks. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of current riparian land in reducing sediment fluxes in the stream network of the Danube River Basin. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess sediment yields across the Basin. Pan-European spatial information on riparian land type and extent was used to set up agricultural to riparian land ratio and the streambank reach vegetation cover. SWAT sediment simulations for current conditions, i.e. including riparian land parameterization, were calibrated and validated for the period 1995-2009. The impact of riparian land was quantified by analyzing differences in mean annual specific sediment yields between scenarios without riparian land and current conditions. Sediment yield reductions and efficiency of riparian land were quantified at several spatial scales across the Basin, considering Hydrologic Response Units (HRUs), stream order, and administrative regions. The impact of riparian filtering in reducing sediment fluxes to the stream network at the HRU scale was always positive, with median sediment retention efficiency of 50%. Efficiency was higher where incoming sediment and water yields per unit of area were larger, and in smaller HRUs (areas lower than 10 km2). At the reach scale, retention efficiency dropped sensibly. Sediment trapping in riparian buffers was more efficient in smaller reaches, and decreased from about 17% to 5% with Strahler’s order. Streambank protection was important locally in about 8% of reaches characterized by high stream power, where current streambank protection reduced potential sediment yields by more than 5 t/km2/y, and in large reaches, like in the Sava and Danube Rivers. At the Danube outlet to the Black Sea, the reduction in sediment yield attributable to current riparian land was estimated at 480 kt/y. Although riparian efficiency declined with spatial scale in terms of sediment yield reduction, trapping of sediments in riparian buffers always abated in-stream sedimentation substantially. While occupying only about 2% of the Basin, current riparian land in the Danube Basin reduces sediment fluxes in river networks and contributes to the improvement of the ecological conditions of freshwater ecosystems.JRC.D.2-Water and Marine Resource

• An effective DSS integrating several models and methods has been developed. • The E-water tool enable the identification of site-specific agronomic practices for nutrients and water management. • Identified optimal solutions take into account food demand thus coping with food security issue. • The main features of the DSS are tested by applying it to various scenarios in the Mékrou river basin.

Climate variability plays a crucial role in the annual fluctuations of crop yields, posing a substantial threat to food security. Maize, the main cereal in sub-Saharan Africa, has shown varied yield trends during increasingly warmer growing seasons. Here we explore how sub-seasonal dry–wet spell patterns contribute to this variability, considering the spatial heterogeneity of crop responses, to map weather-related risks at a regional level. Our results show that shifts in specific dry–wet spell patterns across growth stages influence maize yield fluctuations in sub-Saharan Africa, explaining up to 50–60% of the interannual variation, which doubles that explained by mean changes in precipitation and temperature (30–35%). Precipitation primarily drives the onset of dry spells, while the influence of temperature increases with event intensity and peaks at the start of the growing season. Our large-scale, data-limited analysis approach has the potential to inform climate-smart agriculture in developing regions.

Water scarcity and droughts are a major concern in most Mediterranean countries. Agriculture is a major user of water in the region and releases significant amounts of surface and ground waters, endangering the sustainable use of the available resources. Best Management Practices (BMPs) can mitigate the agriculture impacts on quantity of surface waters in agricultural catchments. However, identification of efficient BMPs strategies is a complex task, because BMPs costs and effectiveness can vary significantly within a basin. In this study, sustainable agricultural practices were studied based on optimal allocation of irrigation water use for dominant irrigated crops in the island of Crete, Greece. A decision support tool that integrates the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) watershed model, an economic model, and multi-objective optimization routines, was used to identify and locate optimal irrigation strategies by considering crop water requirements, impact of irrigation changes on crop productivity, management strategies costs, and crop market prices. Three spatial scales (crop type, fields, and administrative regions) were considered to point out different approaches of efficient management. According to the analysis, depending on the spatial scale and complexity of spatial optimization, water irrigation volumes could be reduced by 32%-70% while preserving current agricultural benefit. Specific management strategies also looked at ways to relocate water between administrative regions (4 prefectures in the case of Crete) to optimize crop benefit while reducing global water use. It was estimated that an optimal reallocation of water could reduce irrigation water volumes by 52% (148 Mm3/y) at the cost of a 7% (48 M€) loss of agricultural income, but maintaining the current agricultural benefit (626.9 M€). The study showed how the identification of optimal, cost-effective irrigation management strategies can potentially address the water scarcity issue that is becoming crucial for the viability of agriculture in the Mediterranean region.