Accurate information on tropical cyclone position, intensity, and structure is critical for storm surge prediction. Atmospheric reanalysis datasets can provide gridded, full coverage, long-term and multi-parameter atmospheric fields for the research on the impact of tropical cyclones on the upper ocean, which effectively makes up for the uneven temporal and spatial distribution of satellite remote sensing and in situ data. However, the reanalysis data cannot accurately describe characteristic parameters of tropical cyclones, especially in high wind conditions. In this paper, the performance of the tropical cyclone representation in ERA5 (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis 5th Generation) is investigated and analyzed with respect to IBTrACS (International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship) during the period 2018–2020. Comparisons demonstrate that ERA5 winds significantly underestimate the maximum wind speed during the tropical cyclones (>30 m/s) compared to those provided by IBTrACS. An effective wind reconstruction method is examined to enhance tropical cyclone intensity representation in reanalysis data in 94 cases of 31 tropical cyclones 2018–2020. The reconstructed wind speeds are in good agreement with the SFMR (Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer) measured data and SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) L-band radiometer remotely sensed measurements. The proposed wind reconstruction method can effectively improve the accuracy of the tropical cyclone representation in ERA5, and will benefit from the establishment of remote sensing satellite retrieval model and the forcing fields of the ocean model.
Satellite altimeters can capture storm surges generated by typhoons and tropical storms, if the satellite flies over at the right time. In this study, we show TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter-observed storm surge features off Southeast China on 10 October 1994 during Typhoon Seth. We then use a three-dimensional, barotropic, finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) to simulate storm surges. An innovative aspect is that satellite data are used to calibrate the storm surge model to improve model performance, by adjusting model wind forcing fields (the National Center for Environment Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis product) in reference to the typhoon best-track data. The calibration reduces the along-track root-mean-square (RMS) difference between model and altimetric data from 0.15 to 0.10 m. It also reduces the RMS temporal difference from 0.21 to 0.18 m between the model results and independent tide-gauge data at Xiamen. In particular, the calibrated model produces a peak storm surge of 1.01 m at 6:00 10 October 1994 at Xiamen, agreeing with tide-gauge data; while the peak storm surge with the NCEP forcing is 0.71 m only. We further show that the interaction between storm surges and astronomical tides contributes to the peak storm surge by 34% and that the storm surge propagates southwestward as a coastally-trapped Kelvin wave.
17 April 2024 in IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) plays a crucial role in monitoring the fine structure of tropical cyclones, but its effectiveness is constrained by limitations such as signal degradation and saturation. To address this challenge, we proposed a transfer learning-based generative adversarial network (GAN) framework with a dilated convolution and attention mechanism for reconstructing inner-core high winds from SAR images. We have employed the principles of transfer learning to adapt pretrained models developed by the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model winds to SAR images during tropical cyclone events for reconstruction. The proposed model can effectively capture the relationship between features in the low-precision areas and global features from SAR images, facilitating tropical cyclone wind speed reconstruction. The utilization of Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Level 3 rainfall data facilitates the identification of rainfall regions in 89 SAR images obtained from Radarsat-2 and Sentinel-1A/B missions. Comparison with stepped frequency microwave radiometer (SFMR) data reveals that the model exhibits a bias of −0.69 m/s, a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 4.08 m/s, and an R value of 0.91 under heavy rainfall conditions (>7.62 mm/h). Remarkably, the GAN model exhibits excellent performance compared with measurements from the soil moisture active passive (SMAP) L-band radiometer, achieving an RMSE of 3.78 m/s. Our findings indicate that deep learning (DL) technology holds significant promise for the reconstruction and monitoring of tropical cyclones through the utilization of SAR imagery.
Haiyang-2 scatterometers (HY-2A/B/C/D) have limitations in high wind speed retrieval due to the complexity of the remote sensing mechanism and the influence of rainfall on the radar cross section under the conditions of tropical cyclones. In this study, we focus on the evaluation of Chinese scatterometer operational wind products from HY-2B/C/D over the period from July 2019 to December 2021. HY-2B/C/D scatterometer wind products are collocated with SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) L-band radiometer remotely sensed measurements. The results show that the underestimation of high wind speed occurs in the HY-2B/C/D wind speed products. The machine learning algorithms are explored to improve this underestimation issue, including the back propagation neural network (BP-NN), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and Bayesian ridge (BR) regression algorithms. Comparisons show that the BP-NN algorithm shows the best performance with a small RMSE (root-mean-square error) of 3.40 m/s, and high correlation coefficient of 0.88, demonstrating an improvement of 20.4% in RMSE (root-mean-square error) compared with the HY-2B/C/D wind speed products. In addition, the revised high winds are in good agreement with the ground truth measurements from the SFMR (Stepped Frequency Microwave Radiometer), which are useful for tropical cyclone disaster prevention and mitigation and are of vital importance in the numerical simulation of storm surges.
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery plays an important role in observing tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the C-band attenuation caused by rain bands and the problem of signal saturation at high wind speeds make it impossible to retrieve the fine structure of TCs effectively. In this paper, a dual-level contextual attention generative adversarial network (DeCA-GAN) is tailored for reconstructing SAR wind speeds in TCs. The DeCA-GAN follows an encoder–neck–decoder architecture, which works well for high wind speeds and the reconstruction of a large range of low-quality data. A dual-level encoder comprising a convolutional neural network and a self-attention mechanism is designed to extract the local and global features of the TC structure. After feature fusion, the neck explores the contextual features to form a reconstructed outline and up-samples the features in the decoder to obtain the reconstructed results. The proposed deep learning model has been trained and validated using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) atmospheric model product and can be directly used to improve the data quality of SAR wind speeds. Wind speeds are reconstructed well in regions of low-quality SAR data. The root mean square error of the model output and ECMWF in these regions is halved in comparison with the existing SAR wind speed product for the test set. The results indicate that deep learning methods are effective for reconstructing SAR wind speeds.