This paper furnishes a brief, but exhaustive, description of the tectonics and stratigraphy of the Campania region (southern Italy). The attached geological map (Main Map) at 1:250,000 scale should be considered as a first attempt to provide a more detailed geological cartography of the entire region, with respect to the available literature, in the light of scientific advances in stratigraphy and tectonics reached in the last years. The geological setting, proposed in this study, is the result of a review and reinterpretation of the current geological knowledge plus original surveys carried out in some key sectors of the area. We also include a schematic stratigraphic chart and three geological cross-sections illustrating the tectonic architecture in depth for the internal and external zones. The geodatabase was compiled in GIS format and subsequently imported in vector graphic software to allow a classical cartographic design.

Campi Flegrei is an active volcanic area situated in the Campanian Plain (Italy) and dominated by a resurgent caldera. The great majority of past eruptions have been explosive, variable in magnitude, intensity, and in their vent locations. In this hazard assessment study we present a probabilistic analysis using a variety of volcanological data sets to map the background spatial probability of vent opening conditional on the occurrence of an event in the foreseeable future. The analysis focuses on the reconstruction of the location of past eruptive vents in the last 15 ka, including the distribution of faults and surface fractures as being representative of areas of crustal weakness. One of our key objectives was to incorporate some of the main sources of epistemic uncertainty about the volcanic system through a structured expert elicitation, thereby quantifying uncertainties for certain important model parameters and allowing outcomes from different expert weighting models to be evaluated. Results indicate that past vent locations are the most informative factors governing the probabilities of vent opening, followed by the locations of faults and then fractures. Our vent opening probability maps highlight the presence of a sizeable region in the central eastern part of the caldera where the likelihood of new vent opening per kilometer squared is about 6 times higher than the baseline value for the whole caldera. While these probability values have substantial uncertainties associated with them, our findings provide a rational basis for hazard mapping of the next eruption at Campi Flegrei caldera.

Campi Flegrei (CF) is an example of an active caldera containing densely populated settlements at very high risk of pyroclastic density currents (PDCs). We present here an innovative method for assessing background spatial PDC hazard in a caldera setting with probabilistic invasion maps conditional on the occurrence of an explosive event. The method encompasses the probabilistic assessment of potential vent opening positions, derived in the companion paper, combined with inferences about the spatial density distribution of PDC invasion areas from a simplified flow model, informed by reconstruction of deposits from eruptions in the last 15 ka. The flow model describes the PDC kinematics and accounts for main effects of topography on flow propagation. Structured expert elicitation is used to incorporate certain sources of epistemic uncertainty, and a Monte Carlo approach is adopted to produce a set of probabilistic hazard maps for the whole CF area. Our findings show that, in case of eruption, almost the entire caldera is exposed to invasion with a mean probability of at least 5%, with peaks greater than 50% in some central areas. Some areas outside the caldera are also exposed to this danger, with mean probabilities of invasion of the order of 5–10%. Our analysis suggests that these probability estimates have location‐specific uncertainties which can be substantial. The results prove to be robust with respect to alternative elicitation models and allow the influence on hazard mapping of different sources of uncertainty, and of theoretical and numerical assumptions, to be quantified.

This study focuses on the Solfatara volcano within Campi Flegrei, a volcanic field located on the Tyrrhenian coast of southern Italy. Volcanism at the Campi Flegrei caldera has included phreatic to phreatomagmatic explosions and both magmatic (ranging from small scoria-producing events to those with Plinian columns) and effusive eruptions. These eruptions have formed tuff cones, tuff rings, minor scoria cones, and lava domes. A detailed stratigraphic, structural, and geophysical study of the area indicates that the Solfatara volcano is a maar-diatreme structure previously not recognized within the Campi Flegrei caldera. It is characterized by a crater cut into earlier volcanic deposits, a small rim of ejecta, and a deep structure (down to 2–3 km). This maar-diatreme has allowed the gases and fluids to flow up to the surface over a long time. A new geological map and cross sections show a complex architecture of different volcano-tectonic features including scoria cones, lavas, cryptodomes, feeder dikes, pipes, ring and regional faults, and explosive craters. Volcanological data were collected with the main aim of characterizing the eruptive activity in a limited sector of the caldera. Fault and fracture analyses, using the scan line methodology, highlight the role of the main structures that accompanied the volcanic evolution within this sector of the Campi Flegrei caldera. To better constrain the subsurface structure of the Solfatara crater, electrical resistivity tomography investigations were integrated with the volcano-tectonic information. All data suggest that the Solfatara area is dominated by a maar-diatreme evolution. Presently, the Solfatara area shows widespread hydrothermal and fumarolic activity that is localized along the major faults. The results allow us to define a particular type of volcanic activity in the recent past, in what is still considered today an area with a higher probability of opening new vents, particularly for possible phreatic activity.