The Cyber Forensics Behavioral Analysis (CFBA) model merges Cyber Behavioral Sciences and Digital Forensics to improve the prediction and effectiveness of cyber threats from Autonomous System Numbers (ASNs). Traditional cybersecurity strategies, focused mainly on technical aspects, must be revised for the complex cyber threat landscape. This research proposes an approach combining technical expertise with cybercriminal behavior insights. The study utilizes a mixed-methods approach and integrates various disciplines, including digital forensics, cybersecurity, computer science, and forensic psychology. Central to the model are four key concepts: forensic cyberpsychology, digital forensics, predictive modeling, and the Cyber Behavioral Analysis Metric (CBAM) and Score (CBS) for evaluating ASNs. The CFBA model addresses initial challenges in traditional cyber defense methods and emphasizes the need for an interdisciplinary, comprehensive approach. This research offers practical tools and frameworks for accurately predicting cyber threats, advocating for ongoing collaboration in the ever-evolving field of cybersecurity.

The rapid proliferation of cyberthreats necessitates a robust understanding of their evolution and associated tactics, as found in this study. A longitudinal analysis of these threats was conducted, utilizing a six-year data set obtained from a deception network, which emphasized its significance in the study’s primary aim: the exhaustive exploration of the tactics and strategies utilized by cybercriminals and how these tactics and techniques evolved in sophistication and target specificity over time. Different cyberattack instances were dissected and interpreted, with the patterns behind target selection shown. The focus was on unveiling patterns behind target selection and highlighting recurring techniques and emerging trends. The study’s methodological design incorporated data preprocessing, exploratory data analysis, clustering and anomaly detection, temporal analysis, and cross-referencing. The validation process underscored the reliability and robustness of the findings, providing evidence of increasingly sophisticated, targeted cyberattacks. The work identified three distinct network traffic behavior clusters and temporal attack patterns. A validated scoring mechanism provided a benchmark for network anomalies, applicable for predictive analysis and facilitating comparative study of network behaviors. This benchmarking aids organizations in proactively identifying and responding to potential threats. The study significantly contributed to the cybersecurity discourse, offering insights that could guide the development of more effective defense strategies. The need for further investigation into the nature of detected anomalies was acknowledged, advocating for continuous research and proactive defense strategies in the face of the constantly evolving landscape of cyberthreats.

This research article investigates the effectiveness of digital forensics analysis (DFA) techniques in identifying patterns and trends in malicious failed login attempts linked to public data breaches or compromised email addresses in Microsoft 365 (M365) environments. Pattern recognition techniques are employed to analyze security logs, revealing insights into negative behavior patterns. The findings contribute to the literature on digital forensics, opposing behavior patterns, and cloud-based cybersecurity. Practical implications include the development of targeted defense strategies and the prioritization of prevalent threats. Future research should expand the scope to other cloud services and platforms, capture evolving trends through more prolonged and extended analysis periods, and assess the effectiveness of specific mitigation strategies for identified tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs).

A groundbreaking integrated predictive model, termed Cyber Forensics Behavioral Analysis (CFBA), has been developed in an environment characterized by rapidly evolving and increasingly sophisticated cyber threats. This model merges Cyber Behavioral Sciences with Digital Forensics to enhance the prediction accuracy and effectiveness of cyber threats originating from specific Autonomous System Numbers (ASNs). It has been observed that traditional cybersecurity strategies, predominantly focused on technical aspects, must be improved in addressing the complex landscape of cyber threats. Consequently, a novel approach has been proposed in this research, combining technical expertise with insights into the behavior of cybercriminals, thereby addressing a significant gap in existing methodologies. A mixed-methods approach has been employed in the study, integrating quantitative and qualitative research methods. This approach has created a comprehensive framework incorporating digital forensics, cybersecurity, computer science, forensic psychology, and the cyber behavioral sciences which incorporates disciplines scuch as cyberpsychology and forensic cyberpsychology. The study is anchored around four key concepts: (1) Forensic Cyberpsychology, which focuses on understanding psychological aspects of cybercriminal behavior; (2) Digital Forensics, involving the collection and analysis of digital evidence from cyber incidents; (3) Predictive Modeling, which utilizes historical data and patterns to anticipate potential cyber threats; and (4) the Cyber Behavioral Analysis Metric (CBAM) and Cyber Behavioral Score (CBS), tools designed for evaluating and scoring ASNs based on their behavior in terms of cybersecurity threat risks. Challenges encountered in the development of this integration have been significant. Initial setbacks included the misalignment of traditional cyber defense methods with the evolving nature of cyber threats and the absence of a holistic approach in pre-existing models. Through the narrative of these challenges and the subsequent development of the CFBA model, the research highlights the necessity for an interdisciplinary approach to cybersecurity. The outcomes of this study are not merely theoretical but provide practical, actionable tools and frameworks that markedly improve the precision of predicting cyber threats, especially from ASNs. The CFBA model represents a significant shift in cybersecurity strategies, highlighting the importance of integrating behavioral insights with technical knowledge. The study emphasizes the need for ongoing research and collaboration in cybersecurity, advocating for an approach that is as comprehensive and multifaceted as the cyber threats it seeks to mitigate. This research has been conducted to contribute significantly to cybersecurity, offering new perspectives and methodologies in a rapidly changing domain.

This research article investigates the effectiveness of digital forensics analysis (DFA) techniques in identifying patterns and trends in malicious failed login attempts linked to public data breaches or compromised email addresses in Microsoft 365 (M365) environments. Pattern recognition techniques are employed to analyze security logs, revealing insights into negative behavior patterns. The findings contribute to the literature on digital forensics, opposing behavior patterns, and cloud-based cybersecurity. Practical implications include the development of targeted defense strategies and the prioritization of prevalent threats. Future research should expand the scope to other cloud services and platforms, capture evolving trends through more prolonged, more extended analysis periods, and assess the effectiveness of specific mitigation strategies for identified tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs).

As cyber threats evolve in complexity, there is a growing need to integrate Cyber Behavioral Sciences (CBS) and adaptive defense strategies into cybersecurity frameworks. This paper explores the potential of CBS and real-time adaptive testing environments (ATEs), such as moving target defense (MTD), to enhance cyber deception strategies. A comprehensive literature review and thematic analysis identifies critical gaps in the current research, including the lack of empirical validation, standardized performance metrics, and the under explored role of organizational culture in cyber deception. The findings suggest that while theoretical models for CBS offer valuable insights into attacker behavior, practical implementations remain limited. However, by addressing these challenges, cybersecurity practitioners can create more dynamic, behaviorally informed defenses capable of responding to evolving adversarial tactics.