Vijay Kumar

Mr. Vijay Kumar

Community Medicine and School of Public Health, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 October 2024 in Journal of Clinical Tuberculosis and Other Mycobacterial Diseases
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Vijay KumarVijay Kumar
Vijay Kumar
MKMahalaqua Nazli Khatib
Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib
AVAmit Verma
Amit Verma
SLSorabh Lakhanpal
Sorabh Lakhanpal
SBSuhas Ballal
Suhas Ballal
SHAILESH SAMALSHAILESH SAMAL
SHAILESH SAMAL
Tuberculosis (TB) is a major public health issue in South Asia and accounts for a large share of the global TB burden. Despite global efforts to curb TB incidence and mortality, progress in South Asia has been uneven, necessitating focused regional analysis to guide effective interventions. This study aims to analyse the trends in the TB burden in South Asia from 1990 to 2021 and project future TB incidence rates up to 2031. This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 results to analyse trends in age-standardized incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) associated with TB in South Asia from 1990 to 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis was employed to identify significant trends, whereas ARIMA models were used to project future TB incidence rates up to 2031. This study revealed significant declines in the ASIR, ASPR, ASDR, and ASMR related to TB in South Asia over the past three decades. Prominent reductions were found in Bangladesh and Bhutan, whereas India, Pakistan, and Nepal continue to bear the highest TB burdens. The ARIMA model projections indicate a continued decline in TB incidence across the region, although the extent of the decline varies by country, with less favourable trends observed in Nepal and Pakistan. The analysis also highlights tobacco use, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body mass index as significant risk factors contributing to the TB burden. Substantial progress has been made in reducing the TB burden in South Asia; however, sustained and intensified efforts are needed, particularly in countries with inconsistent progress. These findings emphasize the need for targeted interventions to meet the WHO End TB Strategy (WETS) targets by 2035. Continuous monitoring and adaptive strategies will be crucial in maintaining and accelerating progress toward TB elimination in South Asia.

13 December 2024 in International Journal of Urology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Vijay KumarVijay Kumar
Vijay Kumar
DJDiptismita Jena
Diptismita Jena
QZQuazi Syed Zahiruddin
Quazi Syed Zahiruddin
RRR. Roopashree
R. Roopashree
MKMandeep Kaur
Mandeep Kaur
Hashem Abu SerhanHashem Abu Serhan
Hashem Abu Serhan
Objectives: The objectives of this study were to analyze trends in prostate cancer incidence, incidence, mortality, and disability‐adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021 via data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study in South Asia. Additionally, the study projects future prostate cancer incidence rates up to 2031 to inform public health interventions in South Asia. Methods: Data covering South Asian countries such as Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, and Pakistan were obtained from the GBD 2021 portal. Age‐standardized rates (ASRs) for prostate cancer metrics, including incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and DALYs (ASDR), were analyzed via joinpoint and ARIMA modeling techniques. Geographic variations in ASRs were mapped via QGIS software. Results: The prostate cancer ASIR, ASPR, and ASDR significantly increased from 1990 to 2021, particularly among individuals aged 60–65 years. The highest incidence and mortality rates were observed in Pakistan. The total percentage change in incidence in India was the highest at 61%. Projections indicate a continued rise in prostate cancer incidence, with South Asia's ASIR expected to reach 9.34 per 100 000 by 2031. Conclusions: The growing burden of prostate cancer in South Asia highlights the need for enhanced screening programs, public awareness, and healthcare infrastructure improvements. Without intervention, the increasing incidence and mortality rates could strain healthcare resources, emphasizing the urgency of region‐specific public health strategies.


2 January 2025 in Expert Review of Endocrinology & Metabolism
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Vijay KumarVijay Kumar
Vijay Kumar
QZQuazi Syed Zahiruddin
Quazi Syed Zahiruddin
DJDiptismita Jena
Diptismita Jena
RRRoopashree R
Roopashree R
MKMandeep Kaur
Mandeep Kaur
PSPrakasini Satapathy
Prakasini Satapathy
The rapid rise of non-communicable diseases, particularly type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), poses a significant global public health challenge, with South Asia experiencing an increasingly severe burden. This study aimed to analyse historical trends of T2DM across South Asia from 1990 to 2021 and forecast incidence through 2031. We carried out analysis based on the data from the 2021 Global burden of disease study. Joinpoint regression was used to identify significant changes in trends over time, and ARIMA models were applied to forecast incidence rates. Between 1990 and 2021, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of age-standardized prevalence rates and incidence rates increased by 2.15 and 1.72 respectively. The age-standardized mortality rate rose more slowly, at 1.05 AAPC, with females experiencing a slightly higher AAPC than males. ARIMA forecasts suggest that by 2031, T2DM incidence rates will continue to rise significantly across all South Asian countries. This study highlights the need for public health policies focused on preventing obesity, promoting physical activity, and improving healthcare access. It also calls for addressing regional disparities in T2DM prevalence and mortality to better allocate resources and prioritize policies to combat the diabetes epidemic inSouth Asia.

22 October 2024 in Infectious Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Manya soniManya soni
Manya soni
Vijay KumarVijay Kumar
Vijay Kumar
MSMahendra Pratap Singh
Mahendra Pratap Singh
MSMuhammed Shabil
Muhammed Shabil
SSSanjit Sah
Sanjit Sah

12 February 2025 in Expert Review of Respiratory Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Vijay KumarVijay Kumar
Vijay Kumar
MSMahendra Singh
Mahendra Singh
MKMahalaqua Nazli Khatib
Mahalaqua Nazli Khatib
ABAshok Kumar Balaraman
Ashok Kumar Balaraman
RRRangaswamy Roopashree
Rangaswamy Roopashree
AGAbhay M Gaidhane
Abhay M Gaidhane
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, particularly in low- and middle-income countries like India. This study aims to analyze regional trends and project future burden of COPD in India using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 1990-2021. This analysis utilized data from the GBD study to assess age-standardized prevalence (ASPR), incidence (ASIR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) (ASDR), and mortality rates (ASMR) for COPD across Indian states. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends, while ARIMA models predicted future incidence rates. In 2021, the highest ASIR was observed in Rajasthan at 306.28, and the highest ASMR was observed in Uttarakhand at 227.19. Projections suggest that the ASIR for COPD in India will decrease from 265.16 in 2022 to 258.19 by 2031. The heatmap analysis identified states like Uttarakhand and Rajasthan as having the highest DALYs attributable to COPD risk factors, including air pollution and tobacco use. COPD remains a public health challenge in India, with regional variability. Targeted interventions addressing air pollution, smoking cessation, and improved healthcare access are essential to mitigate the disease's future burden, particularly in high-risk regions.