Brandon T. Bestelmeyer

Brandon T. Bestelmeyer

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Brandon T. Bestelmeyer

USDA‐ARS Jornada Experimental Range New Mexico State University Las Cruces New Mexico USA

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

34Years (1993-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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20 October 2011 in Ecohydrology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
PDPaolo D'Odorico
Paolo D'Odorico
GOGreg Okin
Greg Okin
BBBrandon T. Bestelmeyer
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer

6 October 2004 in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DPDebra P. C. Peters
Debra P. C. Peters
RPRoger A. PielkeSr.
Roger A. PielkeSr.
BBBrandon T. Bestelmeyer
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer
CACraig D. Allen
Craig D. Allen
SMStuart Munson-McGee
Stuart Munson-McGee
KHKris M. Havstad
Kris M. Havstad
Catastrophic events share characteristic nonlinear behaviors that are often generated by cross-scale interactions and feedbacks among system elements. These events result in surprises that cannot easily be predicted based on information obtained at a single scale. Progress on catastrophic events has focused on one of the following two areas: nonlinear dynamics through time without an explicit consideration of spatial connectivity [Holling, C. S. (1992)Ecol. Monogr.62, 447–502] or spatial connectivity and the spread of contagious processes without a consideration of cross-scale interactions and feedbacks [Zeng, N., Neeling, J. D., Lau, L. M. & Tucker, C. J. (1999)Science286, 1537–1540]. These approaches rarely have ventured beyond traditional disciplinary boundaries. We provide an interdisciplinary, conceptual, and general mathematical framework for understanding and forecasting nonlinear dynamics through time and across space. We illustrate the generality and usefulness of our approach by using new data and recasting published data from ecology (wildfires and desertification), epidemiology (infectious diseases), and engineering (structural failures). We show that decisions that minimize the likelihood of catastrophic events must be based on cross-scale interactions, and such decisions will often be counterintuitive. Given the continuing challenges associated with global change, approaches that cross disciplinary boundaries to include interactions and feedbacks at multiple scales are needed to increase our ability to predict catastrophic events and develop strategies for minimizing their occurrence and impacts. Our framework is an important step in developing predictive tools and designing experiments to examine cross-scale interactions.

1 September 2014 in Biological Conservation
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
RSRachel J. Standish
Rachel J. Standish
RHRichard J. Hobbs
Richard J. Hobbs
MMMargaret M. Mayfield
Margaret M. Mayfield
BBBrandon T. Bestelmeyer
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer
KSKatherine N. Suding
Katherine N. Suding
PTPeter A. Thomas
Peter A. Thomas

1 December 2007 in Ecological Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
KHKris M. Havstad
Kris M. Havstad
DPDebra P.C. Peters
Debra P.C. Peters
RSRhonda Skaggs
Rhonda Skaggs
JBJoel Brown
Joel Brown
BBBrandon Bestelmeyer
Brandon Bestelmeyer
JWJack Wright
Jack Wright

1 February 2015 in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
BBBrandon T Bestelmeyer
Brandon T Bestelmeyer
GOGregory S Okin
Gregory S Okin
MDMichael C. Duniway
Michael C. Duniway
SASteven R Archer
Steven R Archer
NSNathan F Sayre
Nathan F Sayre
JHJeffrey E Herrick
Jeffrey E Herrick

1 May 2009 in Rangeland Ecology & Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
WRWilliam H. Romme
William H. Romme
CACraig D. Allen
Craig D. Allen
JBJohn D. Bailey
John D. Bailey
WBWilliam L. Baker
William L. Baker
BBBrandon T. Bestelmeyer
Brandon T. Bestelmeyer
PWPeter J. Weisberg
Peter J. Weisberg