The goal of this study is to evaluate the performance of the National Water Model (NWM) in time and space across the contiguous United States. Retrospective streamflow simulations were compared to records from 3260 USGS gauging stations, considering both regulated and natural flow conditions. Statistical metrics, including Kling–Gupta efficiency, Percent Bias, Pearson Correlation Coefficient, Root Mean Squared Error, and Normalized Root Mean Squared Error, were employed to assess the agreement between observed and simulated streamflow. A comparison of historical trends in daily flow data between the model and observed streamflow provided additional insight into the utility of retrospective NWM datasets. Our findings demonstrate a superior agreement between the simulated and observed streamflow for natural flow in comparison to regulated flow. The most favorable agreement between the NWM estimates and observed data was achieved in humid regions during the winter season, whereas a reduced degree of agreement was observed in the Great Plains region. Enhancements to model performance for regulated flow are necessary, and bias correction is crucial for utilizing the NWM retrospective streamflow dataset. The study concludes that the model-agnostic NextGen NWM framework, which accounts for regional performance of the utilized model, could be more suitable for continental-scale hydrologic prediction.

This study introduces a new automated system that blends multi-satellite information and citizen science data for reliable and timely observations of lake and river ice in under-observed northern regions. The system leverages the Google Earth Engine resources to facilitate the analysis and visualization of ice conditions. The adopted approach utilizes a combination of moderate and high-resolution optical data, along with radar observations. The results demonstrate the system’s capability to accurately detect and monitor river ice, particularly during key periods, such as the freeze-up and the breakup. The integration citizen science data showed added values in the validation of remote sensing products, as well as filling gaps whenever satellite observations cannot be collected due to cloud obstruction. Moreover, it was shown that citizen science data can be converted to valuable quantitative information, such as the case of ice thickness, which is very useful when combined with ice extent derived from remote sensing. In this study, citizen science data were employed for the quantitative assessment of the remote sensing product. Obtained results showed a good agreement between the product and observed river status, with a Critical Success Index of 0.82. Notably, the system has shown effectiveness in capturing the spatial and temporal evolution of snow and ice conditions, as evidenced by its application in analyzing specific ice jam events in 2023. The study concludes that the developed system marks a significant advancement in river ice monitoring, combining technological innovation with community engagement.

The goal of this study is to assess the temporal variability of the performance of the Soil Moisture Active Passive, SMAP, soil moisture retrievals throughout the seasons as surface conditions change. In-situ soil moisture observations from a network deployed in Millbrook, New York, between 2019 and 2021 are used. The network comprises 25 stations distributed across a 33-km SMAP pixel with a predominantly forest land cover. The in-situ soil moisture observations were collected between 6 and 7 a.m., local time. This article covers the assessment of the temporal accuracy of SMAP soil moisture by incorporating various upscaling methods. Four upscaling methods are used in this study: arithmetic average, Voronoi diagram, topographic wetness index, and land cover weighted average. The agreement between SMAP soil moisture and the upscaled in-situ measurements was gauged using the root-mean-squared difference, the mean difference, and the unbiased root-mean-squared difference. The consistency of the temporal variability of SMAP soil moisture data resulting from the four upscaling methods was analyzed. The results revealed that SMAP retrievals (soil moisture data) are systematically higher than in situ observations during the different seasons. The results indicate that the highest performance of SMAP soil moisture retrievals is in September with an ubRMSD value of 0.03 m³.m⁻³ for the morning and evening overpasses, which can be attributed to a lower vegetation density during the seasonal transition. The agreement with in-situ observations degrades during March–April with ubRMSD values above 0.04 m³.m⁻³, reaching ~0.06 m³.m⁻³ in April, which can be attributed to the non-reliability of in-situ measurements due to freeze\thaw transition and the challenging determination of the soil effective temperature. The ubRMSD is also higher than 0.04 m³.m⁻³ in the months of May–June, which could be due to the introduced vegetation effect during the growth season. These findings are consistent across all the upscaling methods. The average ubRMSD over the study period is 0.055 m³.m⁻³, which falls short of meeting the mission’s performance target. This study proves the need to enhance SMAP retrieval over forest sites.

The long-term variability of lacustrine dynamics is influenced by hydro-climatological factors that affect the depth and spatial extent of water bodies. The primary objective of this study is to delineate lake area extent, utilizing a machine learning approach, and to examine the impact of these hydro-climatological factors on lake dynamics. In situ and remote sensing observations were employed to identify the predominant explanatory pathways for assessing the fluctuations in lake area. The Great Salt Lake (GSL) and Lake Chad (LC) were chosen as study sites due to their semi-arid regional settings, enabling the testing of the proposed approach. The random forest (RF) supervised classification algorithm was applied to estimate the lake area extent using Landsat imagery that was acquired between 1999 and 2021. The long-term lake dynamics were evaluated using remotely sensed evapotranspiration data that were derived from MODIS, precipitation data that were sourced from CHIRPS, and in situ water level measurements. The findings revealed a marked decline in the GSL area extent, exceeding 50% between 1999 and 2021, whereas LC exhibited greater fluctuations with a comparatively lower decrease in its area extent, which was approximately 30% during the same period. The framework that is presented in this study demonstrates the reliability of remote sensing data and machine learning methodologies for monitoring lacustrine dynamics. Furthermore, it provides valuable insights for decision makers and water resource managers in assessing the temporal variability of lake dynamics.

This study presents an innovative, automated deep learning-based technique for near real-time satellite monitoring of river ice conditions in northern watersheds of the United States and Canada. The method leverages high-resolution imagery from the VIIRS bands onboard the NOAA-20 and NPP satellites and employs the U-Net deep learning algorithm for the semantic segmentation of images under varying cloud and land surface conditions. The system autonomously generates detailed maps delineating classes such as water, land, vegetation, snow, river ice, cloud, and cloud shadow. The verification of system outputs was performed quantitatively by comparing with existing ice extent maps in the northeastern US and New Brunswick, Canada, yielding a Probability of Detection of 0.77 and a False Alarm rate of 0.12, suggesting commendable accuracy. Qualitative assessments were also conducted, corroborating the reliability of the system and underscoring its utility in monitoring hydraulic and hydrological processes across northern watersheds. The system’s proficiency in accurately capturing the phenology of river ice, particularly during onset and breakup times, testifies to its potential as a valuable tool in the realm of river ice monitoring.