Carmela Sinisgalli

Dr. Carmela Sinisgalli

Institute for Systems Analysis and Computer Science “A. Ruberti”, National Research Council, 00185 Rome, Italy

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

30Years (1997-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 March 2014 in Journal of Mathematical Biology
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Journal Article
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AGAlberto Gandolfi
Alberto Gandolfi
APAndrea Pugliese
Andrea Pugliese
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli

8 February 2012 in Journal of Mathematical Biology
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Journal Article
Closed access
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ABA. Bertuzzi
A. Bertuzzi
CBC. Bruni
C. Bruni
FPF. Papa
F. Papa
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli

5 May 2016 in PLOS ONE
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Journal Article
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ABAlessandro Bertuzzi
Alessandro Bertuzzi
FCFederica Conte
Federica Conte
GMGeltrude Mingrone
Geltrude Mingrone
Federico PapaFederico Papa
Federico Papa
SSSerenella Salinari
Serenella Salinari
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli
Insulin resistance is the common denominator of several diseases including type 2 diabetes and cancer, and investigating the mechanisms responsible for insulin signaling impairment is of primary importance. A mathematical model of the insulin signaling network (ISN) is proposed and used to investigate the dose-response curves of components of this network. Experimental data of C2C12 myoblasts with phosphatase and tensin homologue (PTEN) suppressed and data of L6 myotubes with induced insulin resistance have been analyzed by the model. We focused particularly on single and double Akt phosphorylation and pointed out insulin signaling changes related to insulin resistance. Moreover, a new characterization of the upstream signaling of the mammalian target of rapamycin complex 2 (mTORC2) is presented. As it is widely recognized that ISN proteins have a crucial role also in cell proliferation and death, the ISN model was linked to a cell population model and applied to data of a cell line of acute myeloid leukemia treated with a mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitor with antitumor activity. The analysis revealed simple relationships among the concentrations of ISN proteins and the parameters of the cell population model that characterize cell cycle progression and cell death.

14 July 2020 in IEEE Journal of Biomedical and Health Informatics
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Journal Article
Closed access
Paolo Di GiamberardinoPaolo Di Giamberardino
Paolo Di Giamberardino
Daniela IacovielloDaniela Iacoviello
Daniela Iacoviello
Federico PapaFederico Papa
Federico Papa
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli
The present work deals with an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model specifically designed to describe the COVID-19 evolution in Italy. The model is particularised on the basis of National data about the infection status of the Italian population to obtain numerical solutions that effectively reproduce the real data. Our epidemic model is a classical SEIR model that incorporates two compartments of infected subpopulations, representing diagnosed and undiagnosed individuals respectively, and an additional quarantine compartment. Possible control actions representing social, political, and medical interventions are also included. The numerical results of the proposed model identification by least square fitting are analysed and commented with special emphasis on the estimation of the number of asymptomatic infective individuals. Our fitting results are in good agreement with the epidemiological data. Short and long-term predictions on the evolution of the disease are also given.

3 September 2021 in Nonlinear Dynamics
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Paolo Di GiamberardinoPaolo Di Giamberardino
Paolo Di Giamberardino
Daniela IacovielloDaniela Iacoviello
Daniela Iacoviello
Federico PapaFederico Papa
Federico Papa
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli
An epidemic multi-group model formed by interconnected SEIR-like structures is formulated and used for data fitting to gain insight into the COVID-19 dynamics and into the role of non-pharmaceutical control actions implemented to limit the infection spread since its outbreak in Italy. The single submodels provide a rather accurate description of the COVID-19 evolution in each subpopulation by an extended SEIR model including the class of asymptomatic infectives, which is recognized as a determinant for disease diffusion. The multi-group structure is specifically designed to investigate the effects of the inter-regional mobility restored at the end of the first strong lockdown in Italy (June 3, 2020). In its time-invariant version, the model is shown to enjoy some analytical stability properties which provide significant insights on the efficacy of the implemented control measurements. In order to highlight the impact of human mobility on the disease evolution in Italy between the first and second wave onset, the model is applied to fit real epidemiological data of three geographical macro-areas in the period March–October 2020, including the mass departure for summer holidays. The simulation results are in good agreement with the data, so that the model can represent a useful tool for predicting the effects of the combination of containment measures in triggering future pandemic scenarios. Particularly, the simulation shows that, although the unrestricted mobility alone appears to be insufficient to trigger the second wave, the human transfers were crucial to make uniform the spatial distribution of the infection throughout the country and, combined with the restart of the production, trade, and education activities, determined a time advance of the contagion increase since September 2020.

15 January 2018 in Mathematical Medicine and Biology: A Journal of the IMA
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Journal Article
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CBC Bruni
C Bruni
FCF Conte
F Conte
FPF Papa
F Papa
CSCarmela Sinisgalli
Carmela Sinisgalli
We address a non-linear programming problem to find the optimal scheme of dose fractionation in cancer radiotherapy. Using the LQ model to represent the response to radiation of tumour and normal tissues, we formulate a constrained non-linear optimization problem in terms of the variables number and sizes of the dose fractions. Quadratic constraints are imposed to guarantee that the damages to the early and late responding normal tissues do not exceed assigned tolerable levels. Linear constraints are set to limit the size of the daily doses. The optimal solutions are found in two steps: i) analytical determination of the optimal sizes of the fractional doses for a fixed, but arbitrary number of fractions n; ii) numerical simulation of a sequence of the previous optima for n increasing, and for specific tumour classes. We prove the existence of a finite upper bound for the optimal number of fractions. So, the optimum with respect to n is found by means of a finite number of comparisons amongst the optimal values of the objective function at the first step. In the numerical simulations, the radiosensitivity and repopulation parameters of the normal tissue are fixed, while we investigate the behaviour of the optimal solution for wide variations of the tumour parameters, relating our optima to real clinical protocols. We recognize that the optimality of hypo or equi-fractionated treatment schemes depends on the value of the tumour radiosensitivity ratio compared to the normal tissue radiosensitivity. Fast growing, radioresistant tumours may require particularly short optimal treatments.