Jorge Pérez-Aracil

Dr. Jorge Pérez-Aracil

Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

9Years (2018-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 February 2025 in Nature Communications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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GCGustau Camps-Valls
Gustau Camps-Valls
MFMiguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres
Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres
KCKai-Hendrik Cohrs
Kai-Hendrik Cohrs
AHAdrian Höhl
Adrian Höhl
ACAndrea Castelletti
Andrea Castelletti
TWTristan Williams
Tristan Williams
In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has deeply impacted various fields, including Earth system sciences, by improving weather forecasting, model emulation, parameter estimation, and the prediction of extreme events. The latter comes with specific challenges, such as developing accurate predictors from noisy, heterogeneous, small sample sizes and data with limited annotations. This paper reviews how AI is being used to analyze extreme climate events (like floods, droughts, wildfires, and heatwaves), highlighting the importance of creating accurate, transparent, and reliable AI models. We discuss the hurdles of dealing with limited data, integrating real-time information, and deploying understandable models, all crucial steps for gaining stakeholder trust and meeting regulatory needs. We provide an overview of how AI can help identify and explain extreme events more effectively, improving disaster response and communication. We emphasize the need for collaboration across different fields to create AI solutions that are practical, understandable, and trustworthy to enhance disaster readiness and risk reduction.

28 August 2023 in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
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Journal Article
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Sancho Salcedo-SanzSancho Salcedo-Sanz
Sancho Salcedo-Sanz
Jorge Pérez-AracilJorge Pérez-Aracil
Jorge Pérez-Aracil
GAGuido Ascenso
Guido Ascenso
Javier Del SerJavier Del Ser
Javier Del Ser
DCDavid Casillas
David Casillas
ACAndrea Castelletti
Andrea Castelletti
Atmospheric extreme events cause severe damage to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of extremes and other associated events are continuously increasing due to climate change and global warming. The accurate prediction, characterization, and attribution of atmospheric extreme events is, therefore, a key research field in which many groups are currently working by applying different methodologies and computational tools. Machine learning and deep learning methods have arisen in the last years as powerful techniques to tackle many of the problems related to atmospheric extreme events. This paper reviews machine learning and deep learning approaches applied to the analysis, characterization, prediction, and attribution of the most important atmospheric extremes. A summary of the most used machine learning and deep learning techniques in this area, and a comprehensive critical review of literature related to ML in EEs, are provided. The critical literature review has been extended to extreme events related to rainfall and floods, heatwaves and extreme temperatures, droughts, severe weather events and fog, and low-visibility episodes. A case study focused on the analysis of extreme atmospheric temperature prediction with ML and DL techniques is also presented in the paper. Conclusions, perspectives, and outlooks on the field are finally drawn.

13 February 2023 in Applied Soft Computing
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Journal Article
Open access
DFD. Fister
D. Fister
Jorge Pérez-AracilJorge Pérez-Aracil
Jorge Pérez-Aracil
CPCésar Peláez
César Peláez
Javier Del SerJavier Del Ser
Javier Del Ser
SSS. Salcedo-Sanz
S. Salcedo-Sanz

30 November 2023 in Renewable Energy
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Journal Article
Closed access
MVM. Vega-Bayo
M. Vega-Bayo
Jorge Pérez-AracilJorge Pérez-Aracil
Jorge Pérez-Aracil
LPL. Prieto-Godino
L. Prieto-Godino
SSS. Salcedo-Sanz
S. Salcedo-Sanz

16 November 2022 in Renewable Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
CPCésar Peláez
César Peláez
Jorge Pérez-AracilJorge Pérez-Aracil
Jorge Pérez-Aracil
DFD. Fister
D. Fister
LPL. Prieto-Godino
L. Prieto-Godino
Ravinesh DeoRavinesh Deo
Ravinesh Deo
SSS. Salcedo-Sanz
S. Salcedo-Sanz

22 January 2024 in Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
CPCésar Peláez
César Peláez
RTRicardo Torres
Ricardo Torres
Jorge Pérez-AracilJorge Pérez-Aracil
Jorge Pérez-Aracil
NLNieves Lopez-Laguna
Nieves Lopez-Laguna
SSS. Sánchez-Rodríguez
S. Sánchez-Rodríguez
SSS. Salcedo-Sanz
S. Salcedo-Sanz
In the last years, the Emergency Department (ED) has become an important source of admissions for hospitals. Since late 90s, the number of ED visits has been steadily increasing, and since Covid19 pandemic this trend has been much stronger. Accurate prediction of ED visits, even for moderate forecasting time-horizons, can definitively improve operational efficiency, quality of care, and patient outcomes in hospitals. In this paper we propose two different interpretable approaches, based on Machine Learning algorithms, to accurately forecast hospital emergency visits. The proposed approaches involve a first step of data segmentation based on two different criteria, depending on the approach considered: first, a threshold-based strategy is adopted, where data is divided depending on the value of specific predictor variables. In a second approach, a cluster-based ensemble learning is proposed, in such a way that a clustering algorithm is applied to the training dataset, and ML models are then trained for each cluster. The two proposed methodologies have been evaluated in real data from two hospital ED visits datasets in Spain. We have shown that the proposed approaches are able to obtain accurate ED visits forecasting, in short-term and also long-term prediction time-horizons up to one week, improving the efficiency of alternative prediction methods for this problem. The proposed forecasting approaches have a strong emphasis on providing explainability to the problem. An analysis on which variables govern the problem and are pivotal for obtaining accurate predictions is finally carried out and included in the discussion of the paper.