With the exception of Bitcoin, there appears to be little or no literature on GARCH modelling of cryptocurrencies. This paper provides the first GARCH modelling of the seven most popular cryptocurrencies. Twelve GARCH models are fitted to each cryptocurrency, and their fits are assessed in terms of five criteria. Conclusions are drawn on the best fitting models, forecasts and acceptability of value at risk estimates.
A generalization of the exponential distribution is presented. The generalization always has its mode at zero and yet allows for increasing, decreasing and constant hazard rates. It can be used as an alternative to the gamma, Weibull and exponentiated exponential distributions. A comprehensive account of the mathematical properties of the generalization is presented. A real data example is discussed to illustrate its applicability.
Bitcoin, the first electronic payment system, is becoming a popular currency. We provide a statistical analysis of the log-returns of the exchange rate of Bitcoin versus the United States Dollar. Fifteen of the most popular parametric distributions in finance are fitted to the log-returns. The generalized hyperbolic distribution is shown to give the best fit. Predictions are given for future values of the exchange rate.