Marcos Escobar-Anel

Prof. Dr. Marcos Escobar-Anel

Statistical and Actuarial Science, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 December 2015 in Journal of Banking & Finance
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Journal Article
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MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel
SFSebastian Ferrando
Sebastian Ferrando
ARAlexey Rubtsov
Alexey Rubtsov

1 April 2021 in Quantitative Finance
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Journal Article
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YCYuyang Cheng
Yuyang Cheng
MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel
This paper derives optimal investment strategies for the 4/2 stochastic volatility model proposed in [Grasselli, M., The 4/2 stochastic volatility model: a unified approach for the Heston and the 3/2 model. Math. Finance, 2017, 27(4), 1013–1034] and the embedded 3/2 model [Heston, S.L., A simple new formula for options with stochastic volatility. 1997]. We maximize the expected utility of terminal wealth for a constant relative risk aversion (CRRA) investor, solving the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equations in closed form for both complete and incomplete markets. Conditions for the verification theorems are provided. Interestingly, the optimal investment strategy displays a very intuitive dependence on current volatility levels, a trend which has not been previously reported in the literature of stochastic volatility models. A full empirical analysis comparing four popular embedded models—i.e. the Merton (geometric Brownian motion), Heston (1/2), 3/2 and 4/2 models—is conducted using S&P 500 and VIX data. We find that the 1/2 model carries the larger weight in explaining the 4/2 behaviour, and optimal investments in the 1/2 and 4/2 models are similar, while investments in the 3/2 model are the most conservative in high-variance settings (20% of Merton's solution). Despite the similarities between the 1/2 and 4/2 models, wealth-equivalent losses due to deviations from the 4/2 model are largest for the1/2 and GBM models (40% over 10 years). Meanwhile, the wealth losses due to market incompleteness are harsher for the 1/2 model than for the 4/2 and 3/2 models (60% versus 40% and 30% respectively), highlighting the benefits of choosing the 4/2 or the 3/2 over the 1/2 model.

19 January 2018 in Quantitative Finance
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Journal Article
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VBV. Bergen
V. Bergen
MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel
ARA. Rubtsov
A. Rubtsov
RZR. Zagst
R. Zagst
This paper provides the optimal multivariate intertemporal portfolio for an ambiguity averse investor, who has access to stocks and derivative markets, in closed form. The stock prices follow stochastic covariance processes and the investor can have different levels of uncertainty about the diffusion parts of the stocks and the covariance structure. We find strong evidence that the optimal exposures to stock and covariance risks are significantly affected by ambiguity aversion. Welfare analyses show that investors who ignore model uncertainty incur large losses, larger than those suffered under the embedded one-dimensional cases. We further confirm large welfare losses from not trading in derivatives as well as ignoring intertemporal hedging, we study the impact of ambiguity in that regard and justify the importance of including these factors in the scope of portfolio optimization. Conditions are provided for a well-behaved solution in general, together with verification theorems for the incomplete market case.

1 January 2018 in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
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Journal Article
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MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel
SFSebastian Ferrando
Sebastian Ferrando
ARAlexey Rubtsov
Alexey Rubtsov

25 June 2009 in Quantitative Finance
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Journal Article
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MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel
BGBarbara Götz
Barbara Götz
Luis SecoLuis Seco
Luis Seco
Rudi ZagstRudi Zagst
Rudi Zagst
In this paper, we propose a method to price collateralized debt obligations (CDO) within Merton's structural model on underlyings with a stochastic mean-reverting covariance dependence. There are two key elements in our development, first we reduce dimensionality and complexity using principal component analysis on the assets' covariance matrix. Second, we approximate this continuous multidimensional structure using a tree method. Trinomial-tree models can be developed for both the principal components and the eigenvalues assuming the eigenvectors are constant over time and the eigenvalues are stochastic. Our method allows us to compute the joint default probabilities for k defaults of stochastically correlated underlyings and the value of CDOs in a fast manner, without having lost much accuracy. Furthermore we provide a method based on moments to estimate the parameters of the model.Stochastic covariance matrix, CDO, Trinomial-trees, Principal component analysis, Method of moments,

23 August 2022 in The North American Journal of Economics and Finance
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Journal Article
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MEMarcos Escobar-Anel
Marcos Escobar-Anel