We used a satellite-derived global daily sea surface temperature (SST) dataset with resolution 0.25 × 0.25${}^{\circ }$ to analyze interannual changes in the Arctic Shelf seas from 2000 to 2020 and to reveal extreme events in SST distribution. Results show that the second decade of the 21st century for the Siberian Arctic seas turned significantly warmer than the first decade, and the increase in SST in the Arctic seas could be considered in terms of marine heatwaves. Analyzing the spatial distribution of heatwaves and their characteristics, we showed that from 2018 to 2020, the surface warming extended to the northern deep-water region of the Laptev Sea 75${}^{\circ }$ to 81${}^{\circ }$N. To reveal the most important forcing for the northward extension of the marine heatwaves, we used three-dimensional numerical modeling of the Arctic Ocean based on a sea-ice and ocean model forced by the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. The simulation of the Arctic Ocean variability from 2000 to 2020 showed marine heatwaves and their increasing intensity in the northern region of the Kara and Laptev seas, closely connected to the disappearance of ice cover. A series of numerical experiments on the sensitivity of the model showed that the main factors affecting the Arctic sea-ice loss and the formation of anomalous temperature north of the Siberian Arctic seas are equally the thermal and dynamic effects of the atmosphere. Numerical modeling allows us to examine the impact of other physical mechanisms as well. Among them were the state of the ocean and winter sea ice, the formation of fast ice polynias and riverine heat influx.

Marine plastic pollution is currently one of the most serious environmental threats. In this study, based on scenario calculations for a five-year period, we analyzed the possible spread of microplastics carried by Siberian rivers to the Kara Sea shelf. The Lagrangian particle model used daily data from 3D numerical modeling to simulate microplastic transport by ocean currents and sea ice drift. The results of a series of scenario calculations show how the distribution of particles and their subsequent deposition depend on their type (density), size, processes of freezing into the ice, and biofouling (accumulation of microorganisms). The crucial influence of the effects of microplastic embedding in sea ice and particle biofouling on the trajectories of floating particles and their deposition on the seafloor is highlighted. The transport of light particles of microplastics from Siberian rivers by ice can contribute to the pollution of the Barents Sea, in addition to their more active outflow through the Fram Strait. Biofouling is a driver of microplastic deposition on the shelf bottom or transport along the continental slope in a cyclonic direction following the trajectory of the Atlantic waters.

Three-dimensional numerical modeling is used to assess the sensitivity of the sea ice state in the Arctic deep-water basin to changing the riverine heat in

The present study analyzes the potential propagation trajectories and fate of floating microplastic particles released on the Kara Sea shelf. The transport of microplastics is described using a Lagrangian model based on daily 2016–2020 data obtained from numerical modeling of Arctic Ocean dynamics. A particle biofouling model is used to simulate the submergence of floating microplastic particles in the water column. The model includes a parameterization of the processes of biofilm accumulation (via collision with algae in surrounding water, algae growth) and degradation (via respiration, mortality). The behavior of microplastic particles of different sizes (0.5 and 0.01 mm) during the sinking process and subsequent rising due to biofilm degradation is examined. The simulation results reveal that particles of 0.01 mm in size display a tendency to sink immediately during the process of biofouling. However, when the biofilm degraded, the particles exhibited a rising velocity, comparable to the current vertical velocity, and the particles remained submerged in the water for long periods. In contrast, the 0.5 mm particles remained at the surface for a longer period before sinking, accumulating biofilm. Subsequently, their behavior was oscillatory in response to changes in the biofilm, rising rapidly when the biofilm decayed and sinking rapidly again as a result of biomass accumulation. In winter, the 0.5 mm particles were mostly frozen into the ice. The phenomenon of biofouling, whereby microplastic particles of various sizes sink at different depths, results in considerable variation in the subsequent pathways of these particles in the Arctic Ocean.

Plastic pollution of the ocean is currently one of the most serious environmental threat. Analysis of observations in the Arctic ocean shows that microplastic particles have been found in Arctic snow cover, sea ice, water and sediments. Possible pathways and deposition locations of microplastics in the Arctic Ocean can be assessed based on 3D numerical modeling of thermohaline structure and water circulation, sea ice conditions and drift. The problem is that in addition to transport by currents, a number of other processes affect the state of microplastics. These include mechanical fragmentation, freezing into sea ice and release back into the water, biofouling, adsorption of contaminants and other factors. In this study, based on scenario calculations for a 5-year period, we analyzed the possible spread of microplastics brought by Siberian rivers to the Kara Sea shelf. The Lagrangian particle model used daily 3D numerical simulation data to simulate microplastic transport by ocean currents and by sea ice drift. The results of a series of scenario calculations show how the distribution of particles and their subsequent deposition depend on their type (density), size, processes of freezing into the ice and biofouling.