Giraffes are an important tourist attraction, and human presence to wildlife is increasing. This has an impact on an animal’s behavior and its endocrine correlates. Studies on other species show alterations in movement patterns, vigilance, and stress-related hormone levels in the presence of humans. Limited information is available on how anthropogenic activities alter giraffe’s behavior, social structure, and related endocrine parameters. The purpose of this study was to obtain insight into anthropogenic influences on giraffe’s behavior and adrenal activity. We used GPS devices mounted onto giraffes to compare the distance walked in the presence or absence of human observers. We also conducted behavioral observations to assess their vigilance and collected fecal samples to analyze their fecal glucocorticoid metabolite (fGCM) concentrations. Giraffes walked significantly further distances in the presence of humans, but the cumulative time that observers were present decreased the hourly distance walked with an observer present, suggesting that the giraffes were becoming habituated. The number of observers present significantly increased the percentage of time spent on observing an observer as well as the number of unhabituated individuals present in the herd. The percentage of time spent observing a human observer did not decrease with the increase of habituation. Last, fGCM concentrations increased with human presence but decreased when individuals became habituated to human presence. More research is needed to understand the effect of anthropogenic influences in different scenarios (e.g., tourism, vehicles, hunting, etc.).
12 December 2024 in Statistical Methods in Medical Research
This study introduces a novel joint modeling framework integrating quantile regression for longitudinal continuous proportions data with Cox regression for time-to-event analysis, employing integrated nested Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference. Our approach facilitates an examination across the entire distribution of patient health metrics over time, including the occurrence of key health events and their impact on patient outcomes, particularly in the context of medication adherence and persistence. Integrated nested Laplace approximation’s fast computational speed significantly enhances the efficiency of this process, making the model particularly suitable for applications requiring rapid data analysis and updates. Applying this model to a dataset of patients who underwent treatment with atorvastatin, we demonstrate the significant impact of targeted interventions on improving medication adherence and persistence across various patient subgroups. Furthermore, we have developed a dynamic prediction method within this framework that rapidly estimates persistence probabilities based on the latest medication adherence data, demonstrating integrated nested Laplace approximation’s quick updates and prediction capability. The simulation study validates the reliability of our modeling approach, evidenced by minimal bias and appropriate credible interval coverage probabilities across different quantile levels.
1 April 2021 in The Journal of Agricultural Science
To exploit the potential of ecological intensification during sunflower cropping, it is crucial to understand the potential synergies between crop management and ecosystem services. We therefore examined the effect of pollination intensification on sunflower yield and productivity under various levels of soil fertilization over two seasons in the eastern Free State, South Africa. We manipulated soil fertility with fertilizer applications and pollination with exclusion bags. We found a synergetic effect between pollination and soil fertilization whereby increasing pollination intensity led to a far higher impact on sunflower yield when the soil had been fertilized. Specifically, the intensification of insect pollination increased seed yield by approximately 0.4 ton/ha on nutrient poor soil and by approximately 1.7 ton/ha on moderately fertilized soil. Our findings suggest that sunflower crops on adequate balanced soil fertility will receive abundant insect pollination and may gain more from both synergies than crops grown in areas with degraded soil fertility.
30 September 2020 in South African Statistical Journal
Kurtosis is seen as a measure of the discrepancy between the observed data and a Gaussian distribution and is defined when the fourth moment is finite. In this work an empirical study is conducted to investigate the behaviour of the sample estimate of kurtosis with respect to sample size and the tail index when applied to heavy-tailed data where the fourth moment does not exist. The study will focus on samples from the symmetric stable distributions. It was found that the expected value of excess kurtosis divided by the sample size is finite for any value of the tail index and the sample estimate of excess kurtosis increases as a linear function of sample size and it is approximately equal to n(1 − /2).
Adult giraffes reach heights of 4.5 m with a heart-to-head distance of over 2 m, making cranial blood supply challenging. Ultrasound confirmed that the giraffe jugular vein collapses during head movement from ground level to fully erect, negating the possibility of a siphon mechanism in the neck. We showed that a short-length siphon structure over a simulated head-to-heart distance for a giraffe significantly influences flow in a collapsible tube. The siphon structure is determined according to brain case measurements. The short-length siphon structure in a shorter-necked ostrich showed no significant increase in flow. The shorter head-to-heart distance might be the reason for the lack of effect in ostriches. A siphon mechanism situated in the cranium is certainly possible, with a significant effect exerted on the amount of pressure the heart must generate to allow adequate cranial blood perfusion in a long-necked giraffe. The study validated that a cranial-bound siphon structure can operate and will be of significant value for adequate cranial blood perfusion in long-necked species such as giraffes and might also have existed in extinct species of long-necked dinosaurs.
3 April 2023 in African Journal of Aquatic Science