Seamount cobalt-rich crusts are rich in cobalt resources and are sought after worldwide. Among different affecting parameters, crust thickness is the most important in evaluating cobalt-rich crust resources in seamounts. Generally, there are two challenges to crust thickness evaluation: firstly, due to high operating costs, most geological stations for seamount exploration have sparse sampling distributions so there are insufficient data to estimate the crust thickness distribution; secondly, a single evaluation method has advantages and disadvantages, and it is not feasible to benefit from the advantages only. These methods cannot simultaneously make full use of the sampling data in local areas, providing a more appropriate evaluation of the whole area. As a result, the estimated results cannot fully reflect the thickness distribution. Based on the thickness data of the station survey and topographic data, geostatistical units are divided, and a comprehensive crust thickness assessment scheme is established on the ArcGIS platform. To this end, the adjacent area method is applied to calculate the crust thickness within the influence range of the station. Combined with the station buffer radius and Thiessen polygon method, the crust thickness within 1.5 km of the survey station was estimated. Then the “slope–distance” Kriging interpolation method was used to calculate the crust thickness in the study area, and the crust thickness in the optimal effective radius area was given to compensate for the missing part in the first step. Finally, the geological blocks were divided using the topographic classification method, and the crust thickness of the remaining unassigned regions was estimated using the mathematical expectation method. The proposed method was applied to evaluate the Il’ichev Guyot’s crust thickness and reasonable results were achieved. It was found that the thickness estimation of the area near the station is consistent with the measured values. Since finer topographic data are used in the calculation, the thickness estimation result is more detailed. In this regard, a simple and effective calculation method was established on the ArcMap platform. The mathematical expectation estimation method of the crust thickness, based on the topographic and geomorphological classification from the perspective of the mineralization mechanism, compensates for the drawbacks of the first two methods originating from the lack of data points. The results show that the proposed method is an appropriate scheme to evaluate seamount crust thickness without comprehensive investigation.
The optimization of enrichment zones for Co-rich crusts involves multiple factors such as crust thickness, elemental content, topography, slope, and biological distribution, making it a complicated research endeavor. Based on survey data from the contract area, the present study pioneers the integration of environmental factors into enrichment zone selection. It conducts a comprehensive analysis of resource, environment, and mining considerations, alongside optimization methodologies. Quantitative indicators for resource, environment, and mining are spatially correlated and assigned to corresponding grid cells. A weighted scoring method is proposed to compare enrichment zone selection results under different weightings, finally forming the optimal enrichment zone selection scheme. This scheme fully achieves the maximization of resource reserves, the protection of biological communities, and the safeguarding of future mineral development. It also provides technical reference for enrichment zone selection of deep-sea minerals such as polymetallic nodules and hydrothermal sulphides.
Polymetallic nodules constitute a strategically important deep sea mineral resource enriched in nickel, cobalt, copper, and other critical metals. Accurate prediction of their spatial distribution is crucial for resource assessment and sustainable exploitation. However, sparse sampling, high survey costs, and complex nonlinear interactions among environmental factors make this task difficult. To address these challenges, this study applies a quantile regression forest to analyze the data from 233 box-core stations across a 23,000 km2 area in the eastern Pacific, integrating bathymetry and backscatter intensity. Cross-validation verifies model performance. The trained model predicts nodule abundance across an adjacent 3000 km2 study area and validates it against 12 independent stations that were not involved in the training. This external validation gives a root mean square error of 4.11 kg/m2. The quantile regression forest model also estimates uncertainty to quantify prediction reliability. The resulting uncertainty map distinguishes high-confidence zones from areas with elevated uncertainty. In 46% of the study area, normalized uncertainty falls below 0.50, indicating higher reliability. The remaining 54% shows higher uncertainty and requires additional sampling. This method combining independent spatial validation and uncertainty visualization provides a transparent tool for deep sea mineral resource assessment where data are sparse.