David Bath

David Bath

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David Bath

Affiliation London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 February 2021 in The Lancet
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
DBDavid Bath
David Bath
JCJackie Cook
Jackie Cook
JGJohn Govere
John Govere
PMPhillemon Mathebula
Phillemon Mathebula
NMNatashia Morris
Natashia Morris
IKImmo Kleinschmidt
Immo Kleinschmidt
Increasing insecticide costs and constrained malaria budgets could make universal vector control strategies, such as indoor residual spraying (IRS), unsustainable in low-transmission settings. We investigated the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a reactive, targeted IRS strategy. This cluster-randomised, open-label, non-inferiority trial compared reactive, targeted IRS with standard IRS practice in northeastern South Africa over two malaria seasons (2015-17). In standard IRS clusters, programme managers conducted annual mass spray campaigns prioritising areas using historical data, expert opinion, and other factors. In targeted IRS clusters, only houses of index cases (identified through passive surveillance) and their immediate neighbours were sprayed. The non-inferiority margin was 1 case per 1000 person-years. Health service costs of real-world implementation were modelled from primary and secondary data. Incremental costs per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) were estimated and deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses conducted. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02556242. Malaria incidence was 0·95 per 1000 person-years (95% CI 0·58 to 1·32) in the standard IRS group and 1·05 per 1000 person-years (0·72 to 1·38) in the targeted IRS group, corresponding to a rate difference of 0·10 per 1000 person-years (-0·38 to 0·59), demonstrating non-inferiority for targeted IRS (p<0·0001). Per additional DALY incurred, targeted IRS saved US$7845 (2902 to 64 907), giving a 94-98% probability that switching to targeted IRS would be cost-effective relative to plausible cost-effectiveness thresholds for South Africa ($2637 to $3557 per DALY averted). Depending on the threshold used, targeted IRS would remain cost-effective at incidences of less than 2·0-2·7 per 1000 person-years. Findings were robust to plausible variation in other parameters. Targeted IRS was non-inferior, safe, less costly, and cost-effective compared with standard IRS in this very-low-transmission setting. Saved resources could be reallocated to other malaria control and elimination activities. Joint Global Health Trials.

9 June 2021 in BMJ Global Health
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
CPCatherine Pitt
Catherine Pitt
DBDavid Bath
David Bath
PBPeter Binyaruka
Peter Binyaruka
Josephine BorghiJosephine Borghi
Josephine Borghi
MMMelisa Martinez-Alvarez
Melisa Martinez-Alvarez

20 May 2020 in BMJ Global Health
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DBDavid Bath
David Bath
CGCatherine Goodman
Catherine Goodman
SYShunmay Yeung
Shunmay Yeung
Background: Over the last 10 years, there has been a huge shift in malaria diagnosis in public health facilities, due to widespread deployment of rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs), which are accurate, quick and easy to use and inexpensive. There are calls for RDTs to be made available at-scale in the private retail sector where many people with suspected malaria seek care. Retail sector RDT use in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is limited to small-scale studies, and robust evidence on value-for-money is not yet available. We modelled the cost-effectiveness of introducing subsidised RDTs and supporting interventions in the SSA retail sector, in a context of a subsidy programme for first-line antimalarials. Methods: We developed a decision tree following febrile patients through presentation, diagnosis, treatment, disease progression and further care, to final health outcomes. We modelled results for three ‘treatment scenarios’, based on parameters from three small-scale studies in Nigeria (TS-N), Tanzania (TS-T) and Uganda (TS-U), under low and medium/high transmission (5% and 50% Plasmodium falciparum (parasite) positivity rates (PfPR), respectively). Results: Cost-effectiveness varied considerably between treatment scenarios. Cost per disability-adjusted life year averted at 5% PfPR was US$482 (TS-N) and US$115 (TS-T) and at 50% PfPR US$44 (TS-N) and US$45 (TS-T), from a health service perspective. TS-U was dominated in both transmission settings. Conclusion: The cost-effectiveness of subsidised RDTs is strongly influenced by treatment practices, for which further evidence is required from larger-scale operational settings. However, subsidised RDTs could promote increased use of first-line antimalarials in patients with malaria. RDTs may, therefore, be more cost-effective in higher transmission settings, where a greater proportion of patients have malaria and benefit from increased antimalarial use. This is contrary to previous public sector models, where RDTs were most cost-effective in lower transmission settings as they reduced unnecessary antimalarial use in patients without malaria.

3 April 2026 in PLOS Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
IRIan Ross
Ian Ross
DBDavid Bath
David Bath
JWJoseph Wells
Joseph Wells
RDRobert Dreibelbis
Robert Dreibelbis
RERegina Ejemot-Nwadiaro
Regina Ejemot-Nwadiaro
OCOliver Cumming
Oliver Cumming
Background: Promoting handwashing with soap reduces risk of diarrhoea by 30% and respiratory infections by 17%. Handwashing promotion in nonhealthcare settings is widely considered cost-effective, but there is no systematic review on this topic. To inform resource allocation decisions, we reviewed the state and quality of evidence regarding cost-effectiveness and benefit-cost of interventions promoting handwashing with soap in domestic, educational, and childcare settings globally. Methods and findings: We searched Medline, Embase, Global Health, EconLit, and Web of Science for studies published from January 1, 1980 to September 3, 2025, as well as grey literature (PROSPERO CRD42021288727). We included full economic evaluations comparing the cost of two or more interventions with their outcomes. We included interventions promoting the practice of handwashing with soap, including those providing information, motivational campaigns, and/or handwashing facilities. We scored quality of reporting using the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards. We identified 15 studies of which 3 were in high-income countries. Five used empirical data collection to evaluate interventions actually implemented and 10 modelled from secondary data only. Amongst the 3 medium- or high-quality studies reporting cost per disability-adjusted life-year averted, estimates ranged from US$ 37 to 937 (2024 prices). Of these 3 estimates, 2 were cost-effective compared to plausible thresholds for the respective country. In the only medium- or high-quality benefit-cost study, the mean benefit-cost ratio was 2.1 with “medium” levels of handwashing adoption (40% of population) and adherence (50% of those adopting). Few studies measured or modelled adoption of handwashing over time, and none which focussed on diarrhoea also valued respiratory infections. Limitations of our review include that we excluded alcohol-based handrub interventions, and that there is high uncertainty about cost-effectiveness thresholds. Conclusions: Promoting handwashing with soap is very likely to be cost-effective for interventions that successfully increase and sustain adoption of handwashing behaviours. More empirical studies are needed, especially those comparing multiple promotion options and valuing reductions in respiratory infections as well as diarrhoea.