Aron Patrick

Mr. Aron Patrick

PPL Corp, Allentown, Pennsylvania, USA
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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31 December 2020 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Oluwaseun AkeyoOluwaseun Akeyo
Oluwaseun Akeyo
Aron PatrickAron Patrick
Aron Patrick
Dan M. IonelDan M. Ionel
Dan M. Ionel
Significant changes in conventional generator operation and transmission system planning will be required to accommodate increasing solar photovoltaic (PV) penetration. There is a limit to the maximum amount of solar that can be connected in a service area without the need for significant upgrades to the existing generation and transmission infrastructure. This study proposes a framework for analyzing the impact of increasing solar penetration on generation and transmission networks while considering the responses of conventional generators to changes in solar PV output power. Contrary to traditional approaches in which it is assumed that generation can always match demand, this framework employs a detailed minute-to-minute (M-M) dispatch model capable of capturing the impact of renewable intermittency and estimating the over- and under-generation dispatch scenarios due to solar volatility and surplus generation. The impact of high solar PV penetration was evaluated on a modified benchmark model, which includes generators with defined characteristics including unit ramp rates, heat rates, operation cost curves, and minimum and maximum generation limits. The PV hosting capacity, defined as the maximum solar PV penetration the system can support without substantial generation imbalances, transmission bus voltage, or thermal violation was estimated for the example transmission circuit considered. The results of the study indicate that increasing solar penetration may lead to a substantial increase in generation imbalances and the maximum solar PV system that can be connected to a transmission circuit varies based on the point of interconnection, load, and the connected generator specifications and responses.

17 February 2023 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Donovin Denis LewisDonovin Denis Lewis
Donovin Denis Lewis
Aron PatrickAron Patrick
Aron Patrick
EJEvan S. Jones
Evan S. Jones
RARosemary Alden
Rosemary Alden
AHAbdullah Al Hadi
Abdullah Al Hadi
Dan M. IonelDan M. Ionel
Dan M. Ionel
Decarbonization of existing electricity generation portfolios with large-scale renewable resources, such as wind and solar photo-voltaic (PV) facilities, is important for a transition to a sustainable energy future. This paper proposes an ultra-fast optimization method for economic dispatch of firm thermal generation using high granularity, one minute resolution load, wind, and solar PV data to more accurately capture the effects of variable renewable energy (VRE). Load-generation imbalance and operational cost are minimized in a multi-objective clustered economic dispatch problem with various generation portfolios, realistic generator flexibility, and increasing levels of VRE integration. The economic feasibility of thermal dispatch scenarios is evaluated through a proposed method of levelized cost of energy (LCOE) for clustered generation portfolios. Effective renewable economics is applied to assess resource adequacy, annual carbon emissions, renewable capacity factor, over generation, and cost to build between thermal dispatch scenarios with incremental increases in VRE penetration. Solar PV and wind generation temporally complement one another in the region studied, and the combination of the two is beneficial to renewable energy integration. Furthermore, replacing older coal units with cleaner and agile natural gas units increases renewable hosting capacity and provides further pathways to decarbonization. Minute-based chronological simulations enable the assessment of renewable effectiveness related to weather-related variability and of complementary technologies, including energy storage for which a sizing procedure is proposed. The generally applicable methods are regionally exemplified for Kentucky, USA, including eight scenarios with four major year-long simulated case studies and 176 subcases using high performance computing (HPC) systems.

19 April 2022 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
HGHuangjie Gong
Huangjie Gong
RARosemary Alden
Rosemary Alden
Aron PatrickAron Patrick
Aron Patrick
Dan M. IonelDan M. Ionel
Dan M. Ionel
The forecast and estimation of total electric power demand of a residential community, its baseload, and its heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) power component, which represents a very large portion of a community electricity usage, are important enablers for optimal energy controls and utility planning. This paper proposes a method that employs machine learning in a multi-step integrated approach. An LSTM model for total electric power at the main circuit feeder is trained using historic multi-year hourly data, outdoor temperature, and solar irradiance. New key temperature indicators, TmHAVC, corresponding to the standby zero-power operation for HVAC systems for summer cooling and winter heating are introduced using a V-shaped hourly total load curve. The trained LTSM model is additionally run with TmHVAC and zero irradiance inputs yielding an estimated baseload, which is representative of typical occupancy patterns. The HVAC power component is disaggregated as the difference between total and baseload power. Total power forecasts of an aggregated residential community as seen by major distribution lines are experimentally validated with a satisfactory MAPE error below 10% based on a 4-year dataset from a representative suburban community with more than 1800 homes in Kentucky, U.S. Discussions regarding the validity of the separation method based on combined considerations of fundamental physics, statistics, and human behavior are also included.

