An important issue for agricultural planning purposes is the accurate yield estimation for the numerous crops involved in the planning. Machine learning (ML) is an essential approach for achieving practical and effective solutions for this problem. Many comparisons of ML methods for yield prediction have been made, seeking for the most accurate technique. Generally, the number of evaluated crops and techniques is too low and does not provide enough information for agricultural planning purposes. This paper compares the predictive accuracy of ML and linear regression techniques for crop yield prediction in ten crop datasets. Multiple linear regression, M5-Prime regression trees, perceptron multilayer neural networks, support vector regression and k-nearest neighbor methods were ranked. Four accuracy metrics were used to validate the models: the root mean square error (RMS), root relative square error (RRSE), normalized mean absolute error (MAE), and correlation factor (R). Real data of an irrigation zone of Mexico were used for building the models. Models were tested with samples of two consecutive years. The results show that M5-Prime and k-nearest neighbor techniques obtain the lowest average RMSE errors (5.14 and 4.91), the lowest RRSE errors (79.46% and 79.78%), the lowest average MAE errors (18.12% and 19.42%), and the highest average correlation factors (0.41 and 0.42). Since M5-Prime achieves the largest number of crop yield models with the lowest errors, it is a very suitable tool for massive crop yield prediction in agricultural planning.

Digital terrain model (DTM) generation is essential to recreating terrain morphology once the external elements are removed. Traditional survey methods are still used to collect accurate geographic data on the land surface. Given the emergence of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) equipped with low-cost digital cameras and better photogrammetric methods for digital mapping, efficient approaches are necessary to allow rapid land surveys with high accuracy. This paper provides a review, complemented with the authors’ experience, regarding the UAV photogrammetric process and field survey parameters for DTM generation using popular commercial photogrammetric software to process images obtained with fixed-wing or multicopter UAVs. We analyzed the quality and accuracy of the DTMs based on four categories: (i) the UAV system (UAV platforms and camera); (ii) flight planning and image acquisition (flight altitude, image overlap, UAV speed, orientation of the flight line, camera configuration, and georeferencing); (iii) photogrammetric DTM generation (software, image alignment, dense point cloud generation, and ground filtering); (iv) geomorphology and land use/cover. For flat terrain, UAV photogrammetry provided a horizontal root mean square error (RMSE) between 1 to 3 × the ground sample distance (GSD) and a vertical RMSE between 1 to 4.5 × GSD, and, for complex topography, a horizontal RMSE between 1 to 7 × GSD and a vertical RMSE between 1.5 to 5 × GSD. Finally, we stress that UAV photogrammetry can provide DTMs with high accuracy when the photogrammetric process variables are optimized.

The vegetation fraction (VF) monitoring in a specific area is a very important parameter for precision agriculture. Until a few years ago, high-cost flights on aeroplanes and satellite imagery were the only option to acquire data to estimate VF remotely. Recently, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) have emerged as a novel and economic tool to supply high-resolution images useful to estimate VF. VF is usually estimated by spectral indices using red-green-blue (RGB) and near-infrared (NIR) bands data. For this study, a UAV equipped with both kinds of sensors (RGB and NIR) was used to obtain high-resolution imagery over a maize field in progressive dates along the mid-season and the senescence development stages. The early-season stage was also monitored using only RGB spectral indices. Flights were performed at 52 m over the terrain, obtaining RGB images of 1.25 cm pixel⁻¹ and multispectral images of 2.10 cm pixel⁻¹. Three spectral indices in the visible region, Excess Green (ExG), Colour Index of Vegetation (CIVE), and Vegetation Index Green (VIg), and three NIR-based vegetation indices, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Green NDVI (GNDVI), and Normalized Green (NG), were evaluated for VF estimation. Otsu’s method was applied to automatically determine the threshold value to classify the vegetation coverage. Results show that ExG presents the higher mean accuracy (85.66%) among all the visible indices, with values ranging from 72.54% to 99.53%, having its best performance in the earlier development stage. Nevertheless, GNDVI mean accuracy (97.09%) overcomes all the indices (visible and multispectral), ranging in value from 92.71% to 99.36%. This allowed comparing the accuracy difference gained by using a NIR sensor, with a higher economic cost than required using a simple RGB sensor. The results suggest that ExG can be a very suitable option to monitor VF in the early-season growth stage of the crop, while later stages could require NIR-based indices. Thus, the selection of the index will depend on the objectives of the study and the equipment capacity.

Efficient cropping requires yield estimation for each involved crop, where data-driven models are commonly applied. In recent years, some data-driven modeling technique comparisons have been made, looking for the best model to yield prediction. However, attributes are usually selected based on expertise assessment or in dimensionality reduction algorithms. A fairer comparison should include the best subset of features for each regression technique; an evaluation including several crops is preferred. This paper evaluates the most common data-driven modeling techniques applied to yield prediction, using a complete method to define the best attribute subset for each model. Multiple linear regression, stepwise linear regression, M5′ regression trees, and artificial neural networks (ANN) were ranked. The models were built using real data of eight crops sowed in an irrigation module of Mexico. To validate the models, three accuracy metrics were used: the root relative square error (RRSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), and correlation factor (R). The results show that ANNs are more consistent in the best attribute subset composition between the learning and the training stages, obtaining the lowest average RRSE (86.04%), lowest average RMAE (8.75%), and the highest average correlation factor (0.63).

Torrential rainfall can generate landslides, flash floods, and debris flows which might become disasters, causing loss of life and damage to property and infrastructure. To respond opportunely to hydrometeorological hazards, it is necessary to assess, rapidly and accurately, damage to the affected area. This is commonly done through time-consuming reconnaissance visits to obtain detailed field information. This paper proposes a methodology which uses: i) high resolution satellite and RGB images from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), ii) digital elevation models (DEM), and iii) object-based image analysis (OBIA) for rapid urban flood damage assessment and estimation of the number of houses washed away, or with a total or partial roof collapse, by comparing pre- and post-event data. The case study was Tropical Storm Earl in 2016 that affected the town of Chicahuaxtla, Puebla, Mexico, due to the overflow of the Zempoloantongo River that cuts through the town causing several loss of life and severe property damage. The results indicate that the three-pronged approach proposed herein is able to discriminate changes before and after the event and improve image classification of washed-away or destroyed houses. The overall accuracy of the proposed automatic classification obtained with UAV data had a value of 97.4%. Structural damage was not assessed in this study.