Purpose: The EndoPredict prognostic assay is validated to predict distant recurrence and response to chemotherapy primarily in post-menopausal women with estrogen receptor–positive (ER+), HER2− breast cancer. This study evaluated the performance of EndoPredict in pre-menopausal women. Experimental Design: Tumor samples from 385 pre-menopausal women with ER+, HER2− primary breast cancer (pT1-3, pN0-1) who did not receive chemotherapy in addition to endocrine therapy were tested with EndoPredict to produce a 12-gene EP molecular score and an integrated EPclin score that includes pathologic tumor size and nodal status. Associations of molecular and EPclin scores with 10-year distant recurrence–free survival (DRFS) were evaluated by Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan–Meier analysis. Results: After a median follow-up of 9.7 years, both the EP molecular score and the molecular-clinicopathologic EPclin score were associated with increased risk of distant recurrence [HR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18–1.50; P = 7.2 × 10–6; HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 2.26–5.66; P = 9.8 × 10–8, respectively]. Both scores remained significant after adjusting for clinical factors in multivariate analysis. Patients with low-risk EPclin scores (64.7%) had significantly improved DRFS compared with high-risk patients (HR, 4.61; 95% CI, 1.40–15.17; P = 4.2 × 10–3). At 10 years, patients with low-risk and high-risk EPclin scores had a DRFS of 97% (95% CI, 93%–99%) and 76% (95% CI, 67%–82%), respectively. Conclusions: The EPclin score is strongly associated with DRFS in pre-menopausal women who received adjuvant endocrine therapy alone. On the basis of these data, pre-menopausal women with EPclin low-risk breast cancer may be treated with endocrine therapy only and safely forgo adjuvant chemotherapy.

537 Background: The EndoPredict 12-gene prognostic assay is validated to predict distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and response to chemotherapy in post-menopausal women with ER+, HER2- breast cancer. This study evaluated the performance of EndoPredict in pre-menopausal women. Methods: Stored tumor samples from women with ER+, HER2- primary breast cancer who were pre-menopausal at the time of diagnosis and were systemically treated with endocrine therapy alone were obtained from two sites (University of Nottingham and University of Cyprus). These samples were tested with EndoPredict to produce a 12-gene molecular score (EP). Pathologic tumor size and nodal status were algorithmically combined with the EP score to produce the clinicomolecular EPclin score. Cases with tumors > pT3, which were treated with chemotherapy, or for whom the EPclin score was missing or invalid were excluded. Associations of EP and EPclin with 10-year DRFS were evaluated in terms of hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox proportional hazards models stratified by cohort. 10-year DRFS was estimated for EPclin high-risk and low-risk women by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: Out of 411 eligible cases, 385 had a valid EPclin score and were included in the analysis. Mean age at breast cancer diagnosis was 46.5 years (standard deviation 4.7). Most women (N = 239, 62.6%) had grade II tumors and 16.1% (N = 62) had node-positive disease. Over the observation period (median 9.7 years, interquartile range 6.6-13.9 years), 35 women had a distant recurrence within 10 years. Both the molecular EP score and the molecular-clinicopathologic EPclin score were associated with increased risk of distant recurrence [HR 1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-1.5; p < 0.001 and HR 3.6, 95% CI 2.3-5.7; p < 0.001, respectively]. Of these patients, 249 (64.7%) were categorized as low risk by EPclin score while the remaining 136 (35.3%) were categorized as high risk. Compared to EPclin low-risk women, EPclin high-risk patients were more likely to experience distant recurrence (HR 4.6, 95% CI 1.4-15.2; p = 0.004). At 10 years post-diagnosis, EPclin low-risk women who received endocrine therapy alone had a DRFS of 97% (95% CI 93-99%). Conversely, EPclin high-risk women had a DRFS of only 76% (95% CI 67-82%). Conclusions: The EPclin score is highly associated with DRFS in pre-menopausal women who received adjuvant endocrine therapy alone. Based on these data, pre-menopausal women with EPclin low-risk breast cancer may safely forgo adjuvant chemotherapy in addition to endocrine therapy.

Purpose:The EndoPredict prognostic assay is validated to predict distant recurrence and response to chemotherapy primarily in post-menopausal women with estrogen receptor–positive (ER+), HER2− breast cancer. This study evaluated the performance of EndoPredict in pre-menopausal women.Experimental Design:Tumor samples from 385 pre-menopausal women with ER+, HER2− primary breast cancer (pT1-3, pN0-1) who did not receive chemotherapy in addition to endocrine therapy were tested with EndoPredict to produce a 12-gene EP molecular score and an integrated EPclin score that includes pathologic tumor size and nodal status. Associations of molecular and EPclin scores with 10-year distant recurrence–free survival (DRFS) were evaluated by Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan–Meier analysis.Results:After a median follow-up of 9.7 years, both the EP molecular score and the molecular-clinicopathologic EPclin score were associated with increased risk of distant recurrence [HR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.18–1.50; P = 7.2 × 10–6; HR, 3.58; 95% CI, 2.26–5.66; P = 9.8 × 10–8, respectively]. Both scores remained significant after adjusting for clinical factors in multivariate analysis. Patients with low-risk EPclin scores (64.7%) had significantly improved DRFS compared with high-risk patients (HR, 4.61; 95% CI, 1.40–15.17; P = 4.2 × 10–3). At 10 years, patients with low-risk and high-risk EPclin scores had a DRFS of 97% (95% CI, 93%–99%) and 76% (95% CI, 67%–82%), respectively.Conclusions:The EPclin score is strongly associated with DRFS in pre-menopausal women who received adjuvant endocrine therapy alone. On the basis of these data, pre-menopausal women with EPclin low-risk breast cancer may be treated with endocrine therapy only and safely forgo adjuvant chemotherapy.

Supplementary Figure from Clinical Validation of EndoPredict in Pre-Menopausal Women with ER-Positive, HER2-Negative Primary Breast Cancer

Supplementary Data from Clinical Validation of EndoPredict in Pre-Menopausal Women with ER-Positive, HER2-Negative Primary Breast Cancer

Supplementary Data from Clinical Validation of EndoPredict in Pre-Menopausal Women with ER-Positive, HER2-Negative Primary Breast Cancer