Dursun Aydın

Prof. Dr. Dursun Aydın

Mugla Sitki Kocman University
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

17Years (2010-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 July 2025 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
NFNorma Latif Fitriyani
Norma Latif Fitriyani
MSMuhammad Syafrudin
Muhammad Syafrudin
Nur ChamidahNur Chamidah
Nur Chamidah
MRMarisa Rifada
Marisa Rifada
HSHendri Susilo
Hendri Susilo
Seung Won LeeSeung Won Lee
Seung Won Lee
Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) rank among the leading global causes of mortality, underscoring the necessity for early detection and effective management. This research presents a novel prediction model for CVDs utilizing a bagging algorithm that incorporates histogram gradient boosting as the estimator. This study leverages three preprocessed cardiovascular datasets, employing the Local Outlier Factor technique for outlier removal and the information gain method for feature selection. Through rigorous experimentation, the proposed model demonstrates superior performance compared to conventional machine learning approaches, such as Logistic Regression, Support Vector Classification, Gaussian Naïve Bayes, Multi-Layer Perceptron, k-nearest neighbors, Random Forest, AdaBoost, gradient boosting, and histogram gradient boosting. Evaluation metrics, including precision, recall, F1 score, accuracy, and AUC, yielded impressive results: 93.90%, 98.83%, 96.30%, 96.25%, and 0.9916 for dataset I; 94.17%, 99.05%, 96.54%, 96.48%, and 0.9931 for dataset II; and 89.81%, 82.40%, 85.91%, 86.66%, and 0.9274 for dataset III. The findings indicate that the proposed prediction model has the potential to facilitate early CVD detection, thereby enhancing preventive strategies and improving patient outcomes.

1 July 2023 in Journal of King Saud University – Science
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Budi LestariBudi Lestari
Budi Lestari
Nur ChamidahNur Chamidah
Nur Chamidah
IBI. Nyoman Budiantara
I. Nyoman Budiantara
Dursun AydınDursun Aydın
Dursun Aydın

25 March 2024 in Symmetry
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Nur ChamidahNur Chamidah
Nur Chamidah
Budi LestariBudi Lestari
Budi Lestari
IBI Nyoman Budiantara
I Nyoman Budiantara
Dursun AydınDursun Aydın
Dursun Aydın
In data analysis using a nonparametric regression approach, we are often faced with the problem of analyzing a set of data that has mixed patterns, namely, some of the data have a certain pattern and the rest of the data have a different pattern. To handle this kind of datum, we propose the use of a mixed estimator. In this study, we theoretically discuss a developed estimation method for a nonparametric regression model with two or more response variables and predictor variables, and there is a correlation between the response variables using a mixed estimator. The model is called the multiresponse multipredictor nonparametric regression (MMNR) model. The mixed estimator used for estimating the MMNR model is a mixed estimator of smoothing spline and Fourier series that is suitable for analyzing data with patterns that partly change at certain subintervals, and some others that follow a recurring pattern in a certain trend. Since in the MMNR model there is a correlation between responses, a symmetric weight matrix is involved in the estimation process of the MMNR model. To estimate the MMNR model, we apply the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) method to penalized weighted least square (PWLS) optimization for estimating the regression function of the MMNR model, which consists of a smoothing spline component and a Fourier series component. A simulation study to show the performance of proposed method is also given. The obtained results are estimations of the smoothing spline component, Fourier series component, MMNR model, weight matrix, and consistency of estimated regression function. In conclusion, the estimation of the MMNR model using the mixed estimator is a combination of smoothing spline component and Fourier series component estimators. It depends on smoothing and oscillation parameters, and it has linear in observation and consistent properties.

6 February 2022 in Symmetry
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Nur ChamidahNur Chamidah
Nur Chamidah
Budi LestariBudi Lestari
Budi Lestari
IBI Nyoman Budiantara
I Nyoman Budiantara
TSToha Saifudin
Toha Saifudin
RRRiries Rulaningtyas
Riries Rulaningtyas
Dursun AydınDursun Aydın
Dursun Aydın
A multiresponse multipredictor semiparametric regression (MMSR) model is a combination of parametric and nonparametric regressions models with more than one predictor and response variables where there is correlation between responses. Due to this correlation we need to construct a symmetric weight matrix. This is one of the things that distinguishes it from the classical method, which uses a parametric regression approach. In this study, we theoretically developed a method of determining a confidence interval for parameters in a MMSR model based on a truncated spline, and investigating asymptotic properties of estimator for parameters in a MMSR model, especially consistency and asymptotic normality. The weighted least squares method was used to estimate the MMSR model. Next, we applied a pivotal quantity method, a Cramer–Wold theorem, and a Slutsky theorem to determine the confidence interval, investigate consistency, and asymptotic normality properties of estimator for parameters in a MMSR model. The obtained results were that the estimated regression function is linear to observation. We also obtained a 1001−α% confidence interval for parameters in the MMSR model, and the estimator for parameters in MMSR model was consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. In the future, these obtained results can be used as a theoretical basis in designing a standard toddlers growth chart to assess nutritional status.

23 October 2022 in Symmetry
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Budi LestariBudi Lestari
Budi Lestari
Nur ChamidahNur Chamidah
Nur Chamidah
Dursun AydınDursun Aydın
Dursun Aydın
EYErsin Yılmaz
Ersin Yılmaz
In statistical analyses, especially those using a multiresponse regression model approach, a mathematical model that describes a functional relationship between more than one response variables and one or more predictor variables is often involved. The relationship between these variables is expressed by a regression function. In the multiresponse nonparametric regression (MNR) model that is part of the multiresponse regression model, estimating the regression function becomes the main problem, as there is a correlation between the responses such that it is necessary to include a symmetric weight matrix into a penalized weighted least square (PWLS) optimization during the estimation process. This is, of course, very complicated mathematically. In this study, to estimate the regression function of the MNR model, we developed a PWLS optimization method for the MNR model proposed by a previous researcher, and used a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) approach based on a smoothing spline to obtain the solution to the developed PWLS optimization. Additionally, we determined the symmetric weight matrix and optimal smoothing parameter, and investigated the consistency of the regression function estimator. We provide an illustration of the effects of the smoothing parameters for the estimation results using simulation data. In the future, the theory generated from this study can be developed within the scope of statistical inference, especially for the purpose of testing hypotheses involving multiresponse nonparametric regression models and multiresponse semiparametric regression models, and can be used to estimate the nonparametric component of a multiresponse semiparametric regression model used to model Indonesian toddlers’ standard growth charts.

27 November 2021 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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Dursun AydınDursun Aydın
Dursun Aydın
Syed Ejaz AhmedSyed Ejaz Ahmed
Syed Ejaz Ahmed
EYErsin Yılmaz
Ersin Yılmaz
This paper focuses on the adaptive spline (A-spline) fitting of the semiparametric regression model to time series data with right-censored observations. Typically, there are two main problems that need to be solved in such a case: dealing with censored data and obtaining a proper A-spline estimator for the components of the semiparametric model. The first problem is traditionally solved by the synthetic data approach based on the Kaplan–Meier estimator. In practice, although the synthetic data technique is one of the most widely used solutions for right-censored observations, the transformed data’s structure is distorted, especially for heavily censored datasets, due to the nature of the approach. In this paper, we introduced a modified semiparametric estimator based on the A-spline approach to overcome data irregularity with minimum information loss and to resolve the second problem described above. In addition, the semiparametric B-spline estimator was used as a benchmark method to gauge the success of the A-spline estimator. To this end, a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study and a real data sample were carried out to evaluate the performance of the proposed estimator and to make a practical comparison.