Strict monitoring and prediction of endpoints in a Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF) are essential for end-product quality and overall process efficiency. Existing control models are mostly developed based on thermodynamic principles or by deploying advanced sensors. This article aims to propose a novel hybrid algorithm for endpoint temperature, carbon, and phosphorus, based on heat and mass balance and a data-driven technique. Three types of static models were established in this study: firstly, theoretical models, based on user-specified inputs, were formulated based on mass and energy balance; secondly, artificial neural networks (ANN) were developed for endpoints predictions; finally, the proposed hybrid model was established, based upon exchanging outputs among theoretical models and ANNs. Data of steelmaking production details collected from 28,000 heats from Tata Steel India were used for this article. Machine learning model validation was carried out with five-fold cross-validation to ensure generalizations in model predictions. ANNs are found to achieve better predictive accuracies than theoretical models in all three endpoints. However, they cannot be directly applied in any steelmaking plants, due to possible variations in the production setting. After applying the hybrid algorithm, normalized root mean squared errors are reduced for endpoint carbon and phosphorus by 3.7% and 9.77%.

Owing to the continuous deterioration in the quality of iron ore and scrap, there is an increasing focus on improving the Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF) process to utilize lower grade input materials. The present paper discusses dephosphorization in BOF steelmaking from a data science perspective, which thus enables steelmakers to produce medium and low phosphorus steel grades. In the present study, data from two steel mills (Plant I and Plant II) were collected and various statistical methods were employed to analyze the data. While most operators in steel plants use spreadsheet-based techniques and linear regression to analyze data, this paper discusses on the suitability of selecting various statistical methods, and benchmarking tests to analyze such dephosphorization data sets. The data contains a wide range of operating conditions, both low and high phosphorus input loads, different slag basicity’s, different slag chemistries, and different end point temperatures, etc. The predicted phosphorus partition from various statistical models is compared against plant data and verified against previously published research.