Mingcai Li

Dr. Mingcai Li

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 January 2023 in GIScience & Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
KQKe Qi
Ke Qi
JZJiaojun Zhu
Jiaojun Zhu
XZXiao Zheng
Xiao Zheng
GWG. Geoff Wang
G. Geoff Wang
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
In order to control the desertification, large-scale afforestation programs have been attempted worldwide. Among them, China initiated the world’s largest afforestation program, Three-North Afforestation Program (TNAP, 1978–2050), in which the afforestation in sandy land has been questioned during the first 40 years. In fact, the contribution of the TNAP to vegetation establishment and its effectiveness in desertification control still remain unclear, which limited the further construction of the program. To answer the questions, we detected the dynamics of vegetation distribution (forest, shrubland, and grassland) and desertification status (slight, moderate, severe, and extremely severe) during 1978–2017 in the sandy land (45.5 million ha), by visual interpretation of 5-period remote sensing images with validation based on 3,100 sample plots from field surveys and 15,175 sample plots from the National Forest Resource Inventory. Vegetation degradation was identified by analysis combining the trends of net primary productivity and precipitation use efficiency. By Geographical Detector model, the driving forces of vegetation degradation (climate change, human activities, vegetation type, and sandy land type) were ranked and the contributions of the influential factors (climate change, human activities, and vegetation dynamics) to desertification changes were estimated. The results showed that for the 40 years, vegetation coverage increased by 0.5%, with increasing 113.8% and 338.8% of forest and shrubland, but decreasing 9.0% of grassland. Desertification area had little change while the overall intensity decreased. The TNAP contributed to desertification dynamics by 10.3%, which is lower than expected. Vegetation type was the dominant factor of vegetation degradation in general. Forest is less suitable for afforestation in sandy land than shrubland and grassland because of its lower stand establishment rate, higher degradation rate, and less contribution to desertification control. Thus, adjusting vegetation type to match local conditions (e.g., use shrub-land, grassland, and native species) and improving the vegetation resistance (e.g., transform monoculture forests into mixed forests, and make proper proportion for forest, shrubland, and grassland) was suggested. Our study provided specific and feasible strategies for further planning and implementation of TNAP, and references for vegetation restoration of sandy lands worldwide.

29 June 2017 in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
FMFanchao Meng
Fanchao Meng
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
JCJingfu Cao
Jingfu Cao
JLJi Li
Ji Li
MXMingming Xiong
Mingming Xiong
GRGuoyu Ren
Guoyu Ren

25 November 2015 in Meteorological Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
JCJingfu Cao
Jingfu Cao
JGJun Guo
Jun Guo
JNJide Niu
Jide Niu
MXMingming Xiong
Mingming Xiong
The present paper concerns the impact of climate on building heating energy consumption for different types of energy in Tianjin, a large city in northern China. The results show that heating energy consumption is dominantly related to dry bulb temperature (DBT), but the impacts vary with energy types and time scales (day, month or year). DBT can explain 97.7% of the coal consumption at different time scales and 83.0–89.7% of the natural gas consumption. DBT can also account for 25% of the daily and monthly heating electricity consumption and 89% of the annual heating electricity consumption. These results suggest that different measures for building energy conservation should be taken because of the differing climate impacts for different energy types. Especially, likely increase in temperature in the future should be considered to improve the energy efficiency of buildings. In addition, different models should be used to predict building energy consumption at different time scales. This would be helpful for energy policy makers and energy providers for adjusting energy use strategies.

29 April 2015 in PLOS ONE
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
JSJun Shi
Jun Shi
JGJun Guo
Jun Guo
JCJingfu Cao
Jingfu Cao
JNJide Niu
Jide Niu
MXMingming Xiong
Mingming Xiong
Exploring changes of building energy consumption and its relationships with climate can provide basis for energy-saving and carbon emission reduction. Heating and cooling energy consumption of different types of buildings during 1981-2010 in Tianjin city, was simulated by using TRNSYS software. Daily or hourly extreme energy consumption was determined by percentile methods, and the climate impact on extreme energy consumption was analyzed. The results showed that days of extreme heating consumption showed apparent decrease during the recent 30 years for residential and large venue buildings, whereas days of extreme cooling consumption increased in large venue building. No significant variations were found for the days of extreme energy consumption for commercial building, although a decreasing trend in extreme heating energy consumption. Daily extreme energy consumption for large venue building had no relationship with climate parameters, whereas extreme energy consumption for commercial and residential buildings was related to various climate parameters. Further multiple regression analysis suggested heating energy consumption for commercial building was affected by maximum temperature, dry bulb temperature, solar radiation and minimum temperature, which together can explain 71.5 % of the variation of the daily extreme heating energy consumption. The daily extreme cooling energy consumption for commercial building was only related to the wet bulb temperature (R2= 0.382). The daily extreme heating energy consumption for residential building was affected by 4 climate parameters, but the dry bulb temperature had the main impact. The impacts of climate on hourly extreme heating energy consumption has a 1-3 hour delay in all three types of buildings, but no delay was found in the impacts of climate on hourly extreme cooling energy consumption for the selected buildings.

8 February 2021 in Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
YCYuehao Chen
Yuehao Chen
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
JCJingfu Cao
Jingfu Cao
SCShanjun Cheng
Shanjun Cheng
RZRuixue Zhang
Ruixue Zhang

2 September 2021 in Meteorological Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JCJingfu Cao
Jingfu Cao
MLMingcai Li
Mingcai Li
MWMin Wang
Min Wang
BLBojia Li
Bojia Li
Meteorological parameters, as the important basis for improving building energy efficiency, will show apparent changes under climate change conditions. In this study, outdoor design temperature and humidity for air‐conditioning system in 12 cities, representing major climatic zones of China, were analysed to determine the impacts of temperature and humidity on the design load of air‐conditioning system. The results showed that outdoor design temperature largely increased during the last few decades and relative humidity apparently decreased except for two cities belonging to the severe cold and hot summer and cold winter climate zones. The increase in temperature and decrease in humidity have made obvious changes in the design load of air‐conditioning system. The design loads for cooling increased 1.8%–10% in these selected cities during 1991–2017 compared with 1961–1990. By contrast, the design loads for dehumidification decreased 0.8%–7% in 1991–2017 relative to 1961–1990. When the cooling and dehumidification were considered together, the design loads changed from −1.5% to 4.1% in the two periods, depending on cities or climate zones. These results demonstrated that, under the condition of climate change, the combined changes of humidity and temperature rather than temperature alone should be fully considered to determine the design capacity of air‐conditioning system, especially for temperature and humidity independent control (THIC) air‐conditioning system, to save energy and improve indoor comfort.