In the study of urban crime, different region partitioning schemes often lead to different analytical results, affecting the accuracy and reliability of the research. This paper proposes a new region partitioning method for urban crime data with multi-density distribution, namely the Adaptive Region Partitioning (ARP) method, and explores the impact of built environment features under different region partitioning methods on crime analysis. Compared with the traditional partitioning method, the research unit under the ARP method has better intra-regional homogeneity and inter-regional heterogeneity characteristics, more accurately maps the spatial distribution characteristics of the urban data, effectively reduces the risk of multiple covariance, improves the accuracy of the regression model, and provides a new and reliable regional partitioning scheme for crime research. Finally, by applying the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method, this study further reveals the extent to which different built environment features influence crime, providing important data support for urban planning and the formulation of crime prevention strategies.

Reliable short-term prediction of bus travel time on signalized urban arterials is essential for improving service reliability and may provide a useful forecasting basis for prediction-informed transit signal priority (TSP) and arterial coordination applications. However, bus operations on urban arterials are highly variable due to stop dwell times, signal delays, and interactions with mixed traffic, leading to nonlinear and nonstationary travel time patterns with strong spatiotemporal dependence. This study proposes a hybrid KNN–ConvLSTM framework for short-term arterial bus travel time prediction using real-world field data. A K-nearest neighbors (KNNs) module is first employed to retrieve historical operation sequences that are most similar to the current corridor state, thereby reducing interference from mismatched traffic regimes and improving robustness. Smart-card (IC card) transaction data are incorporated as demand-related features to represent passenger activity and its impact on dwell time and travel time variability. The selected sequences are then organized into a corridor-ordered spatiotemporal representation and further refined by lightweight temporal enhancement operations, including relevance gating, multi-scale aggregation, adaptive feature fusion, and residual enhancement, before being fed into the convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) predictor. The proposed approach is evaluated using weekday service-hour data extracted from 30 days of real-world bus operation records collected from a typical urban arterial corridor in Changchun, China, and is compared with several benchmark models, including ARIMA, KNN, LSTM, CNN, ConvLSTM, Transformer, and DCRNN. The results indicate that the proposed KNN–ConvLSTM framework achieves an MAE of 40.1 s, an RMSE of 55.8 s, a SMAPE of 10.7%, and an R² of 0.878, outperforming all benchmark models. Specifically, compared with the Transformer baseline, the proposed framework reduces MAE by 1.5%, RMSE by 5.1%, and SMAPE by 7.0%, while increasing R² by 0.014. Compared with the DCRNN baseline, it reduces MAE by 10.7%, RMSE by 1.9%, and SMAPE by 2.7%, while increasing R² by 0.008. These findings demonstrate that similarity-aware retrieval combined with spatiotemporal deep learning can substantially enhance short-term bus travel time prediction on signalized urban arterials. More accurate short-term forecasts may support prediction-informed transit signal priority and arterial coordination by providing more reliable downstream arrival-time estimates. However, the generalizability of the reported results is still constrained by the relatively short 30-day observation period and the single-corridor case setting, and the operational and environmental effects of downstream applications remain to be validated through dedicated closed-loop control evaluation in future work.