Jorge Molina-Carpio

Prof. Jorge Molina-Carpio

Instituto de Hidraulica e Hidrologia, Universidad Mayor de San Andres, La Paz, Bolivia
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

32Years (1995-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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20 March 2020 in Frontiers in Earth Science
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JEJhan Carlo Espinoza
Jhan Carlo Espinoza
RGRené Garreaud
René Garreaud
GPGermán Poveda
Germán Poveda
PAPaola A. Arias
Paola A. Arias
Jorge Molina-CarpioJorge Molina-Carpio
Jorge Molina-Carpio
LSLucia Scaff
Lucia Scaff
The Andes is the longest cordillera in the world and extends from northern South America to the southern extreme of the continent (from 11°N to 53°S). The Andes runs through seven countries and is characterized by a wide variety of ecosystems strongly related to the contrasting climate over its eastern and western sides, as well as along its latitudinal extension. This region faces very high potential impacts of climate change, which could affect food and water security for about 90 million people. In addition, climate change represents an important threat on biodiversity, particularly in the tropical Andes, which is the most biodiverse region on Earth. From a scientific and societal view, the Andes exhibits specific challenges because of its unique landscape and the fragile equilibrium between the growing population and its environment. In this manuscript, we provide an updated review of the most relevant scientific literature regarding the hydroclimate of the Andes with an integrated view of the entire Andes range. This review paper is presented in two parts. Part I is dedicated to summarize the scientific knowledge about the main climatic features of the Andes, with emphasis on mean large-scale atmospheric circulation, the Andes-Amazon hydroclimate interconnections and the most distinctive diurnal and annual cycles of precipitation. Part II, which is also included in the research topic “Connecting Mountain Hydroclimate Through the American Cordilleras,” focuses on the hydroclimate variability of the Andes at the sub-continental scale, including the effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillation.

1 December 2014 in Environmental Research Letters
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JEJhan Carlo Espinoza
Jhan Carlo Espinoza
JMJosé Antonio Marengo
José Antonio Marengo
JRJosyane Ronchail
Josyane Ronchail
Jorge Molina-CarpioJorge Molina-Carpio
Jorge Molina-Carpio
LFLuís Noriega Flores
Luís Noriega Flores
JGJean Loup Guyot
Jean Loup Guyot

18 February 2021 in Frontiers in Earth Science
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Journal Article
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PAPaola A. Arias
Paola A. Arias
RGRené Garreaud
René Garreaud
GPGermán Poveda
Germán Poveda
JEJhan Carlo Espinoza
Jhan Carlo Espinoza
Jorge Molina-CarpioJorge Molina-Carpio
Jorge Molina-Carpio
POPeter J. van Oevelen
Peter J. van Oevelen
This paper provides an updated review of the most relevant scientific literature related to the hydroclimate of the Andes. The Andes, the longest cordillera in the world, faces major challenges regarding climate variability and climate change, which impose several threats to sustainable development, including water supply and the sustainability of ecosystem services. This review focuses on hydroclimate variability of the Andes at a sub-continental scale. The annual water cycle and long-term water balance along the Andes are addressed first, followed by the examination of the effects of orography on convective and frontal precipitation through the study of precipitation gradients in the tropical, subtropical and extratropical Andes. In addition, a review is presented of the current scientific literature on the climate variability in the Andes at different timescales. Finally, open research questions are presented in the last section of this article.

1 February 2019 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
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FSFrédéric Satgé
Frédéric Satgé
DRDenis Ruelland
Denis Ruelland
Marie-Paule BonnetMarie-Paule Bonnet
Marie-Paule Bonnet
Jorge Molina-CarpioJorge Molina-Carpio
Jorge Molina-Carpio
RPRamiro Pillco
Ramiro Pillco
This paper proposes a protocol to assess the space–time consistency of 12 satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) according to various indicators, including (i) direct comparison of SPPs with 72 precipitation gauges; (ii) sensitivity of streamflow modelling to SPPs at the outlet of four basins; and (iii) the sensitivity of distributed snow models to SPPs using a MODIS snow product as reference in an unmonitored mountainous area. The protocol was applied successively to four different time windows (2000–2004, 2004–2008, 2008–2012 and 2000–2012) to account for the space–time variability of the SPPs and to a large dataset composed of 12 SPPs (CMORPH–RAW v.1, CMORPH–CRT v.1, CMORPH–BLD v.1, CHIRP v.2, CHIRPS v.2, GSMaP v.6, MSWEP v.2.1, PERSIANN, PERSIANN–CDR, TMPA–RT v.7, TMPA–Adj v.7 and SM2Rain–CCI v.2), an unprecedented comparison. The aim of using different space scales and timescales and indicators was to evaluate whether the efficiency of SPPs varies with the method of assessment, time window and location. Results revealed very high discrepancies between SPPs. Compared to precipitation gauge observations, some SPPs (CMORPH–RAW v.1, CMORPH–CRT v.1, GSMaP v.6, PERSIANN, and TMPA–RT v.7) are unable to estimate regional precipitation, whereas the others (CHIRP v.2, CHIRPS v.2, CMORPH–BLD v.1, MSWEP v.2.1, PERSIANN–CDR, and TMPA–Adj v.7) produce a realistic representation despite recurrent spatial limitation over regions with contrasted emissivity, temperature and orography. In 9 out of 10 of the cases studied, streamflow was more realistically simulated when SPPs were used as forcing precipitation data rather than precipitation derived from the available precipitation gauge networks, whereas the SPP's ability to reproduce the duration of MODIS-based snow cover resulted in poorer simulations than simulation using available precipitation gauges. Interestingly, the potential of the SPPs varied significantly when they were used to reproduce gauge precipitation estimates, streamflow observations or snow cover duration and depending on the time window considered. SPPs thus produce space–time errors that cannot be assessed when a single indicator and/or time window is used, underlining the importance of carefully considering their space–time consistency before using them for hydro-climatic studies. Among all the SPPs assessed, MSWEP v.2.1 showed the highest space–time accuracy and consistency in reproducing gauge precipitation estimates, streamflow and snow cover duration.

