Frequent droughts induced by climate warming have caused increasing impacts on the vegetation of the Loess Plateau (LP). However, the effects of drought on vegetation are highly dependent on when the drought occurs and how long it lasts during the growing season. Unfortunately, most of the existing drought indices ignore the differences in the drought effects on different vegetation growth stages. In this study, we first established a phenology-based vegetation condition index, namely weighted vegetation condition index (WVCI), which accounts for the differences in vegetation sensitivity to drought by assigning specific weights to different phenological stages of vegetation. Then, we used the WVCI to reveal the temporal and spatial variations in vegetative drought from 2001 to 2019 over the LP from the aspects of drought frequency, trend and relative deviation. The results showed that (1) the LP experienced frequent droughts during the study period, but mainly mild and moderate droughts. The drought frequencies decreased from southeast to northwest, and extreme droughts rarely occurred in mountainous areas and plains. (2) The droughts in most areas of the LP tended to ease, and only a few areas in the Hetao Plain, Ningxia Plain and Fenwei Plain showed an increasing trend of drought. (3) After 2012, the departure percentage of WVCI in most areas of the LP was positive, indicating above-average vegetation conditions. (4) Compared with the well-established vegetation condition index, the WVCI proved to have the ability to monitor and assess vegetative drought on an annual scale in the LP. As a result, our research could help develop and implement drought-resistance and disaster-prevention measures on the LP.
Droughts are widespread in China and have brought considerable losses to the economy and society. Droughts are intricate, stochastic processes with multi-attributes (e.g., duration, severity, intensity, and return period). However, most drought assessments tend to focus on univariate drought characteristics, which are inadequate to describe the intrinsic characteristics of droughts due to the existence of correlations between drought attributes. In this study, we employed the standardized precipitation index to identify drought events using China’s monthly gridded precipitation dataset from 1961 to 2020. Univariate and copula-based bivariate methods were then used to examine drought duration and severity on 3-, 6-, and 12-month time scales. Finally, we used the hierarchical cluster method to identify drought-prone regions in mainland China at various return periods. Results revealed that time scale played an essential role in the spatial heterogeneity of drought behaviors, such as average characteristics, joint probability, and risk regionalization. The main findings were as follows: (1) 3- and 6-month time scales yielded comparable regional drought features, but not 12-month time scales; (2) higher drought severity was associated with longer drought duration; (3) drought risk was higher in the northern Xinjiang, western Qinghai, southern Tibet, southwest China, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, and lower in the southeastern coastal areas of China, the Changbai Mountains, and the Greater Khingan Mountains; (4) mainland China was divided into six subregions according to joint probabilities of drought duration and severity. Our study is expected to contribute to better drought risk assessment in mainland China.
The Loess Plateau of China (CLP) is located in the transition zone from a semi-humid climate zone to semi-arid and arid climate zones. It is influenced by the westerly circulation, plateau monsoon, and East Asian monsoon circulation, and the drought disasters across the CLP have obvious regional characteristics. In this study, climate regionalization was performed by a spatial hierarchical cluster approach based on the gridded datasets of monthly precipitation across the CLP from 1961 to 2017. Then, the standardized precipitation index (SPI) was used to explore the temporal evolution of regional meteorological droughts. Finally, wavelet methods were used to investigate the drought cycles in each homogeneous subregion and the linkages between SPI and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). The results show that: (1) Spatially, the CLP can be divided into four homogeneous regions, namely, Ordos Plateau semi-arid area (Region I), Northern Shanxi hilly semi-humid area (Region II), Longzhong plateau cold-arid area (Region III), and Fenwei Plain and Shaanxi-Shanxi hilly semi-humid area (Region IV). (2) There are apparent differences in the temporal evolution of meteorological droughts in different subregions, but two wet periods from the 1960s to 1980s and 2010s, and a drought period in the 1990s, can be found in each subregion. (3) There is a significant drought cycle of 3–8 years in the four subregions, and the first main cycles of drought variation are not completely consistent. (4) The linkages between SPI and SOI are time- and space-dependent and the phase differences are dominated by in-phase. The strongest correlations between the two time series occur in the 1980s in the four subregions. The results of this research have important implications for the establishment of drought monitoring programs in homogeneous climate regions, and informed decision making in water resource management.