1 July 2024 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MSMuhammad Zaigham Abbas Shah Syed
Muhammad Zaigham Abbas Shah Syed
Aron PatrickAron Patrick
Aron Patrick
ALAdrian Peter Lauf
Adrian Peter Lauf
Adel ElmaghrabyAdel Elmaghraby
Adel Elmaghraby
Recently, there has been a push by countries to diversify their energy mix considering various factors. In this regard, there have been several studies conducted to assess the potential for using sources such as wind and solar to generate supplemental energy to the already present energy generation setup. In this regard, this study explores the potential of wind for the Commonwealth of Kentucky. To perform this study, wind data were sourced for eight locations across Kentucky from the publicly accessible wind speed information present at Weather Underground for the years 2020–2021 (two years). An analysis was performed concerning the seasonal, monthly, and hourly variation in the wind speed so as to identify the expected times of sufficient wind energy generation. Moreover, a comparison of the collected data was performed with data from a home-based weather station as well as a deployed wind turbine to validate the variation pattern of the publicly sourced data. Finally, in order to investigate the variation patterns of wind and solar energy sources, a comparative analysis was also performed using data from a solar power generation plant in Kentucky. A seasonal and monthly complementarity was observed between the wind and solar energy. However, when considering daily patterns, the wind was found to follow solar generation with an offset. While further research is required, this analysis indicates that it is possible to deploy wind energy power generation projects in the Commonwealth of Kentucky. The seasonal complementary behavior of wind and solar energy can be used along with battery storage in conjunction with natural gas to provide a diversified electricity generation portfolio.

16 June 2025 in Clean Technologies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JWJinwen Wang
Jinwen Wang
XGXin Gao
Xin Gao
ABAdam Berger
Adam Berger
AOAyokunle Omosebi
Ayokunle Omosebi
TCTingfei Chen
Tingfei Chen
KLKunlei Liu
Kunlei Liu
The bench-scale demonstration of the UKy-IDEA process for direct air capture (DAC) technology combines solvent-aided CO2 capture with electrochemical regeneration (ER) through a pH swing process, enabling efficient CO2 capture and simultaneous solvent regeneration, producing high-purity hydrogen as a valuable co-product. The system shows stable performance with over 90% CO2 capture efficiency and approximately 80% CO2 recovery, handling ambient air at 280 L/min. During testing, the unit captured 1 kg of CO2 over 100 h, with a concentrated CO2 output purity of around 70%. Operating efficiently at low voltage (<3 V), the system supports flexible and remote operation without AC/DC converters when using intermittent renewable energy. Techno-economic analysis (TEA) and Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) highlight its minimized required footprint and cost-effectiveness. Marketable hydrogen offsets capture costs, and compatibility with renewable DC power enhances appeal. Hydrogen production displacing CO2 produced via electrolysis achieves 0.94 kg CO2 abated per kg CO2 captured. The project would be economic, with USD 26 per ton of CO2 from the federal 45Q tax credit for carbon utilization, and USD 5 to USD 12 per kg for H2.

29 March 2024 in arXiv
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
MSMuhammad Zaigham Abbas Shah Syed
Muhammad Zaigham Abbas Shah Syed
Aron PatrickAron Patrick
Aron Patrick
ALAdrian Peter Lauf
Adrian Peter Lauf
Adel ElmaghrabyAdel Elmaghraby
Adel Elmaghraby
Recently, there has been a push by countries to diversify their energy mix considering various factors. In this regard, there have been several studies conducted to assess the potential for using sources such as wind and solar to generate supplemental energy to the already present energy generation setup. In this regard, this study explores the potential of wind for the Commonwealth of Kentucky. To perform this study, wind data was sourced for eight locations across Kentucky from the publicly accessible wind speed information present at Weatherunderground for the years 2020-2021. An analysis was performed concerning the seasonal, monthly and hourly variation in the wind speed so as to identify the expected times of sufficient wind energy generation. Moreover, a comparison of the collected data was performed with data from a home-based weather station and a deployed wind turbine as well to validate the variation pattern of the publicly sourced data. Finally, in order to investigate the variation patterns of wind and solar energy sources, a comparative analysis was also performed using data from a solar power generation plant in Kentucky. It was observed that a seasonal and monthly complemetarity was observed between the wind and solar. However, when considering daily patterns, the wind was found to follow solar generation with an offset. While further research is required, this analysis indicates that it is possible to deploy wind energy power generation projects in the Commonwealth of Kentucky. The seasonal complementary behavior of wind and solar can be used along with battery storage in conjunction with natural gas to provide a diversified electricity generation portfolio.