Nowcasting of convective storms is urgently needed yet rather challenging. Current nowcasting methods are mostly based on radar echo extrapolation, which suffer from the insufficiency of input information and ineffectiveness of model architecture. A novel deep‐learning (DL) model, FURENet, is designed for extracting information from multiple input variables to make predictions. Polarimetric radar variables, KDP and ZDR, which provide extra microphysics and dynamic structure information of storms, are fed into the model to improve nowcasting. Two representative cases indicate that KDP and ZDR can help the DL model better forecast convective organization and initiation. Quantitative statistical evaluation shows using FURENet, KDP, and ZDR synergistically improve nowcasting skills (CSI score) by 13.2% and 17.4% for the lead time of 30 and 60 min, respectively. Further evaluation shows the microphysical information provided by the polarimetric variables can enhance the DL model in understanding the evolution of convective storms and making more trustable nowcasts.
19 June 2018 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
This study is the first attempt to investigate the characteristics of the drop size distribution (DSD) and drop shape relation (DSR) of seven typhoons after making landfall in China. Four typhoons were sampled by a C‐band polarimetric radar (CPOL) and a two‐dimensional video disdrometer (2DVD) in Jiangsu Province (East China) while three typhoons were sampled by two 2DVDs in Guangdong Province (south China). Although the DSD and DSR are different in individual typhoons, the computed DSD parameters in these two groups of typhoons possess similar characteristics. The DSR is more spherical, and the shape‐slope (μ‐Λ) relation has a significantly lower value of μ for a given Λ than that in typhoons in the Taiwan area, indicating different microphysical processes of typhoons between continental China and other regions (western Pacific and Atlantic). The convective precipitation of typhoons contains higher raindrop concentration and lower raindrop diameter than that of the maritime convection. A Z (reflectivity factor)‐R (rain rate) relationship, Z = 147.28R1.38, is derived for typhoons over land in China. The contoured frequency by altitude diagrams of CPOL polarimeteric parameters and the vertical distributions of hydrometeors and retrieved DSD parameters are further investigated to better reveal the microphysical processes of two typhoons (Matmo and Soudelor). Despite the differences in DSDs and polarimetric parameters, microphysical characteristics in both typhoons are similar. The CPOL‐derived microphysical properties, in conjunction with high freezing level, suggest that warm rain accretion processes dominate typhoon rainfall after landfall in China.
20 March 2019 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Using observations from the dual‐frequency precipitation radar (DPR) onboard the Global Precipitation Measurement mission (GPM) satellite, this study analyzes the microphysical structures and processes of tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation over the western North Pacific in terms of different precipitation efficiency indices (PEIs). The statistical results show that the mean mass‐weighted mean diameter of raindrops (Dm) at 2 km is 1.67 mm (1.37 mm) for convective (stratiform) precipitating clouds. Precipitating clouds with high PEI have higher liquid water path than nonliquid water path for both convective and stratiform clouds. The mean Dm of convective and stratiform precipitation increases as the PEI increases. The vertical profiles of Dm and reflectivity (Ze) for convective and stratiform precipitating clouds in TCs differ substantially as the PEI changes. Below the melting level, there is a clear decrease (increase) in Dm and Ze toward the surface for clouds with low (high) PEI. In general, clouds within TCs producing the most efficient precipitation are characterized by strong coalescence, not only for small droplets but also for relatively large raindrops; in contrast, the breakup of hydrometeors is the dominant process in convective and stratiform precipitating clouds with low PEI. These results will help validate and improve the hydrometeor parameterization schemes in cloud and climate models.
28 June 2017 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
The evolution of the microphysical structures of a subtropical squall line observed during the Observation, Prediction and Analysis of Severe Convection of China (OPACC) field campaign in Eastern China is documented in this paper. The data collected from a C‐band, polarimetric Doppler radar (reflectivity Z, differential reflectivity ZDR, and specific differential phase KDP) and a disdrometer are used to investigate the variations of microphysical characteristics within the convective region during the formative, intensifying, and mature stages of the squall line. The microphysical characteristics of the squall line are noticeably different among these three stages. When the squall line develops from the formative stage to the mature stage, its radar‐derived drop size distribution (DSD) in the convective region evolves from continental‐like convection to more maritime‐like convection. Contrary to previous studies, the DSD characteristics of a convective line may not be simply locked to a geographical location but varied extensively throughout its life cycle. The polarimetric radar‐derived liquid water content below the freezing level in the convective region is 3 times higher than the ice water content above the freezing level. This, in conjunction with a low cloud base (~0.68 km) and a high freezing level (~5 km), indicates a deep warm cloud layer and the dominance of the warm rain process within this squall line.
16 December 2020 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
The microphysical structure of Meiyu precipitation in Eastern China is investigated using two‐dimensional video disdrometer (2DVD) and S‐band polarimetric radar observations. The constrained‐gamma raindrop size distribution (DSD) model derived from 2DVD observations performs well in representing Meiyu DSDs. The vertical variability of polarimetric variables and retrieved DSD parameters are then investigated. The results show different patterns of vertical behavior for convective and stratiform rain due to different ice‐phase and precipitation microphysical processes. The radar reflectivity of stratiform rain presents a distinct bright band (with an average echo top between 6 and 7 km). In contrast, the convective rain shows a larger reflectivity with a relatively higher echo top at 8 km. Polarimetric signatures of convective rain above the 0°C isotherm imply the coexistence of rimed particles and aggregates, which is indispensable for the intense precipitation on the ground. However, with a bulk precipitation formed below the melting layer, warm rain processes are still critical pathways for the growth of raindrops and the subsequent generation of heavy rainfall. Furthermore, both convective and stratiform rain is dominated by raindrops <4 mm, and the increase in their rain intensity can mostly be attributed to the increase in raindrop concentration. The identified maritime nature of convective rain has a much higher (roughly more than two times) number concentration of raindrops than that of convection in a similar climate region. This study provides a more comprehensive picture of Meiyu precipitation microphysics in Eastern China.
31 March 2020 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
This paper is the first to document the development of a type of bow echo, termed merger‐formation bow echo (MFBE), in southeast China evolving from a subtropical squall line (SL) merging with a preline convective cell (CC). Although this MFBE did not produce damaging surface winds, its intense rain rate resulted in local flooding. The evolution of the kinematic, thermodynamic, and microphysical structures is investigated using the variational Doppler radar analysis system (VDRAS) analysis and polarimetric radar observations. Key factors of this MFBE event including the rear‐inflow jet (RIJ) and cold pool exhibited different characteristics from those in classical bow echoes and limited MFBE cases.As the SL propagated towards the coast, a CC was triggered along a sea breeze front. The SL did possess a RIJ, but a bow‐shaped reflectivity did not appear until the SL‐CC merger. The RIJ weakened and became elevated during the merger, while the leading edge of SL cold pool accompanied by a weak diverging outflow did not advance with the reflectivity field. The updraft was strengthened due to the merger, resulting in enhanced precipitation falling ahead of the original SL. The subcloud evaporation locally cooled the air ahead of the SL and merged with the original SL cold pool. This combined cold pool advanced forward rapidly and caught up with the bowing radar reflectivity to form this MFBE. This study illustrates the processes of a SL‐CC merger leading to the formation of a different type of MFBE that did not produce damaging surface winds.