Artificial intelligence (AI) and data sharing go hand in hand. In order to develop powerful AI models for medical and health applications, data need to be collected and brought together over multiple centers. However, due to various reasons, including data privacy, not all data can be made publicly available or shared with other parties. Federated and swarm learning can help in these scenarios. However, in the private sector, such as between companies, the incentive is limited, as the resulting AI models would be available for all partners irrespective of their individual contribution, including the amount of data provided by each party. Here, we explore a potential solution to this challenge as a viewpoint, aiming to establish a fairer approach that encourages companies to engage in collaborative data analysis and AI modeling. Within the proposed approach, each individual participant could gain a model commensurate with their respective data contribution, ultimately leading to better diagnostic tools for all participants in a fair manner.

Reasoning about the effect of interventions and counterfactuals is a fundamental task found throughout the data sciences. A collection of principles, algorithms, and tools has been developed for performing such tasks in the last decades. One of the pervasive requirements found throughout this literature is the articulation of assumptions, which commonly appear in the form of causal diagrams. Despite the power of this approach, there are significant settings where the knowledge necessary to specify a causal diagram over all variables is not available, particularly in complex, high-dimensional domains. In this paper, we introduce a new graphical modeling tool called cluster DAGs (for short, C-DAGs) that allows for the partial specification of relationships among variables based on limited prior knowledge, alleviating the stringent requirement of specifying a full causal diagram. A C-DAG specifies relationships between clusters of variables, while the relationships between the variables within a cluster are left unspecified, and can be seen as a graphical representation of an equivalence class of causal diagrams that share the relationships among the clusters. We develop the foundations and machinery for valid inferences over C-DAGs about the clusters of variables at each layer of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy - L1 (probabilistic), L2 (interventional), and L3 (counterfactual). In particular, we prove the soundness and completeness of d-separation for probabilistic inference in C-DAGs. Further, we demonstrate the validity of Pearl's do-calculus rules over C-DAGs and show that the standard ID identification algorithm is sound and complete to systematically compute causal effects from observational data given a C-DAG. Finally, we show that C-DAGs are valid for performing counterfactual inferences about clusters of variables.

Blood pressure (BP) is associated with carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), but few studies have explored the association between BP variability and CIMT. We aimed to investigate this association in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) baseline. We analyzed data from 7,215 participants (56.0% women) without overt cardiovascular disease (CVD) or antihypertensive use. We included 10 BP readings in varying positions during a 6-hour visit. We defined BP variability as the SD of these readings. We performed a 2-step analysis. We first linearly regressed the CIMT values on main and all-order interaction effects of the variables age, sex, body mass index, race, diabetes diagnosis, dyslipidemia diagnosis, family history of premature CVD, smoking status, and ELSA-Brasil site, and calculated the residuals (residual CIMT). We used partial least square path analysis to investigate whether residual CIMT was associated with BP central tendency and BP variability. Systolic BP (SBP) variability was significantly associated with residual CIMT in models including the entire sample (path coefficient [PC]: 0.046; P < 0.001), and in women (PC: 0.046; P = 0.007) but not in men (PC: 0.037; P = 0.09). This loss of significance was probably due to the smaller subsample size, as PCs were not significantly different according to sex. We found a small but significant association between SBP variability and CIMT values. This was additive to the association between SBP central tendency and CIMT values, supporting a role for high short-term SBP variability in atherosclerosis.

The electrocardiogram (ECG) serves as a valuable diagnostic tool, providing crucial information about life-threatening cardiac conditions such as atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction. A prompt and efficient assessment of ECG exams in environments such as Emergency Rooms (ERs) can significantly enhance the chances of survival for high-risk patients. Despite the presence of numerous works on ECG classification, most of these studies have concentrated on one-dimensional ECG signals, which are commonly found in publicly available ECG datasets. Nevertheless, the practical relevance of such methods is limited in hospital settings, where ECG exams are usually stored as images. In this study, we have developed an artificial intelligence-driven screening system specifically designed to analyze 12-lead ECG images. Our proposed method has been trained on an extensive dataset comprising 99,746 12-lead ECG exams collected from the ambulatory section of a tertiary hospital. The primary goal was to precisely classify the exams into three classes: Normal (N), Atrial Fibrillation (AFib), and Other (O). The evaluation of our approach yielded AUROC scores of 93.2%, 99.2%, and 93.1% for N, AFib, and O, respectively. To further validate our approach, we conducted evaluations using the 2018 China Physiological Signal Challenge (CPSC) database. In this evaluation, we achieved AUROC scores of 91.8%, 97.5%, and 70.4% for the classes N, AFib, and O, respectively. Additionally, we assessed our method using 1,074 exams acquired in the ER and obtained AUROC values of 98.3%, 98.0%, and 97.7% for the classes N, AFib, and O, respectively. Furthermore, we developed and deployed a system with a trained model within the ER of a tertiary hospital for research purposes. This system automatically retrieves newly captured ECG chart images from the Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS) within the ER. These images undergo necessary preprocessing steps and serve as input for our proposed classification method. This comprehensive approach established an efficient and versatile end-to-end framework for ECG classification. The results of our study highlight the potential of leveraging artificial intelligence in the screening of ECG exams, offering a promising solution for the rapid assessment and prioritization of patients in the ER.

Graphs/networks have become a powerful analytical approach for data modeling. Besides, with the advances in sensor technology, dynamic time-evolving data have become more common. In this context, one point of interest is a better understanding of the information flow within and between networks. Thus, we aim to infer Granger causality (G-causality) between networks’ time series. In this case, the straightforward application of the well-established vector autoregressive model is not feasible. Consequently, we require a theoretical framework for modeling time-varying graphs. One possibility would be to consider a mathematical graph model with time-varying parameters (assumed to be random variables) that generates the network. Suppose we identify G-causality between the graph models’ parameters. In that case, we could use it to define a G-causality between graphs. Here, we show that even if the model is unknown, the spectral radius is a reasonable estimate of some random graph model parameters. We illustrate our proposal’s application to study the relationship between brain hemispheres of controls and children diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD). We show that the G-causality intensity from the brain’s right to the left hemisphere is different between ASD and controls.