28 February 2017 in Remote Sensing
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FSFrédéric Satgé
Frédéric Satgé
RERaúl Espinoza-Villar
Raúl Espinoza-Villar
Ramiro Simon PILLCO ZOLARamiro Simon PILLCO ZOLA
Ramiro Simon PILLCO ZOLA
HRHenrique Roig
Henrique Roig
FTFranck TIMOUK
Franck TIMOUK
Marie-Paule BonnetMarie-Paule Bonnet
Marie-Paule Bonnet
In 2015, an emergency state was declared in Bolivia when Poopó Lake dried up. Climate variability and the increasing need for water are potential factors responsible for this situation. Because field data are missing over the region, no statements are possible about the influence of mentioned factors. This study is a preliminary step toward the understanding of Poopó Lake drought using remote sensing data. First, atmospheric corrections for Landsat (FLAASH and L8SR), seven satellite derived indexes for extracting water bodies, MOD16 evapotranspiration, PERSIANN-CDR and MSWEP rainfall products potentiality were assessed. Then, the fluctuations of Poopó Lake extent over the last 26 years are presented for the first time jointly, with the mean regional annual rainfall. Three main droughts are highlighted between 1990 and 2015: two are associated with negative annual rainfall anomalies in 1994 and 1995 and one associated with positive annual rainfall anomaly in 2015. This suggests that other factors than rainfall influenced the recent disappearance of the lake. The regional evapotranspiration increased by 12.8% between 2000 and 2014. Evapotranspiration increase is not homogeneous over the watershed but limited over the main agriculture regions. Agriculture activity is one of the major factors contributing to the regional desertification and recent disappearance of Poopó Lake.

23 August 2021 in International Journal of Climatology
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Jose A. MarengoJose A. Marengo
Jose A. Marengo
TATercio Ambrizzi
Tercio Ambrizzi
NBNaurinete Barreto
Naurinete Barreto
Ana Paula M A CunhaAna Paula M A Cunha
Ana Paula M A Cunha
ARAndrea M. Ramos
Andrea M. Ramos
RSRoberto Salinas
Roberto Salinas
During September-November 2020 the meteorological services of Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Paraguay, and Bolivia reported record-high maximum temperatures in several warm spells during this season. Positive and significant trends in heat wave frequency, intensity and duration have been recorded since the 1980s, particularly in large cities. In this study a heat wave is defined as a period in which both daily maximum and minimum air temperatures exceed the corresponding climatological 90th percentile for three or more consecutive days during September-November 2020. In this period, an intense heat wave during the first half of October and two heat waves events in November resulted in record-breaking daily maximum temperatures in several locations in central South America. Places experienced temperature of about 10 oC above normal, and some locations reported maximum temperatures above 40 oC for several days in a row. Because its intensity and geographical extension, affecting central South America from southern Peruvian Amazon to southeastern Brazil, the heat wave of September 23-October 15 was selected as a case study. This intense heat wave was due a persistent atmospheric blocking located starting in late September and lasting until middle October 2020, A continuous presence of a warm air mass for several consecutive days contributed to pronounced positive temperature anomalies, possibly reinforced by extremely low soil moisture. This makes it easier for these high-pressure systems to generate extreme heat waves because more of the sun's energy is going into heating the atmosphere rather than evaporating nonexistent water in the soil. This heat wave aggravated the drought over the Pantanal and other regions in October 2020, increasing fires and impacts on natural and human systems, representing a severe drought-heat compound event. This vicious cycle of drought and extreme heat is of the kind expected under a warming climate.