Despite a clear causal link between frequent consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and dental disease, little is known about the implications of a tax on SSBs in the context of oral health. The aim of our study was to estimate the impacts of a SSB tax on the Australian population in the context of oral health outcomes, dental care utilisation and associated costs. We designed a cohort model that accounted for the consequences of the tax through the mechanisms of consumer response to price increase, the effect on oral health due to change in sugar intake, and the implications for dental care use. Our results indicate that in the adult population an ad valorem tax of 20% would lead to a reduction in decayed, missing and filled teeth (DMFT) by 3.9 million units over 10 years, resulting in cost savings of A$666 million. Scenario analyses show that the outcomes are sensitive to the choice of the time horizon, tax rate, price elasticity of demand for SSBs, and the definition of target population. We found that the total and per-person consequences of SSB tax were considerable, both in terms of dental caries (tooth decay) averted and dental care avoided. These results have to be compounded with the implications of SSB tax for other aspects of health and health care, especially in the context of chronic diseases. On the other hand, the improved outcomes have to be weighted against a welfare loss associated with introducing a tax.

STUDY QUESTION: What were the rates of utilization, effectiveness, and safety for assisted reproductive technology (ART) throughout the world in 2017 and 2018, and what trends were observed? SUMMARY ANSWER: The total reported number of ART fresh and frozen cycles conducted in 83 participating countries was 2 913 498 in 2017 and 3 303 505 in 2018, with 5-year trends including an increasing proportion of cycles utilizing frozen embryo transfer (FET) and an increasing number of cycles utilizing pre-implantation genetic testing (PGT). WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Prior reports from the International Committee Monitoring ART (ICMART) have reported on the utilization, effectiveness, and safety of ART from participating countries, with an increase in the number of cycles and number of participating countries over time. These reports have described regional differences in the utilization of ART overall, as well as differences in the utilization of specific practices such as ICSI, PGT and single embryo transfer. Past reports demonstrated that rates of delivery per cycle have increased and rates of multiple gestations have decreased over time. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This retrospective, cross-sectional survey describes ART procedures performed globally in 2017 and 2018. Data were submitted to ICMART by participating countries from national or regional registries. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: There were 83 countries which provided data for cycles performed in 2017 or 2018, with the majority of countries providing data for both years. Aggregate data are reported for each participating country and analysed using methods developed by ICMART to calculate measures of utilization, effectiveness, and safety. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: A total of 2 913 498 cycles and 671 012 babies born were reported for treatment performed in 2017, increasing to 3 303 505 cycles and 728 383 babies born for treatment performed in 2018. After imputing data for non-reporting centres in reporting countries, the estimated number of cycles performed in 2017 was 3 107 188 resulting in an estimated 814 588 babies. For 2018, the estimated number of cycles was 3 568 635 resulting in an estimated 870 814 babies. Utilization of ICSI for autologous fresh non-PGT cycles declined slightly compared with 2014 (54.6% in 2017 and 57.3% in 2018 compared with 64.8% in 2014). The percentage of transfers which were of frozen embryos was 55.7 % in 2017 and 57.9% in 2018, up from 38.9% in 2014. Among all countries, including those which reported no ‘freeze all’ cycles, the percentage of ‘freeze all’ cycles was 30.5% in 2017 and 32.7% in 2018, up from 13.1% in 2014. In countries reporting at least one retrieval cycle in which all embryos were frozen, the percentage of retrievals with no fresh embryo transfer increased (36.2% in 2017 and 36.8% in 2018, up from 20.1% in 2014). The number of PGT cycles in 2018 (172 247) was nearly 5-fold higher than the number reported in 2014 (36 512) with wide regional variation in utilization of PGT observed. In 2017, the delivery rate for autologous oocytes was 23.5% per oocyte retrieval, with a cumulative delivery rate of 36.4% per retrieval (excluding cycles which utilized PGT). The delivery rates per embryo transfer were 31.8% per autologous fresh transfer, 32.5% per autologous frozen transfer, and 47.3% per transfer after PGT. The delivery rate for transfers utilizing donor oocytes was 33.1% (combined fresh transfer and frozen transfers). In 2018, the delivery rate for autologous oocytes was 23.8% per oocyte retrieval, with a cumulative delivery rate of 37.3% per retrieval (excluding cycles which utilized PGT). The delivery rates per embryo transfer were 31.3% per autologous fresh transfer, 31.9% per autologous frozen transfer, and 48.4% per transfer after PGT. The delivery rate for transfers utilizing donor oocytes was 34.3%. The multiple delivery rate with autologous fresh transfer was 19.7% in 2017, and 18.3% in 2018. For autologous FET, the multiple delivery rate was 16.2% in 2017, and 14.9% in 2018. With oocyte donation (combined fresh and frozen embryo transfers), the multiple delivery rate was 15.9% in 2017, and 13.4% in 2018. Finally, the multiple delivery rate for cycles utilizing PGT was 6.9% in 2017 and 5.5% in 2018. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The data and analysis presented are dependent on the quality and completeness of the data submitted to ICMART, which varies globally. There is little data from the Middle East and some countries in Asia. It is important to note that delivery rates per transfer after PGT required the availability of embryos suitable for transfer, and therefore should not be interpreted as suggesting that PGT increases the overall success of ART per oocyte retrieval. Because of an updated methodology in the calculation of delivery rates and number of babies born, direct comparisons with past reports for these metrics cannot be made. Data are observational and it is not possible to determine the causes for regional differences in utilization, effectiveness, and safety, which are likely due at least in part to regional differences in socioeconomics, culture, resources, and regulations. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The ICMART report is the most comprehensive summary of global ART utilization, effectiveness and safety, currently available. There remain regional disparities in the utilization of ART, suggesting differences in access to care. These data can be used by healthcare professionals, healthcare authorities, patients, and the general public to guide research, decision-making, and policy. The reasons behind regional differences in utilization and effectiveness need to be better understood and addressed. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): ICMART received unrestricted grants from Abbott and Ferring Pharmaceuticals. ICMART also received financial support from the following organizations: American Society for...

Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) and severe combined immunodeficiency (SCID) are rare, inherited genetic disorders with severe mortality and morbidity. The benefits of early diagnosis and initiation of treatment are now increasingly recognized, with the most benefits in patients treated prior to symptom onset. The aim of the economic evaluation was to investigate the costs and outcomes associated with the introduction of universal newborn screening (NBS) for SCID and SMA, by generating measures of cost-effectiveness and budget impact. A stepwise approach to the cost-effectiveness analyses by decision analytical models nested with Markov simulations for SMA and SCID were conducted from the government perspective. Over a 60-year time horizon, screening every newborn in the population and treating diagnosed SCID by early hematopoietic stem cell transplantation and SMA by gene therapy, would result in 95 QALYs gained per 100,000 newborns, and result in cost savings of USD 8.6 million. Sensitivity analysis indicates 97% of simulated results are considered cost-effective against commonly used willingness-to-pay thresholds. The introduction of combined NBS for SCID and SMA is good value for money from the long-term clinical and economic perspectives, representing a cost saving to governments in the long-term, as well as improving and saving lives.