Flood estimation and flood management have traditionally been the domain of hydrologists, water resources engineers and statisticians, and disciplinary approaches abound. Dominant views have been shaped; one example is the catchment perspective: floods are formed and influenced by the interaction of local, catchment-specific characteristics, such as meteorology, topography and geology. These traditional views have been beneficial, but they have a narrow framing. In this paper we contrast traditional views with broader perspectives that are emerging from an improved understanding of the climatic context of floods. We come to the following conclusions: (1) extending the traditional system boundaries (local catchment, recent decades, hydrological/hydraulic processes) opens up exciting possibilities for better understanding and improved tools for flood risk assessment and management. (2) Statistical approaches in flood estimation need to be complemented by the search for the causal mechanisms and dominant processes in the atmosphere, catchment and river system that leave their fingerprints on flood characteristics. (3) Natural climate variability leads to time-varying flood characteristics, and this variation may be partially quantifiable and predictable, with the perspective of dynamic, climate-informed flood risk management. (4) Efforts are needed to fully account for factors that contribute to changes in all three risk components (hazard, exposure, vulnerability) and to better understand the interactions between society and floods. (5) Given the global scale and societal importance, we call for the organization of an international multidisciplinary collaboration and data-sharing initiative to further understand the links between climate and flooding and to advance flood research.
10 July 2009 in International Journal of Climatology
A new method is presented for the extraction of mixed layer depth and entrainment zone thickness from lidar, backscatter ratio profiles. The method is based on fitting a four parameter, idealized profile to observed profiles. Optimization of the fit yields values for mixed layer depth and entrainment zone thickness. Since the fitting procedure is based on the entire measured profile, it has a robustness not found in methods based on critical backscatter or backscatter gradient. The method is tested by application to four measured profiles and three synthetic profiles. The sets of profiles include some that are very demanding because of small mixed layer to upper layer backscatter ratio contrasts, or have plumes of high backscatter imbedded in mixed and upper layers. It is shown that the method is robust and simple to implement, even for a sequence of independent profiles. Abstract A new method is presented for the extraction of mixed layer depth and entrainment zone thickness from lidar, backscatter ratio profiles. The method is based on fitting a four parameter, idealized profile to observed profiles. Optimization of the fit yields values for mixed layer depth and entrainment zone thickness. Since the fitting procedure is based on the entire measured profile, it has a robustness not found in methods based on critical backscatter or backscatter gradient. The method is tested by application to four measured profiles and three synthetic profiles. The sets of profiles include some that are very demanding because of small mixed layer to upper layer backscatter ratio contrasts, or have plumes of high backscatter imbedded in mixed and upper layers. It is shown that the method is robust and simple to implement, even for a sequence of independent profiles.
18 June 2002 in International Journal of Climatology