The objective of quantitative credit scoring is to develop accurate models of classification. Most attention has been devoted to deliver new classifiers based on variables commonly used in the economic literature. Several interdisciplinary studies have found that personality traits are related to financial behaviour; therefore, psychological traits could be used to lower credit risk in scoring models. In our paper, we considered financial histories and psychological traits of customers of an Italian bank. We compared the performance of kernel-based classifiers with those of standard ones. We found very promising results in terms of misclassification error reduction when personality attitudes are included in models, with both linear and non-linear discriminants. We also measured the contribution of each variable to risk prediction in order to assess importance of each predictor.
Recent literature shows an increasing interest in considering alternative sources of information for predicting Small and Medium Enterprises default. The usage of accounting indicators does not allow to completely overcome the information opacity that is one of the main barriers preventing these firms from accessing to credit. This complicates matters both for private lenders and for public institutions supporting policies. In this paper we propose corporate websites as an additional source of information, ready to be exploited in real-time. We also explore the joint use of online and offline data for enhancing correct prediction of default through a Kernel Discriminant Analysis, keeping the Logistic Regression and the Random Forests as benchmark. The obtained results shed light on the potentiality of these new data when accounting indicators lead to a wrong prediction.